U.S. Senate See Full Big Line

(D) J. Hickenlooper*

(D) Julie Gonzales

(R) Mark Baisley

80%

20%↓

10%

(D) Phil Weiser

(D) Michael Bennet

(R) Victor Marx
50%↑

50%

20%
Att. General See Full Big Line

(D) Jena Griswold

(D) M. Dougherty

(D) Hetal Doshi

40%

30%↑

30%

Sec. of State See Full Big Line
(D) J. Danielson

(D) A. Gonzalez

(R) James Wiley
50%

50%

10%
State Treasurer See Full Big Line

(D) Jeff Bridges

(R) Kevin Grantham

80%↑

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

(D) Milat Kiros

(D) Wanda James

60%↓

30%↑

10%↓

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

(R) Somebody

90%

2%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Hurd*

(D) Dwayne Romero

(D) Alex Kelloff

50%↓

35%↑

30%↓

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert*

(D) E. Laubacher

80%

20%

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(R) Jeff Crank*

(D) Jessica Killin

53%↓

48%↑

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(R) Mel Tewahade

90%

2%

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(D) B. Pettersen*

(R) A. Capobianco

90%

2%

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(R) Gabe Evans*

(D) Shannon Bird

(D) Manny Rutinel

45%↓

30%↑

30%↓

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

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October 09, 2012 04:38 AM UTC

Noted Lincoln expert believes Obama won the first presidential debate

Noted Lincoln expert believes Obama won the first presidential debate.  

Most pundits, left and right, say Romney won the first presidential debate.  But not Gene Griessman, author of Lincoln and Obama, a new book that examines similarities between the 16th and 44th presidents.

Griessman sees a parallel between the Lincoln-Douglas debates in 1858 and the 2012 debate between Obama and Romney.

Here are Griessman’s comments:

The debate formats and issues were different, but there are striking similarities.  

For one, a  lot of people thought Douglas won those debates.  We revere Lincoln today, and want to believe that Lincoln demolished Douglas. But that was not the perception at the time.  

Stephen Douglas was a feared and formidable debater–confident and powerful. Even when Douglas misstated facts, or when an opponent landed a blow on him, Douglas didn’t show it.  

But Douglas made some statements about slavery in those debates that upset many voters, and hurt him badly in his presidential race. And we know who won that race, don’t we!

History has repeated itself.

Romney, during the debate, was concise and self-confident. Obama was almost deferential.  Incidentally, people said the same thing about the way Lincoln spoke to Douglas.

But Obama said nothing that will cost him votes, and Romney did.

For example, Romney attacked PBS and Big Bird.  Romney promised he would end government subsidies of a few hundred million dollars to public television–a fraction of less than one percent of the federal budget–while defending government subsidies of billions to Big Oil.  

That will certainly cost him some votes, maybe quite a few votes.

Extremists in the Republican Party don’t understand that millions of Americans love–cherish–public television and public radio, so they don’t see it as a problem.

But it is a problem for Romney, who already is in a world of trouble with Latinos, blacks, and women.  Now PBS is another issue for Romney to deal with.

Already there are bumper stickers saying Save Big Bird.  

Here’s the bottom line.

Virtually all Americans have already made up their minds.  No Obama haters have decided to vote for Obama because of the debate, and no Obama supporters have decided to vote for Romney because Romney had a good night.  

Obama may not have gained any votes, but he said nothing that will cost him votes.

So, the only change will be among those who have not yet made up their minds–moderates and independents, many of whom love public television and public radio.  Those are votes that Romney needs, and a new issue that he does not need.

Gene Griessman is a sociologist and creator of a one-man play “Lincoln Live.” An excerpt from the book and additional similarities are at www.lincolnandobama.com.

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