Who Will be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2020?

Who fills this spot in 2020?

It’s been way too long since we last asked this question, so let’s skip the formalities and get right to it.

As always, we want to know what you think will happen here — not what you want to happen or who you personally might support. If you had to place a bet on the outcome TODAY, who do you predict will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2020?

We don’t want to take up the entire screen with this one poll, so you’ll have to cast your vote after the jump…

 

Who Will be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2020?
Joe Biden
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Kamala Harris
Beto O\'Rourke
Pete Buttigieg
Amy Klobuchar
Michael Bennet
Cory Booker
Tom Steyer
Andrew Yang
Julian Castro
Steve Bullock
Someone Else
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29 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. harrydobyharrydoby says:

    I'm impressed with Warren's strengthening position, and concerned that Harris appears to be fading, even in her home state of California.  Harris can't just tread water.  She has 6 months to figure it out, otherwise I think Warren will be the nominee.

    • OrangeFreeOrangeFree says:

      Harris has three months and change to figure it out. If she doesn't show a strong third or even fourth in Iowa, she's in serious trouble. If she doesn't even pull in 15% to get any delegates, she's done then and there. 

      • harrydobyharrydoby says:

        I believe Iowa is fading in influence as well.  I think it will be mostly over by March with Super Tuesday

        • OrangeFreeOrangeFree says:

          Oh, it will all be over after Super Tuesday, yeah. But Iowa is still first, and a campaign's strength and perceived ability to continue will be determined by the portrayal of the results. Her money and support drys up if she doesn't have a strong showing in Iowa – I think the Dems are going to coalesce around one of the candidates sooner than we all think.  

          • VoyageurVoyageur says:

            Agreed,Orange.  The debates have gone a long way toward sorting things out.  Biden is too old , Bernie way too old.  Elizabeth is too liberal, but smart enough to tack toward

            center in the race with Stinky Boy.

            bob Dole's "three tickets out of Iowa" are Warren and Biden, with just maybe boot edgeedge in third.  The two out of New Hampshire are Warren and Bid en.  

            From then on, Warren rolls, though proportional representation means she still needs some dealing for a convention majority.

  2. MADCO says:

    why do we bother to have elections at all?
    The Big Line and the posters here are never wrong.

    • harrydobyharrydoby says:

      Good point

      “If off-year summer polls determined the primary's outcome, we’d all be talking about how Presidents Wes Clark and Hillary Clinton were faring in retirement,” Sams said. “We're not playing to win a news cycle. We're playing to win an election. We want to peak when votes are cast in the early states and in March, and our infrastructure is built to do just that.”

  3. VoyageurVoyageur says:

    Far from fading, I think Iowa will give a big win to Warren that will kill off Bernie, badly weaken Biden, and after another win in next door New Hampshire set up the Persistent one for a giant win on S uper Tuesday.  

    i can live with that, though my heart is still with Amy.

  4. Meiner49erMeiner49er says:

    Warren is indeed coming on strong, but it's still too early to call favorites. Harris says she's "fucking moving to Iowa," so I'm not writing her off yet. That said, I'm comfortable writing off both Bernie and Biden by January in Iowa. Both of those women are stronger candidates than those old rivals. It comes down to a contest of who has the best ground game in Iowa, and that will be Warren or Harris. I'll grant Warren the edge given she was smart enough to figure that out months ago, but it will be close.

  5. DavidThi808DavidThi808 says:

    By the time Iowa & New Hampshire are over it will be:

    Warren & Biden closely competitive (Warren creams him in the first two but then comes Nevada and South Carolina).

    Sanders at 15% and glides down to 8% over the course of the rest of the primaries. Down but not out

    Harris or Booker gets enough to stay in, their hope being that Warren & Biden tie and they become the compromise candidate. Only one of them can continue though.

    And the rest are out. One or two may have enough money to remain running to Super Tuesday, but they're done.

  6. Duke CoxDuke Cox says:

    Alva…did someone vote multiple times? 

    How did Bernies'number skyrocket like that?

     

  7. RepealAndReplace says:

    Suddenly, Sheriff Joe and Chem-Trials Kelly aren't the craziest candidates offered up by the Arizona GOP….

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/09/18/mcsallys_gop_senate_challenger_wants_toannex_mexico__141291.html

    I don't think he has really thought this through. There are 31 states plus Mexico City. If each became a US state, that is 64 new Democratic US Senators.

    It makes you long for the days of Evan Mecham.

    • Conserv. Head Banger says:

      Shouldn't we be working on annexing Greenland first before we work on annexing Mexico?

    • harrydobyharrydoby says:

      Looks like the Arizona GOP is taking lessons from our state GOP

      “It seems that Arizona’s Republican leadership is determined to see the state turn blue in 2020,” the editorial board of the News-Herald grumbled. “It has been disappointing to watch the state GOP bumble along this past year, first with news about anemic fundraising numbers, and more recently with surprisingly tone-deaf statements that have only served to highlight divisions within the party and embolden Arizona Democrats."

      Add to that eye-rolling sure to be inspired by McCarthy’s annexation talk.

    • MADCO says:

      well… I'm pretty sure he wants to "annex" Mexico like Puerto Rico or the Mariana Islands. Or as one large state.

      But he's not the administration's obstacle in AZ.
      Mark Kelley is a bona fide astronaut. And a good candidate.

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