August 03, 2022 01:08 PM UTC

Adam Frisch Nudges Expectations His Way In New Poll

•  
• by: Colorado Pols

A press release from CD-3 Democratic nominee Adam Frisch touts polling numbers showing Frisch down by 7 points to freshman GOP outrage aggregator Rep. Lauren Boebert–obviously with room to improve but beating the expected performance for a Democrat in this R+9 district, as well as general expectations after Rep. Boebert blew out her Republican primary opponent Don Coram:

A poll released today of likely voters in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District shows voters are growing tired of Congresswoman Lauren Boebert (R-CO). The embattled incumbent is leading her opponent, Western Slope businessman Adam Frisch, by just 7 percentage points.

According to the poll conducted by Keating Research, 42% of those surveyed said they’d vote for Frisch, with Boebert receiving just 49%, less than majority support. Boebert also received less than two-thirds of the vote in the recent Republican primary. She now trails Frisch among Unaffiliated voters, the largest voting group in the district, by 8 points, with 49% saying they’d vote Frisch and only 41% for Boebert.

“These numbers reflect what we’ve been hearing from voters all across the district: that they’re ready to stop Boebert’s circus and elect a representative that will work hard to address the needs of the district on issues like inflation, jobs, water, energy independence, and more,” Frisch said. “Boebert is a show pony who only works hard to boost her own personal profile, not to deliver results for the people of Southern and Western Colorado. I’m more confident than ever that Boebert is weak and going to lose, and that the voters of CO-3 are ready for real leadership.”

Frisch gets credit for releasing honest numbers that show realistically the challenge he faces defeating Boebert in November. With that said, Boebert has consistently underperformed to a measurable degree relative to the partisan leanings of the district, and these numbers reflect that deficiency. After Boebert’s trouncing of Coram by 64-36% in the June 28th primary, she was considered safer than these numbers indicate.

No one should be under any delusions that this race will be easy for Democrats to win. But Frisch’s vast personal resources mean that he can wage full-scale war in this race like a top-tier pickup opportunity if he chooses, and all Frisch needs to show right now is that he is at least no worse off against Boebert post-primary.

Now we’ll see if Frisch can shave seven more points from Boebert’s baked-in advantage.