CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
50%↑
15%
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
June 18, 2010 06:13 PM UTC
18 Comments
All Maes has is talk radio….
but not to worry, CP, if a tree falls in the forest and CP doesn’t hear it, then there is no noise…
Wait a minute, didn’t Maes beat McInnis at the state assembly????
The point is Buck won 70%+ and Maes was courting the same vote Buck was and didn’t win 50% so that’s not a good sign when half your potential base doesn’t vote for you. Second,
this proves that Maes won’t win. How can you expect to win if people still don’t know who you are and you have to tell people you won? Needing to try and tell people that you are a front runner spells bad news in a statewide election.
Because I believe that a key component to the republican strategy to turn colorado red is the constant refraim to dems that Maes/Buck surges don’t mean anything….just ignore them….No one listens to talk radio and if Maes has parity with hickenlooper it must be a polling error….
I, on the other hand, am scared shitless by the power of talk radio..controlled by republicans ….over 80 hours a week of LOCAL talk…
because more (ignorant) young people are taking the side of the tea party. Now don’t quote me on this, it’s just what I have been observing lately. So yeah he may be “more ahead”, but that’s not going to last much longer when McInnis brings out his adds and Maes does not have enough money to afford adds.
the assembly doesn’t mean shit.
Am I so dense as to ask WTF with everyone pointing out the skewed, biased & unfounded Rasmussen poll #’s in one breath but continuing to quote & post them, therefore adding credence in the next?
DON’T QUOTE RASMUSSEN! I don’t believe anything could ever be factual at WorldNet Daily so I’d never use them as a source. Same with Rasmussen.
But no, either y’all to lazy to get off yer azzes look at other polls or Rasmussen is just feeding the beast & y’all eat at the trough.
Rasmussen is always way off all other polls cited on Real Clear Politics, sometimes by as many as 15 points to the right. So why keep citing Rasmussen? I suppose because Rasmussen is most often available while some others are few and far between on local stuff. If Rasmussen shows a small lead for Mcinnis, that’s bad news for McInnis. Its presidential approval poll dated the 16th was the only one anywhere near a 15 point deficit. Even that couldn’t quite pull the average into negative territory but they keep trying. Besides, wait until the real ad wars begin.
They’re polling and few other organizations are (at least at the frequency of Ras).
Since we’re political junkies and we love to argue, and since the only thing most public polls are good for is to argue about, Ras fills that need quite nicely for us.
Shit, if they were any good, we’d have less to argue about.
I don’t believe there is much factual information from Huffington but you don’t see me parading around ;]
From the people I see on Pols, I am sure most of them believe that Rasmussen is flawed. Just take a look around the boards and chill out.
A wide variety of polls appear every day here: http://www.realclearpolitics.c…
The polls cited reflect a wide political spectrum of pollsters, the site is certainly not left leaning and Rasmussen always stands out like a sore thumb, far from all other polls and from the average of all the cited polls, though it exerts a powerful skewing effect on that average. Rasmussen is a joke.
Perfect persistent examples of Rasmussen’s BS results.
Rasmussen also consistently polls right up to week of election/amendment trying to nudge voters but never, never follows up in exit polls or with critical review of their run-up numbers. Rasmussen = RW tool, so why not always quote Ras w/ a qualifying statement regarding their crapshoot results?
Rasmussen is almost never in the same ball park as any of the other polls or even across the street from the ballpark. And that includes compared to Fox polls. Often, with local stuff, for a given week or even month they are pretty much the only poll out there with others operating much less frequently. I’d say, it’s pretty safe to subtract half a dozen points from the right on any Rasmussen poll between left and right candidates or approval ratings, just for starters.
It is basically Hickenlooper vs. “generic Republican”. Happens all the time.
That would tend to explain Maes seeming popularity.
Two factors also at play here — “likely voters” are over-represented by the party activists, and Ras doesn’t define the weighting used (how many GOP vs. Independent vs. Dem).
So it’s trivial to spin the dial on the outcome just about any way they want.
I did not know that Dan Marino was running. That is very cool. Now, I can vote for a [American-style] football star.
Not good news for GI Jane or Scooter. Here’s the link:
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
33% of likely voters consider themselves part of the Tea Party movement in Colorado. Kentucky has 31% and Rand Paul won. Jane, Josh and their NRSC friend Cornyn, have a nice weekend. 🙂
That is the number of registered Republicans. Coincidence? I’m beginning to doubt it.
Don’t know if that helps any GOP candidate in the general, but you’re right that Norton and McInnis are working their tails off at appealing to the Tea Party.