UPDATE: Biden wins Wisconsin and Michigan. Assuming that Arizona and Nevada remain in Biden’s column, he will be the next President of the United States.
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While you were sleeping, President Trump kinda sorta declared victory and media outlets pushed back vociferously.
Then, Democrat Joe Biden pulled ahead of President Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania, some 1.4 million ballots have yet to be counted…but those ballots appear to be favoring Biden by a wide margin.
Meanwhile, Biden maintains his lead in Arizona, and Georgia is still in play as votes are still being counted in heavily-Democratic Atlanta. Biden also still leads in Nevada, which won’t release new numbers until Thursday. Team Biden is projecting confidence:
Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon: “Joe Biden is on track to win this election, and he will be the next president of the United States…We believe we are on a clear path to victory by this afternoon.”
— Alexandra Jaffe (@ajjaffe) November 4, 2020
We will update this space as more information becomes available.
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Today’s pollsters are about as accurate as meteorologists were 100 years ago.
It's over, Biden ahead in MI and WI and PA should flip. That's the ballgame.
I'm inclined to agree. But I'm still waiting for things to firm up. The AP called Arizona and NE-02. Nevada is uncalled with Biden ahead. Biden pulled ahead in MI and WI. If even that holds without PA, Biden gets 270.
Speaking of ball games, remember that Yogi Berra said “it ain’t over until it’s over.” But things are looking good for the end of our four year, national, Trumpian, nightmare.
Trump got a nightmare last night when Fox News called AZ for Biden around 10 PM our time; maybe 10:30.
They wouldn't have done that if Roger Ailes was still around.
Which brings to mind that statement I read,
Or, in a better fit for present circumstances,
As seen on the Internet today, "Not with a bang, but with a WI/MI/PA."
OMG
t-shirts, anyone?
That's brilliant. !!
In other news, my brother lost in his race for the Honolulu City Council.
And my mom & sister are no longer in the legislature (neither ran for re-election). And so… Hawaii will have to survive without any Thielens in the government.
Sorry to hear that … going out and looking a bit
Hope family gatherings are cordial….
Yeah, we work through it. My sister backed Kiaaina when my brother had decided to not run. Then he changed his mind and my sister was committed already. So they handled it as best as could be.
CNN called Wisconsin for Biden!
6 (lawsuit)
11 (… maybe lawsuit)
22 (definite law suit)
and PA, FL , NC, GA can suckit
Pennsylvania, as of now, has 3,094,872 Trump votes and 2,705,983 Biden votes with 82 % reporting. That means there should be a vote total of around 7,074,200 votes. If you subtract the total votes you already have (5,800,855) there are still 1,273,345 votes to go.
With this 82 % reporting Trump leads by 388,889 votes. To tie Trump in PA Biden needs 831,117 of those remaining 1.2 million votes, or about 65 percent. Two out of every three basically.
I know the majority of those remaining votes will be coming from Pittsburgh and Philly, but that is a pretty steep hill to climb, or I am pretty shitty at math.
Could be both…
There are parts of Philly that vote north of 80% democratic. So it's possible, but very dependent on where those votes are coming from.
Absolutely David. I think PA is going to be a squeaker either way it falls
Washington Post analysis says the combination of where the votes are and the method they come in make it very possible for Biden to win.
PA up to 84 % reporting now from 82, and those two little percentage points yielded 23,291 more votes for Trump (20 %) and 92,249 more votes for Biden (80%).
David’s figure and the WAPO analysis about the composition of the remaining votes look spot on for now. PA is looking good…
Decision Desk called Michigan for Biden:
Update November 4, 4:30 pm ET: Our partners at Decision Desk have called the state for former Vice President Joe Biden.
Joe Biden (D) ………….2,684,200…..49.85%
Donald J. Trump (R) *2,617,062…..48.60%
That call now makes the Electoral College Biden…253, Trump…214
By their calls, the as-yet-to-be-called states are Biden leading in AZ (11) and NV (6). Trump up in AK (3), GA (16), NC (15), and PA (20).
I believe AZ (11) will be Biden
I hate betting on NV (6) – but it would be ok.
Trump sent some “very fine people” to harass and intimidate Detroit voters, harass, misinform, and intimidate voters, and now the ballot counters and election workers.
The NAACP, the ACLU and a cadre of lawyers called the police to bar the door to the would-be disrupters.
Jiminy Jesus Fuck, if this comes down to a few thousand votes in goddamn Nevada …
Oh, and don’t look now, but David Perdue is extremely close to dropping below 50% in that GA U.S. Senate race. That’d mean two GA runoff elections.
Meanwhile, in Nevada….
lol "Where were we?"
I think I can find a Democrat or two to have common ground with the agenda on the shirt: BBQ, Beer and Freedom may be the basis for negotiations on a new civility.
,,, Except there will be arguments about what counts as BBQ…. And on-going arguments about beer — does light beer count? are ales included? … And the perennial issues about what freedoms, for who, at what cost, and if freedom merely means “nothing left to lose.”
So never mind … there is little common ground.