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October 13, 2011 08:27 PM UTC

Herman Cain Just Might Actually Be President

  • by: Colorado Pols

Our friends at “The Fix” outline how Republican businessman Herman Cain may just actually (no, really) have a chance at the GOP nomination for President. On the heels of a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released yesterday, “The Fix” plots Cain’s (potential) path to victory:

1. Cain is already top-tier: Cain has surged to 27 percent in a hypothetical national primary ballot test – up from just 5 percent in an August NBC-WSJ poll. His current standing puts him on par with Romney (23 percent) and makes clear that the two men comprise the top tier in the race as of today. That Cain’s rise has been fueled almost entirely by the struggles of Texas Gov. Rick Perry (Cain went up 22 points between August and October, Perry dropped by 22 points over that same period) is a dynamic that suggests Cain is now the conservatives’ choice in the contest.

2. Cain has room to grow: Nearly one in four Republicans (23 percent) in the NBC-WSJ survey didn’t know enough about Cain to offer an opinion on him. Just six percent had no opinion of Romney and 11 percent didn’t know enough about Perry to rate him. That means that Cain – unlike either of his two main opponents – still has a ways to go until he reaches his political ceiling. Combine that with the fact that the people who know Cain really like him (52 percent have a favorable impression,while just 6 percent have a negative one) and there’s clearly room for growth there.

3. Ideology trumps electability: A near-majority (46 percent) of Republicans said the most important thing to them in a presidential nominee was “a candidate who comes closest to your views on issues” while another 33 percent said they valued the “right personal style and strong leadership qualities” in a candidate. Just 20 percent said they preferred a candidate with the best chance to beat President Obama. [Pols emphasis] It’s hard to argue that Cain is positioned anywhere but to the ideological right of Romney, putting him more in line with the average primary voter. And, while it’s somewhat debateable which of the two men have the “right personal style”, Cain is clearly the more charismatic of the duo.

That highlighted part above is just stunning — only 20% of Republicans say they prefer a candidate who has the best chance to defeat President Obama. If Republican voters are really more interested in ideology than electability — which was certainly true in 2010 — then this is great news for Cain…and Obama.


27 thoughts on “Herman Cain Just Might Actually Be President

    1. Herman Cain’s … the tax code would be very, very simple: The corporate income tax rate would be 9 percent, the personal income tax rate would be 9 percent and the national sales tax rate would be 9 percent.

      But there’s already a 999 plan out there, in a land called SimCity.

      Long before Cain was running for president and getting attention for his 999 plan, the residents of SimCity 4 — which was released in 2003 — were living under a system where the default tax rate was 9 percent for commercial taxes, 9 percent for industrial taxes and 9 percent for residential taxes.

      Next up for Cain: a national defense plan led by an Italian plumber with a funky moustache?  

  1. I don’t think we’ve seen a recent election between black and white candidates in a seriously racist constituency, but my guess is that almost all of Cain’s support in the polls will evaporate when the first Republican voter has to actually cast a vote.

    1. The Mormon or the black man.  That’ll be fun to watch.  I may go back to being an election judge just for the primary, so I can sit and watch all the Republicans’ heads explode.

      1. not sufficiently hating children who, through no fault of there own, were brought here illegally and of recognizing that young people have sex. So now what?

  2. He will never be white enough to be a Republican. He will never be a teabagger, way not the right skin color. He can spout all the talking points he wants, but in the end he will be left to walk home on his own.

    He will be a front runner as long as the Republican party wants to show they have a black man in the party; to try to match the Dems, who, along with a few million indies, voted for and elected Obama. Cain will never get past a primary.

    He is like a super rich Ryan Frasier, but at a different level in the party. Cain can buy much higher than Frasier ever will. As Frasier found out with his Senate run, there is only so much road the Republicans will allow a black man to go on; then it will be time to put the “winner” up there so the voters will stay with the Republicans and not go to the party of Little Tommy Tancredo.

    1. I don’t want to actually deal with the race, but I would love to know how many people in the Bible Belt would actually vote in a black guy vs. black guy presidential election.

  3. of Republicans say they prefer a candidate who has the best chance to defeat President Obama speaks primarily to their confidence that anybody can beat Obama.

    The best thing that could happen for Obama would be for this sentiment to prevail long enough for one of these nuts to wrap up the primary, before they figure out it’s an actual race.

  4. on CNN w/ Erin Burnett.

    OMG What a nudnik!  Missile defense v. Iran?

    Outer space v. HumInt?

    The guy’s below average intelligence with a deluded sense of reality?

    He’s a respected candidate for president?

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