Colorado Senate Race Now “Leans Democratic”

From CQ Politics:

With a hefty war chest and a lead in the polls, Colorado Democratic Rep. Mark Udall ‘s prospects of taking over the Senate seat of retiring Republican Sen. Wayne Allard appear to be brightening.

CQ Politics is changing its rating of the high-profile Colorado Senate race to reflect a slight edge for Udall, who is facing Republican former Rep. Bob Schaffer.

By shifting the rating of the Colorado Senate race to “Leans Democratic” from “No Clear Favorite,” CQ Politics now considers Udall as a narrow front-runner in a highly competitive race that had been previously classified as a toss-up…

…Though CQ Politics does not base its race ratings changes primarily on polling data, it’s unmistakable that Udall has moved out to a consistent lead in a series of polls, including a nine-point advantage in a Public Policy Polling survey that was conducted earlier this month.

Udall’s edge can be attributed to other factors. The national political environment continues to be more problematic for the Republicans than the Democrats. In Colorado, Democrats made big gains in the 2006 election. Barack Obama at the moment is at least an even-money bet to defeat John McCain in Colorado, which in 2004 backed President Bush over Democratic nominee John Kerry by 5 percentage points. Republicans still outnumber Democrats on the voter registration rolls in Colorado, though the gap is narrowing and political independents are now more numerous than either Republicans or Democrats.


5 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. DavidThi808 says:

    …that Bob Schaffer is a total doofus when it comes to campaigning. (I still say that Dick Wadhams is actually a Democratic operative running under deep cover.)

    • RedGreen says:

      to Gail Schoettler and Tom Strickland.

      Schaffer’s an effective campaigner when he’s preaching to his choir. He just can’t reach the other two-thirds of Colorado voters.

      • One Queer Dude says:

           True.  Sweatshop has never run in a truly competitive race (unless you count his unsuccessful bid for Lt. Guv in ’94.)

          Then again, Udall has lived a somewhat ideologically-sheltered life in all of his races.  

          Although CD 2, prior to redistricting in ’01, was more competitive than it is now and Udall did have a serious opponent in ’98.

  2. redstateblues says:

    “Schaffer’s an effective campaigner when he’s preaching to his choir. He just can’t reach the other two-thirds of Colorado voters.”

    Were you at the debate? That was the exact thing I took from it. Schaffer is not a likeable candidate. All he can do is whine about “Washington politics” yet he wants to go there to restore the GOP to what it was in the first half of this decade. He’s the one that truly represents politics as usual.

  3. mr science says:

    Last 3 polls have each had Udall up by 9-10 pts.  CQ Politics is just  playing catch up here…

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