CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 14, 2023 09:29 AM UTC
12 Comments
WOOT!!!
Hello beltway shitheads. Wake up and support this candidate. That is all.
I suspect the national efforts made on behalf of BOTH Frisch and Boebert will increase, and thus won't be the crucial variable. Television and radio stations in the district ought to be rejoicing, as they will reap commercial dollars beginning in the near future.
For those who live out in that district — were there political tactics or political issues overlooked or pursued with inadequate vigor in 2022? What are the most likely ways to push Democratic and Democratic-leaning voter participation?
I live in the 3rd Congressional District. What Lauren has going against her was aptly described when Frisch called it angertainment. If you remember Boebert had 2 Primary challengers… one a newbe and the other an elected official from the district. I worked to get the newbe (Marina Zimmerman) on the ballot, so spent a lot of time talking to Republican voters. My observation was that for every 2 Republicans who refused to sign Marina’s petition, there was one Republican who would sign it.
Frish actually entered that race pretty late, yet managed to win a Primary against better known candidates. He deliberately did not ask for national support because he did not think that would be useful in a red leaning and mostly rural district. Instead, he visited every community and talked to people along the way. Think Lake City… I’ll bet not many candidates show up in that tiny town.
He also got endorsed by the two GOP Primary challengers.
I’ve already donated to his campaign, and will work hard to get him elected. His announcement was 5 hours ago, and he already has 50,000 Twitter likes. This is not your typical DEM candidate in CD3.
For my two bits, for what it’s worth, Adam was as well-known a Democratic candidate as the other two — zilch outside of each one’s hometown. He was better organized from the get-go and did a good job raising money.
National monetary support is useful in the 3rd, but anything else from the DCCC is an anchor of cement. I’ve lost track of the potentially winnable chances Democrats have blown thanks to the tender mercies of the DCCC. Managers who couldn’t find Colorado on a map have been dispatched to run the Democrat’s race in the 3rd. They’re clueless how to buy media, for example, blowing lots of money on Denver TV instead of blanketing small market radio stations with far more effective buys.
What Adam needs is the national money AND NOTHING ELSE from the party. No campaign managers. No media buyers. No ad agencies. Nobody. He and his team can take it from there.
The key will be persuading 3rd CD Republicans who are not crazy. They’re the ones I call rational Republicans. They haven’t drunk the Kool-aid. Think Russ George, Don Coram, Tim Foster and their ilk. Too many Republicans vote for the team, as in the party line. Too many Democrats do too.
There are many, many rational Republicans in the 3rd. The trick is to persuade them to vote for Adam as a fellow rational being and not a loon.
I hope Adam is spending lots of time with the 3rd’s many water experts. That’s the coming big and overwhelming issue in the 3rd and one with which Boobert is woefully uninformed. Remind GOP voters that any sucking up Boobert does to McCarthy will be wasted when the water wars ignite. California has 53 CDs. We have eight.
I’ve followed 3rd CD races since the early 1980s through several different configurations of the district, but the basics haven’t changed. Konola is right to mention visiting all the little towns out there. It works.
Any thoughts on what a Libertarian candidate might do to the race?
The district obviously changed for this year's race, but there was a Libertarian running in 2020, got about 10,000 votes, and in 2018 a Lib got about 5,000.
Conventional wisdom is boring, but it would probably say a Lib in 2024 wouldn't siphon votes from Frisch or most Dems, and might cost Qbie to some extent. This could be trouble in a close race like 2022, a 550-vote margin.
Nothing's guaranteed, and I know Libertarians who would say they wouldn't automatically vote for Republicans anyway. But I think a Lib in a close race, without a corresponding Green candidate, could make a difference in the 3rd District.
Frisch has a year and a half to gain name recognition, and he's up against a professional troll and FFox News.
I think it would be beneficial to shake hands at every City Market in the district; lunch at every small-town cafe.
Frisch is the right person for the job and shovel ready on water too. He and his team will hit every county and city large enough to sell a cup of coffee regardless of national support or no.
Boobert sends me special email messages BEGGING FOR $$ since being barely re-elected. She never replies to my requests for assistance with VA issues.
Boebert has the ghost of elections past looking over her shoulder. That nagging thought that he just might beat her this time. He’s going to be a shadow over her antics.
That would be really nice but I am cynical that anything would change Boebert's behavior.
If she does, it'll be good for CO3 and Frisch. He can say "Here's her behavior before I announced and here's her behavior after I announced." which would show that he's a valuable influence on Congress even without being elected yet! Imagine what he could do if elected!
It just seems to me the pull of the Angertainment industry will be too much for her to resist. Someday when she is broadcasting a syndicated show…say, "Owning the heathen Democrats for Fun and Profit" or a podcast from the "Trailer Trash Chapel" on Silt Mesa, you will learn to show a little more respect.