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A Candidate Once More: Brian Carroll Files for HD-28

Veteran Brian Carroll might just be the most interesting case study of Colorado’s House and Senate reapportionment processes.

The Lakewood Democrat staged a primary campaign against Representative Andy Kerr in a bid for HD-28, although Carroll made a rather spurious claim that he originally intended to run against Ken Summers and wasn’t aware he was drawn into the same seat as Kerr.

Carroll dropped out of that race in early November, following pressure from high-profile Democratic players and LGBT activists. With no primary for Kerr, the stage was set for a general election skirmish with Ken Summers in HD-28.

The Colorado Reapportionment Commission, however, had another thought in the matter altogether: Kerr, Summers, and Rep. Max Tyler were all drawn into House District 23, paving the way for an eventual campaign between Summers and Kerr for Senate District 22. SD-22 was ultimately left vacant by the Colorado Reapportionment Commission because appointed incumbent Senator Tim Neville was completely drawn out of the seat.

Meanwhile, Brian Carroll’s residence remained in HD-28, where the vet no longer had Kerr (or any other incumbent) to contend with. It stands to reason, then, that Carroll would jump back into a race for the State House: his campaign committee was reactivated on December 29th.

Carroll might be the most high profile Democrat living within HD-28, although attorney Chris Radeff and educator Camille Ryckman – who ran against Summers in 2010 and 2008, respectively – both reside within the district. Given that the South Lakewood seat leans slightly to the left – Democrats maintain a 3% registration advantage there and former State Treasurer Cary Kennedy won the district by 8% in 2010 – Carroll should prepare for a primary in the Democratic nominating process. That’s not to say that Carroll doesn’t make a compelling case for his candidacy: the Colorado native served two tours of duty in Afghanistan with the United States Army, after all. He only moved into Lakewood recently, however, so it’s hard not to question if his roots are deep enough to represent the area at the Capitol.

Carroll (or the eventual Democratic nominee) will ostensibly have to face Republican Amy Attwood in November. Attwood previously served as an aide to Rep. Summers and made an unsuccessful bid for the Lakewood city council in 2009. The fact that Attwood lost her first campaign for a smaller seat might be indicative of a lack of political prowess, but we wouldn’t count her out this early on. Attwood has to win this campaign to maintain any semblance of a political career; she just couldn’t sustain a second loss. With that in mind, we suspect Attwood will stage the fight of her life in HD-28 and majority-minded Republicans will be all-too-happy to funnel money into the race if it looks like the former legislative staffer can win.

A race between Attwood and Carroll should make for great political theatre. Attwood is the picture perfect image of a country club conservative: she has two young kids and manages a small business. What better foil for one of the nation’s first post Don’t Ask Don’t Tell servicemen running for public office?

Coffman thinks Colorado should get into the catastrophic health-insurace biz?

( – promoted by Colorado Pols) You don’t have to spend much time on Google to find out Rep. Mike Coffman hates Obamacare and has voted to repeal it, though he says he likes parts of it. But what’s Coffman’s alternative, beyond vagaries about wanting to make the health-care market more competitive? You have to […]

Welcome New Front Page Guest Editors

We have finished configuring the accounts for our three new front page guest editors for the first half of 2012, ProgressiveCowgirl, Middle of the Road, and Pita, who begin their terms in office today following their election victories last month. We’re excited to welcome our first-ever all-female front page guest editor crew in an important […]

2011: The Top Ten Stories in Colorado Politics

It’s the year that was–your top ten stories in Colorado politics for 2011 after the jump. 10. The End of the Dick Wadhams Era 9. Medical Marijuana, The Feds, and Jared Polis 8. The Rise and Fall of “Occupy Denver” 7. TABOR Author Doug Bruce Convicted of Tax Evasion 6. Hancock Beats “Class President” Romer, […]

Do Democrats Maintain Control of the Senate?

Yesterday Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska announced that he would not run for reelection in 2012. Since he is a Democrat, TV pundits have been announcing the end of Democratic control in the Senate. Nelson was not dependable when it came to voting with his caucus, so my gut reaction was no big loss. Another […]

Wednesday Open Thread

“Malice scorned, puts out itself; but argued, give a kind of credit to a false accusation.” –Philip Massinger

Voting Rights

It has been interesting to watch the Middle East, and now Russia, protesting rigged votes and/or lack of access to the polls or the ability to vote for someone to truly represent the interests of the people. While that is going on in the rest of the world, Americans can’t seem to find any passion […]

“Personhood” Survives Single-Subject Challenge, Closer To 2012 Ballot

As the Colorado Springs Independent reports: For the third time, extreme pro-lifers are planning to put an initiative on the Colorado ballot asking voters to give zygotes and fetuses the same rights as people. The so-called “personhood amendment” is being considered by the Colorado Secretary of State as Initiative 46. Wednesday, it made a major […]

Ramirez Files for Hudak’s SD-19

It seems like Andy Kerr isn’t the only incumbent state representative with eyes on the next chamber up. From Eli Stokols: DENVER — State Rep. Robert Ramirez filed papers Thursday to run for the re-drawn Senate District 19, now held by Democratic Sen. Evie Hudak, FOX31 Denver was first to report. Ramirez, who’s in his […]

Breaking: Ramirez Files for Hudak’s SD-19

It seems like Andy Kerr isn’t the only incumbent state representative with eyes on the next chamber up.

From Eli Stokols:

DENVER — State Rep. Robert Ramirez filed papers Thursday to run for the re-drawn Senate District 19, now held by Democratic Sen. Evie Hudak, FOX31 Denver was first to report.

Ramirez, who’s in his first term as a state representative, decided to run for the senate because the new map of legislative districts took a big chunk of GOP voters out of his House district.

Also, changes to Hudak’s Senate district have made it more favorable to a Republican challenger.

se I want to continue to represent my neighbors, the people who were in my House district,” Ramirez told FOX31 Denver at the Capitol on Thursday.

“It’s not going to be easy, but here we go.”

Ramirez narrowly defeated Democratic Rep. Debbie Benefield to win House District 29 in 2010 and helped secure the GOP’s one-seat House Majority.

Although Senate Republicans have recently targeted Senator Evie Hudak on television and in mailers, Rep. Ramirez’s challenge to the incumbent Democrat still comes as a slight surprise. Of course, Ramirez never formally filed papers for re-election to the House, so it’s likely he was waiting to hear how reapportionment would change both his House and Senate districts before jumping into the race that he could win more easily.

Ramirez was being challenged for his House seat by Democrat Tracy Kraft-Tharpe. His entrance into the Senate race certainly gives Kraft-Tharpe an advantage: she’s been campaigning for months for what is now an open seat that’s favorable for Democrats.

As for Hudak? Former State Treasurer Cary Kennedy won what is now Senate District 19 by a grand total of 5 votes in her 2010 re-election bid. Republicans also hold a slight registration advantage in the district. SD-19 would’ve seen a competitive race between Hudak and any Republican challenger, really, but Ramirez’s entrance as a sitting state representative makes it all the more likely to be a messy fight.

Ramirez’s win over Debbie Benefield in 2010 was instrumental in giving Frank McNulty the gavel. With Ramirez switching instead to a Senate race, Speaker McNulty might be coming to terms with the fact that he probably won’t keep the big office next year.  

Tim Allport to Take on Libby Szabo

With Dianne Primavera itching to take back her old House seat, all eyes turned to former State Representative Sara Gagliardi. Gagliardi narrowly lost her 2010 election to Republican Libby Szabo.

Of course, Primavera likely decided to run after 2010 winner Don Beezely announced he wouldn’t be seeking a second term. But Szabo is running for re-election, and her incumbency is probably enough to ward off a battle weary Gagliardi.

Gagliardi probably had a better chance than most to win her seat back for the Democratic caucus, but HD-27 has always been a tough nut to crack. Even after reapportionment, the Arvada seat is fairly favorable to Republicans. Treasurer Cary Kennedy lost the district with 47% of the vote in her 2010 campaign, and Republicans hold an 8% lead in registration numbers. Though it was a critical 2010 win for Frank McNulty, it’s less likely that Mark Ferrandino will pour resources into the seat in 2012 – there are easier ways to gain back the majority.

Still, Democrats need a candidate capable enough to bolster races up-ballot despite a daunting fight to win the seat. Who, then, is going to run against Szabo?

Cue Democratic activist Tim Allport:

Having served the people of Colorado as a public employee and as an active member of the community, I have a unique background and a strong passion to serve. As a long-time advocate for working families, I have seen Coloradans struggle during this long Recession. I am passionate about finding ways to get them back to work in good-paying jobs and providing a quality education for their children so that they grow up to have a real chance at finding success in America.

My family was always engaged in the political process and while my views have evolved, be assured that my commitment to civic responsibly is stronger than ever. I will work hard to improve our district, our community and the state of Colorado. Like most people who run for office, I have core beliefs, but am committed to getting things done. I will achieve results, respond to everybody and do a great job for the people of House District 27 and the City of Arvada, Colorado.

Thank you for your support.

Allport is a familiar face to many Democrats both in Arvada and the Denver Metro Area. He’s the current chair of the Colorado Democratic Party’s Labor Initiative and a staple of Democratic fundraisers across the county.

But can he win? Allport’s certainly connected enough to the activist core of the Colorado Democratic Party, and we suspect that every notable Dem in Jeffco will at least go canvass for the labor leader. Whether or not he poses a serious threat to Szabo, however, all comes down to his fundraising. If Allport’s numbers are competitive, HD-27 might be useful in the Democratic attempt to regain the House.

If Allport doesn’t pull in the amount of money he needs to, however, it gives good reason for Democrats to ignore HD-27 and focus on easier ways to recapture the speaker’s office. The next few weeks, then, will be critical to the overall viability of Allport’s campaign as he both picks off low-hanging fruit and reaches out to new donors.  

McConnell Attempts To Stanch GOP Payroll Tax Bleed-Out

UPDATE #3: The Colorado Independent’s David O. Williams: Colorado U.S. Sen. Mark Udall this afternoon said he hopes a pending deal between House Republicans and Senate leaders to end a payroll tax-cut stalemate signals a new willingness for both parties to work together after the holidays. “I’m grateful that cooler heads have prevailed and that […]

State To Appeal Lobato vs. Colorado Loss

A fully expected development, given the enormous fiscal implications of the decision against the state regarding its constitutional obligation to provide a “thorough and uniform” public education system in the Lobato vs. Colorado suit. From a press release this morning: Gov. John Hickenlooper released this statement today about the Lobato v. Colorado court case: “It […]

Homestead Exemption “Amnesia”–It’s Back

Yesterday’s big news in Colorado was the significantly improved revenue projections delivered to the Joint Budget Committee by Gov. John Hickenlooper’s chief economist Henry Sobanet. As the Pueblo Chieftain’s Patrick Malone reports today: An unexpectedly strong revenue forecast on Tuesday compelled Gov. John Hickenlooper to withdraw his proposal to cut $89 million from K-12 education […]

Wrong Move, Boehner

We discussed yesterday our thoughts that House Republicans were making a massive strategic error in rejecting a Senate compromise to extend the payroll tax cut. Today, even the conservative Wall Street Journal (subscription required) is wondering what the hell the GOP is thinking: If Republicans didn’t want to extend the payroll tax cut on the […]

Lights Out on Democracy

Most of the news cycle yesterday was taken up with stories about the death of the Dear Leader of North Korea and his under-thirty son who now has a nuclear arsenal. One news story showed North Korea at night from space. While the rest of the world is bathed in light, North Korea is black […]

Mesa County Conservation Forum

Yesterday afternoon the Mesa County Conservation Forum held their first public forum. According to their promotional materials, their mission is to engage the community in forums that generate fact-based dialogue surrounding conservation issues, foster open and honest discussion and develop a greater respect and collaboration among members of both the public and private sectors. Maybe […]

Mike Coffman Loves Him Some Health Insurance Profits

Here’s a news release from earlier this month from the Department of Health and Human Services, announcing the scheduled implementation of an important provision of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (so much easier to just call it “Obamacare”): Today, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) issued a final regulation that will […]

Mark Udall Introduces “Due Process Guarantee” For American Citizens

From Senator Mark Udall’s press release today–full text after the jump: Today, Mark Udall, a member of the Senate Armed Services and Intelligence committees, announced that he has joined Intelligence Committee Chairwoman Dianne Feinstein and a bipartisan group of his colleagues in introducing the Due Process Guarantee Act of 2011, to clarify that American citizens […]

Seven Common Misconceptions About Horse Slaughter

In what looks likely to be my last hour before becoming a “lame duck” FPE, and our last hour before congratulating two fantastic new FPEs on their wins, I’d like to discuss a topic that’s as close to my heart as any political issue: The slaughter of horses in the United States for human consumption […]

Gessler Very Predictably Loses on Primary Disclosure Rule Change

As the Pueblo Chieftain’s Patrick Malone reports: The legislative committee that reviews regulatory rules rejected changes Secretary of State Scott Gessler adopted that reduce the number of campaign-finance reporting periods in the run-up to primary elections. Nonpartisan lawyers from the Office of Legislative Legal Services found Gessler overstepped his authority to enact the rule. “The […]

Federal efforts to pass personhood bills flying under media radar

(Definitely one to watch… – promoted by Colorado Pols) Mississippi’s defeat of a “personhood” amendment last month got journalists across the country talking about campaigns to pass the measure in Colorado, Florida, and other states, but efforts to enact personhood at the federal level have largely flown under the media radar. It’s not looking like […]

Reapportionment’s First Casualties: General Assembly Loses Its Keiths

UPDATE: FOX 31’s Eli Stokols with his timely-as-usual coverage: One Democratic operative gloated on Twitter at news of Swerdfeger’s decision that a “Republican trail of tears” has begun. With Republicans holding just a one-seat majority in the statehouse, Swerdfeger’s exit could pave the way for Democrats to regain a majority in November. The new map […]

Setting The Record Straight on Romanoff v. Bennet, and why Obama Should Listen

Last week, before Andrew Romanoff endorsed Joe Miklosi in CD6, there was a diary comment on Pols which stated “Romanoff’s Senate campaign was a disaster”. That comment got under my skin, so I will set the record straight, for the sake of the tens of thousands of his supporters, as well as for the 2012 […]

Scott Gessler Needs Your Help!

You’ve read by now about the major campaign finance rule changes proposed by Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler earlier this month. The brief summary of what Gessler is attempting here, as we understand it, is a smorgasbord of rewrites to campaign finance rules that would significantly undermine issue committee disclosure, while tightening requirements for […]

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