October 29, 2010 08:48 PM UTC

Colorado Pols/RBI Poll: Anti-Tax, "Personhood" Measures Failing Badly

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• by: Colorado Pols

The third in a series of poll results for key Colorado races, released by Colorado Pols and conducted by Denver-based RBI Strategies & Research. Wednesday, we examined the U.S. Senate race in Colorado. Yesterday, the gubernatorial race. Today, we take a look several ballot initiatives: Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101, as well as the “Personhood” birth control and abortion ban initiative, Amendment 62.

Colorado voters are highly skeptical of the “personhood” and anti-tax initiatives on the ballot this year. Over 60% of voters are currently opposed or leaning towards opposing each of the anti-tax measures, Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101. Further, Colorado voters appear likely to again reject the personhood measure, Amendment 62, with only 29% currently supporting and 62% opposing.

A large bloc of voters are planning to vote no on all four of these ballot measures. 42% of voters indicated that they opposed or were leaning towards opposing all of the personhood and anti-tax ballot initiatives. In contrast, only 7% of voters said they supported all four measures. This “no on everything” bloc of voters are disproportionately registered Democrats, women, and highly educated. They are also disproportionately located in Denver and the Metro regions. The “yes on everything” bloc are disproportionately registered Republicans, men, younger, and located in the Eastern Plains, South Front Range, and West Slope.

Disclosure of Interested Parties

The ballot initiative questions, data and results contained within this memo, survey toplines and survey crosstabs were commissioned by parties that have taken a public position in opposition to one or all of these initiatives. Colorado League of Responsible Voters commissioned all questions pertaining to Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101. The No on Amendment 62 campaign commissioned all questions pertaining to Amendment 62.

RBI Strategies & Research is a former research consultant for the No on Amendment 62 campaign and a current media consultant for the Colorado League of Responsible Voters.

Methodology

RBI Strategies & Research conducted a telephone survey of 501 Colorado voters who indicated it was likely that they would vote in the 2010 General Election. Interviews were conducted October 24 – October 26, 2010 by Standage Market Research of Denver, Colorado, a market research firm specializing in telephone survey interviewing. Respondents were randomly selected from a list of Colorado voters, purchased from Voter Contact Services, who voted in the 2008 General Elec9on or registered to vote at any 9me following the 2008 General Elec9on. The margin of error for a survey of 500 interviews is +/- 4.4% at the 95% confidence level.

The margin of error is higher for subsamples within the full sample. Other sources of error not accounted for by the stated statistical margin of error include, but are not limited to, question wording, question order, refusal to be interviewed, and demographic weighting.

As he has the last two days, Kevin Ingham of RBI Strategies will join us today in this thread from 1-3PM to answer your questions about this poll. In order to keep things as orderly as possible in what is likely to be a popular discussion, we’d appreciate it if our readers held their questions for Mr. Ingham until 1PM when he arrives to answer them. In the meantime, you’re welcome to comment on the poll results themselves.

As always, please be respectful in your comments and questions for Mr. Ingham. We appreciate the time that he is making for this Q&A session, and whether you agree or disagree with anything he says, there is NO reason you need to voice your opinion in a rude or disrespectful manner.