(Originally posted at Denver Pols)
Tomorrow, Colorado Pols is once again teaming up with RBI Strategies & Research to release a new, high-quality poll of the Denver mayoral race. Last October, we released a series of RBI-conducted polls that correctly forecast the outcome of the photo-finish U.S. Senate race, as well as the gubernatorial race and the major statewide ballot initiatives.
RBI’s polling is conducted adherent to the highest methodological standards. It’s our goal, as always, to be entirely transparent with the results, and we’ll post full toplines and crosstabs. RBI’s pollster Kevin Ingham will join in comments here at Colorado Pols for a live question-and-answer session on the results of this poll tomorrow at 1PM.
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Kevin was great last go around. I’m sure he’ll be great this time too.
Who is RBI working with on this election?
Then I get to say the polling is horribly biased.
🙂
Thanks for doing this Cpols! I’m excited to see what results!
My bet is that Romer is way ahead, with Mejia, Boigon, Linkhart, and Hancock clumped behind in a nondescript pack (though a chance that Boigon is No. 2).
Polls this early measure only name ID, which, for real candidates, is not very hard to buy once they start buying.
Depending how hard they press the undecideds, here’s my prediction:
Undecided 40
Romer 20
Mejia 15
Linkhart 10
Hancock 5
Boigon 5
all the rest total 5
Jeff Peckman would be higher, but his supporters are all long long long long distance and can’t be polled 🙁
In all seriousness though, I would guess Boigon might be a little higher than you list — as the first on TV (even with that god-awful ad), her name ID probably improved.
I wonder if Spahn shows up on the radar or if she’s in the Lopez/Wolf/Peckman/Simpson category.
I was polled on this race a few days back and the poll taker totally mutilated both Mejia and Boigon’s names. If I wasn’t intimately involved in the process I would have had no idea who they were referring to.
At the time I thought it was just some sort of bizarre push poll. Now I’m wondering if it was RBI.