Trumpcare Would Leave 24 Million Without Health Coverage

Vice President Mike Pence announcing support for Trumpcare last week (Sen. Cory Gardner is on the left of the photo)

The numbers are in! As the Associated Press reports, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has reviewed the House Republican healthcare plan, also known as Trumpcare, and the math doesn’t look good:

Fourteen million Americans would lose coverage next year under House Republican legislation remaking the nation’s health care system, and that figure would grow to 24 million by 2026, Congress’ nonpartisan budget analysts projected Monday. [Pols emphasis] The figures dealt a blow to a GOP drive already under fire from both parties and large segments of the medical industry.

The report by the Congressional Budget Office flies in the face of President Donald Trump’s aim of “insurance for everybody,” and he has been assailing the credibility of the CBO in advance of the release. Administration officials quickly took strong issue with it.

Congressional Republicans and The White House had anticipated poor marks from the CBO, which is why they spent much of the last week talking about how little confidence they had in the CBO’s forecasting abilities. But today’s CBO report may be much worse than Republicans could have predicted; remember those claims that Obamacare is unstable and on the verge of collapse? Yeah, not so much:

“Insurance for everybody!”

— President Trump speaking about GOP healthcare plans in January.

 

It also undercuts a central argument that he and other Republicans have cited for swiftly rolling back former President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul: that the health insurance markets created under the 2010 law are unstable and about to implode. The congressional experts said that largely would not be the case and the market for individual health insurance policies “would probably be stable in most areas either under current law or the (GOP) legislation.”

“Nobody will be worse off financially…”

— Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price, speaking about Trumpcare on Sunday.

Today’s report also undercuts statements made by President Trump just this morning, when he said, “Things are gonna be very bad this year for the people with Obamacare. They’re gonna have tremendous increases.” As it turns out, according to the CBO, Trumpcare would cost Americans much more than Obamacare:

…The budget office found that average premiums for individuals would rise in 2018 and 2019 by 15 percent to 20 percent compared to current law, because Republicans would eliminate the penalties designed to induce people to buy insurance coverage.

Aside from the fact that Trumpcare will leave 24 million people uninsured and will be more expensive for those who can still manage to get coverage, this is a great piece of legislation!

22 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Powerful PearPowerful Pear says:

    Republicans should stick with Obama Care. It is working just fine.

    • Republican 36 says:

      You're right. With just a few tweaks, it will work even better and if only the Republicans would have gone down that road, they could have avoided all the hypocrisy the CBO report revealed today.

    • Republican 36 says:

      And now we have confirmation from the White House that the CBO's report may have been not quite on the mark since the White House's report states that 2 million more people will be uninsured than the CBO report. When confronted last night with his report, Mr. Trump had his communications director describe the White House report as merely his projections of what the CBO report was likely to conclude. According to the com director, the White House never did an analysis of the healthcare bill in the House. The White House was only projecting what they believed the CBO would conclude. 

      Of course, the White House's statement is nonsense. They had to analyze the House bill to be able to project what the CBO would conclude. This adds up to two things. First, and most importantly, Mr. Trump and his White House staff are lying to us. Second, and specifically on the health insurance issues, Mr. Trump and the Republicans are willing to engage in a form of mental gymnastics to justify leaving millions and in a few years, tens of millions of Americans without any health insurance all in the name of freedom.

      The Republicans have known all along exactly what their bill will do to create massive suffering by their constituents.

      On a local note, its time Mr. Gardner and Mr. Coffman show some courage and face their constituents at live, in-person town hall meetings. Healthcare is way too important and vital in our everyday lives to be left to back door getaways and conference calls. Its time you stop being cowards.

    • Republican 36 says:

      And all the gnashing of teeth by Mr. Trump and the Republicans in the House and Senate over the accuracy of the CBO report is also nonsense. Their basis for attacking the CBO report is their assertion the CBO did not accurately estimate the number of people who would enroll in Obamacare. They say the CBO was wrong by a factor of 50%

      As usual, Mr. Trump and the congressional Republicans forgot to mention one very important and decisive fact. When the CBO was asked to, among other things, estimate how many people would enroll in Obamacare, the legislation, as written at that moment, included a mandate that all states accept the Medicaid expansion. The CBO proceeded to analyze the bill based on that mandate. As we all know, the Affordable Care Act was amended to allow each state to chose whether or not it would accept the Medicaid expansion. Nineteen states did not accept it. If the state Medicaid mandate had remained in the legislation, the CBO's estimate of the number of enrollees was on target. 

  2. Duke CoxDuke Cox says:

    Did someone just fart?…

  3. DawnPatrol says:

    Well now, we've heard some typically sarcastic, diversionary horse crap from the always deplorable Puerile Pomegranate, so where then are the usual fetid roach droppings from jackasses Ann-Dru CarnHolio and Muddy Anus?

    • RepealAndReplace says:

      I can do Muddy Anus: 

      But they will have access to health care.

      Why should I have to pay for their health care if they are too lazy to work?

      Or want to buy an I-Phone instead.

      Repeal and replace!

      Benghazi!

      LOCK HER UP!

      Error 404

  4. RepealAndReplace says:

    From that camera angle, it looks like Cory Gardner is trying to hide. Which might not be a bad idea.

  5. Early WormEarly Worm says:

    "If you like your health care plan, you can keep it." Politifact Lie of the Year, 2013. The truth was about 4 million people (out of 262 million insured at the time) received cancellation notices. They did not necessarily lose health insurance, but that 4 million (less than 2% of insured) had to get different coverage.

    "We're going to have insurance for everybody." "Much less expensive and much better." Trump, January 2017.  Is that the lie of the Century? From 28 million uninsured to 52 million uninsured. Not just having to switch, but completely losing coverage.  For many, a death sentence.

    • Let's not forget the fact that of those 4 million, many received "cancellation notices" (with quotes, as Sean Spicer would emphasize). Their exact plans were cancelled – mostly because insurance companies replace plans all the time rather than because of a failed promise – but they were able to buy new plans from the same companies, or shop around with real understanding of what they were buying on this new Exchange thing…

  6. Genghis says:

    No wonder the wingers wanted to ramrod this steaming turd of a bill through Congress before the CBO issued its report..

  7. mamajama55mamajama55 says:

    I like the headline, Pols…especially since our 45th Tweeterdumb has his "counselor" telling folks not to call it Trumpcare!

    (He doesn't want his brand attached to that stinker)

    Trumpcare = DonTCare, CareLess,

    But Pols – the link to the Associated Press goes, instead to a Doug Bruce story in the Gazette. So you may want to fix that link.

  8. Gilpin Guy says:

    This is one of those moments when reality intrudes on the zenith of Republican power.  How are you going to go back home when you have to face people who got their insurance cancelled?  Will be interesting to see if Gardner goes along with the crowd.  What's that saying about giving them enough rope.  Too bad they are going to invoke Christian suffering on everyone else.

     

  9. MichaelBowmanMichaelBowman says:

    Popcorn, anyone? 

    A Bright Bart exclusive...(no specific mention of our junior senator in Brietbart's list of those who have 'concerns')

    “The President gave Ryan a chance,” one source close to the President said. “If he doesn’t get his act together soon, the President will have no choice but to step in and fix this on his own. He’s the best negotiator on the planet, and if this were his bill not Ryan’s it would not be this much of a mess.”

    In fact, the president himself on Monday said he is working on negotiating on this healthcare bill.

    “We’re negotiating with everybody,” Trump said. “It’s a big fat beautiful negotiation and hopefully we’ll come up with something that’s going to be really terrific.”

    What’s more, the bill has virtually zero chance of ever passing the Senate should it get there. Sens. Paul, Mike Lee (R-UT), Tom Cotton (R-AR), Lindsey Graham (R-SC), James Lankford (R-OK), Dean Heller (R-NV), Susan Collins (R-ME), Ted Cruz (R-TX), and Ben Sasse (R-NE)—among other GOP senators—have all raised concerns about it. Paul, Lee and Cotton have been particularly vocal, while Graham has raised concerns with the process.

    • Conserv. Head Banger says:

      A problem here is that Senators Paul, Cotton, and maybe Lee, think the RyanCare proposal doesn't go far enough in getting people off the rolls. 

      • DavieDavie says:

        But tilting the bill to cover less would only lose more GOP senators closer to the middle.  Tilting the bill to just save Medicaid would likely just maintain a plurality of GOP senators, but not induce any Democrats to join.  24 million without health insurance are a lot of voters to write off for either party.

        Oh and by not cutting $880 billion in Medicaid spending, the $335 billion reduction in the deficit goes away and exposes the $600 billion tax cut for the wealthy as the rip-off that it truly would be.

      • MichaelBowmanMichaelBowman says:

        They are being flanked by both the right and left. Nowhere to hide….

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