CO-04 (Special Election) See Full Big Line

(R) Greg Lopez

(R) Trisha Calvarese

90%

10%

President (To Win Colorado) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Biden*

(R) Donald Trump

80%

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

90%

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

90%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(D) Adam Frisch

(R) Jeff Hurd

(R) Ron Hanks

40%

30%

20%↑

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert

(R) Deborah Flora

(R) J. Sonnenberg

50%↑

15%

10%↓

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Crank

(R) Dave Williams

55%↑

45%↓

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

90%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) Brittany Pettersen

85%↑

 

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(D) Yadira Caraveo

(R) Gabe Evans

(R) Janak Joshi

60%↑

40%↑

20%↓

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
November 01, 2010 07:41 PM UTC

How Many Votes Are Still Out There?

  • 11 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

We’ve updated the ballot counts from Friday, which shows 924,466 votes counted as of Friday afternoon. The Secretary of State will provide another batch of ballot numbers today after 3:00 p.m., and tomorrow at about Noon.

So just how many votes are going to be coming in on Election Day? For comparison’ sake, here’s how the last two elections break down:

2008

Total Votes: 2,422,236

Percentage of “Active” Voters Casting a Ballot: 91.68%

2006

Total Votes: 1,586,105

Percentage of “Active” Voters Casting a Ballot: 62.59%

There’s virtually no chance that we’re going to see 2008 levels of turnout. But we should surpass 2006, depending on how many non “Active” voters decide to cast a ballot; as of Friday, Democrats and Republicans saw “Active” voter turnout at 41-44%, so there’s still a way to go to reach the 62.59% of 2006.

Our guess is that total turnout ends up somewhere in the 1.8 million range, which means that as of Friday, we’re a little more than halfway to the total. But what say you, Polsters?

Comments

11 thoughts on “How Many Votes Are Still Out There?

  1. Colorado’s population growth for the past decade has averaged 1.71%/yr. That means since 2006, the population has grown about 7.01% If you take the 2006 figures and add 7.01%, you get about 1.70 million voting. I’d agree with Pols’ higher prediction, though, because the parties’ turnout machines have gotten a lot better since 2006 (e.g., there was much less online contact in 2006). So I’ll guess 1.99m.

    Let’s all guess and make this a contest for bragging rights! Let me predict others’ predictions too:

    Libertad can guess 5 million, for example, based on his certainty that Mexico will send over millions of illegal voters

    Stryker and Wade Norris can predict 900,000 because the almost half of Democrats who voted Romanoff will stay home.

    Not sure what BJnuts will predict: 1 million if he thinks the rapture is tomorrow; 3 million if he thinks tea partiers are a silent majority all will show up; or 900K if he decides to lie that he’s a PUMA dem again.

  2. I can’t predict total voter turnout, but based on my canvassing of Montbello’s “Infrequent” Dem voters for the Bennet campaign, most plan to vote tomorrow.

    In fact, much of the Bennet campaign effort has been directed to “infrequent” Dem voters.

    1. Citizens United is paying for wave after wave of anonymous (for all practical purposes) negative ads designed solely to demoralize voters.

      It’s sickening.

      And meanwhile, Peter Boyles has his lips so firmly planted on Tom Tancredo’s hindquarters it’s a miracle he can speak at all – it’s certainly robbed him of the ability to engage in any intelligent speech.  

  3. Almost all Dems I canvassed yesterday plan to vote tomorrow.  I’ve never seen that response.

    Time to go and meet Bennet at the Arap. Dems office at 1 pm, and then out to canvass.

        1. I stopped saying that in about 6th grade, and I’m not one of the most mature guys on the block. To the extent we all post comments on political blogs, we probably all need to get a life. I just know how to comment (a) in ways that aren’t just 1-sentence BS assertions and (b) on the right blog post.

Leave a Comment

Recent Comments


Posts about

Donald Trump
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Lauren Boebert
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Yadira Caraveo
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado House
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado Senate
SEE MORE

80 readers online now

Newsletter

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!