CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 24, 2022 02:02 PM UTC
8 Comments
Egads! This is going to be a logistical mess.
From what I read of the recall rules, it will be the voters of SD13 that have to sign the petitions and vote in a recall election if they get enough. 90% of SD 13 is new to Priola this year so most of them won’t even know he IS their state senator. I see the signature gathering as particularly problematic for the petitioners in this case.
Anyhow if it proceeds, here is the time line:
Once the petition format is approved, they have 60 days to collect signatures. In theory, they could be collecting signatures as early as 1 Sept. That would make them due 31 Oct.
Sec of State has 28 days to check the signatures for sufficiency. That now puts us on Nov 29th. Assuming they are found sufficient, there is a 15 day protest period where anyone can challenge the sufficiency statement. That now puts us on Dec. 13th. If the petitions are not found to be sufficient there is a 5 day day cure period so everything after this could be delayed by a week, but let’s assume they are sufficient.
If no challenge to the sufficiency statement happens (unlikely) the sufficiency is turned over to the Gov. by Dec. 19th. He then sets the recall election to be sometime between 30 and 60 days from that point. So we are looking at between Jan 18th & Feb. 17th.
If there is a challenge to the sufficiency, which there likely would be, then we are on “court time” which could delay an recall election until late March/early April by which time Priola will have served most of a session in the Senate as a Democrat.
If the petitioners were successful in gathering the signatures, the Sec. of State is required to give Priola 5 days after the sufficiency to resign on his own and avoid the election altogether. At this point, that would be Priola’s best option, strategically. His replacement then would be picked by a Democratic vacancy committee, guaranteeing a Dem would serve out the term and allowing that person to run in 2024 as an incumbent.
Priola running in a recall would be a dice roll for him. The Rs won’t be happy with him because he jumped ship, and the Ds won’t be happy because he still supports a lot of Republican issues. Add to that the district is only slightly competitive with a 3.7% R-lean according the staff that provided numbers for the Redistricting Commission.
As I read the regs, the recall would be based on the district being represented at the time of the incumbent's election, NOT the newly developed reapportionment.
Needs signatures equal to 25 percent of the votes cast in the last election for the official being recalled. In the 2020 election, the total votes: 73,163, so 18,291 valid signatures needed. Ballotpedia says the cost per signature in their analysis of Colorado petitions ranged from $0 to almost $18, with the median and average being about $7.50. That would be $137,180. Seems to me that would be an excellent way for Republicans to waste resources in the midst of a general election. But if they delay, the process schedule moves back, and would take place during the legislative session. Priola would be able to point to his actual votes as a Democrat … and highlight the hypocrisy.
You know, once again the Republican party does it's best to elect Democrats. This will be lovely messaging throughout the election for the Democratic candidates.
So if he were to resign to avoid the recall (like Evie Hudak did back in 2013), who gets to choose his replacement? The Dems or the Republicans…and in which district?
The SD13 Dem vacancy committee
Too bad these demented GQP chuckleheads can’t seem to ‘recall’ just how disastrously many of their previous recall attempts turned out.
Ah well, let ’em suffer. Again.
Recall campaigns make perfect sense, if the goal is to keep your base agitated, and portraying to them that you are doing something; while perpetuating the theme that Democrats are illegitimate, and, importantly, supplying fodder for fundraiding and for skimming fees.
[“fundraiding” was a typo, but I think I’ll keep it]
Agreed MM. R-E-C-A-L-L is how the GOP spells GOTV.