November 04, 2016 03:08 PM UTC

Three New Colorado Polls: Clinton Up 5-6, Bennet Stomping Glenn

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• by: Colorado Pols

Three polls out in the past 24 hours show a stabilizing picture of the presidential race in Colorado–first, GOP-aligned Magellan Strategies’ poll out late yesterday:

Our final survey of likely voters in Colorado finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 6 points, with 44% supporting Hillary Clinton and 38% supporting Donald Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is down to 7%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 2% support, 2% support for “some other candidate” and 7% are undecided.

Compared to our last Colorado survey on October 12th, we find that Hillary Clinton’s support has increased by 4 points from 40% to 44%, and Donald Trump’s support has increased by 3 points from 35% to 38%. Gary Johnson’s support has declined by 5-points and Jill Stein’s support has declined 3 points. We believe that Hillary Clinton is the beneficiary of the declines in support for the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, although she may have lost some support to Donald Trump, especially among voters 65 and older.

Keating Research/OnSight PR, considered a Democratic pollster but reliable based on past experience:

Hillary Clinton holds a 5-point lead over Donald Trump on the eve of the 2016 election, according to a Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs poll released today.

In a poll of 605 likely voters, Clinton leads Trump 43% to 38%, while Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet leads Republican challenger Darryl Glenn 49% to 38%.

“At the top of the ticket, Trump is failing in two areas seen as critical in presidential election years,” said Chris Keating, president of Keating Research. “He trails Clinton by double digits in the suburban swing counties around Denver, and he performs even worse with Hispanic voters.”

And finally, in a Public Policy Polling survey of “firewall” swing states:

New PPP polls in Colorado, Michigan, and Virginia find Hillary Clinton leading by 5 points in each state in the final rundown to election day.

Clinton leads 48-43 in Colorado, with Gary Johnson at 4%, Jill Stein at 2%, and Evan McMullin at 1%. In a head to head match up just between her and Trump, she leads 50-45…

As is happening in battleground states across the country, Clinton’s amassing a large lead in early voting in each of these states. Among those who have already cast their ballots she’s up 52-41 in Colorado, 57-36 in Michigan, and 63-32 in Virginia.

The convergence of these numbers mutually reinforces confidence in them, and the numbers for already-voted respondents in the PPP survey are an increasingly firm indicator. In 2012, Keating Research predicted the presidential race in Colorado closer than anyone else two days before the election: when many other polls were showing Mitt Romney close or even ahead.

We’d therefore call these numbers worth noting–and we’re only a few days from the only poll that matters.