New polling data in Colorado’s third congressional district backs up national data showing just how unpopular President Trump has become just one year into his second term in the White House.
Trump’s approval ratings nationally are at about 40% in a recent AP/NORC survey, with 59% of adults saying they are unhappy with his overall job performance (including 67% of “Independent” voters).
Numbers from Expedition Strategies, conducted on behalf of the campaign of Democrat Alex Kelloff in CO-03, show that Trump is also underwater in Western and Southern Colorado. At a glance, the numbers in CO-03 aren’t as bad overall for Trump, with 47% of voters approving of his job performance and 53% voicing disapproval, but in context those results are pretty rough. Trump carried CO-03 by 10 points in the 2024 election (via The Downballot), which was actually a small improvement on his 2020 election performance; 14 months later, 48% of CO-03 voters already have a “very unfavorable” view of the President.

This new data in CO-03 also indicates trouble ahead for Republican incumbent Rep. Jeff “Bread Sandwich” Hurd. While Hurd has made a few half-assed attempts to put some distance between himself and the Big Orange Guy, he won’t be able to avoid being painted as a rubber stamp for the White House.

The problem for Kelloff is that he is virtually unknown in the third congressional district, but at least he doesn’t have to fight the Trump headwinds in 2026.
These numbers should also be terrifying for Republican Rep. Gabe Evans, whose eighth congressional district only favored Trump by about one percentage point in 2024. If Trump is doing this bad in CO-03, then he is almost certainly in much worse shape in CO-08.
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