According to the latest Gallup poll:
Republicans and Democrats are tied at 46% among registered voters in Gallup’s weekly tracking of congressional voting preferences, marking a shift after five consecutive weeks in which the Republicans held the advantage.

Our analysis? Exactly what we wrote earlier today: Trends won’t matter by Election Day (and it seems to us that there aren’t really “trends” anymore — just different results in different weeks). Either way, individual matchups will carry the day.
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