CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 15, 2010 11:16 PM UTC
33 Comments
Jane Norton raised over 7 times as much as her primary opponent.
So it doesn’t really matter that much, as long as the surrogates stay on message.
The money won’t keep flowing from his surrogates if he continues to prove he can’t raise diddly squat on his own. I see what you’re saying but there’s just no way this pathetic showing for 1st quarter doesn’t matter.
Buck is also a much stronger general election candidate as he has a deeper resume.
Look for donations generated by Senate DeMint and others to perk up Buck’s totals next quarter. To think he almost dropped out and Jane Norton blew the chance to run only against Tom Wiens.
Duke it out among yourselves.
As Norton self-destructs and Buck comes up short, who’s left standing with a lot of money and a clear shot to the primary?
Every time he gets any level of critical questions he runs away. You can’t win an election that way.
Perish the thought!
The Buck campaign site appears to be shocked! — pleasantly shocked! — to discover all this third-party largesse:
That’s a pathetic take for any Senate candidate, and there’s no good way to sugar-coat it.
Mr. Buck’s campaign is literally on life support from the third party groups. If he can’t raise money, and so far his totals are abysmal, they won’t stick around through the primary. His campaign is looking less and less like a winner.
Or a contributor who wants to spend a lot of money putting his man in the Senate.
Over the past six months (October 1, 2002 through March 31, 2010), Mr. Buck has raised a grand total of $159,000, not including his loan of $100,000 to his campaign. Divided by 180 days that equals $883 each day. With seven months to go before the general elction (approximately 210 days) that equals an additional $185,430 through eleciton day in November. He will raise more than that if he wins the primary but his fundraising has to raise questions about his viability.
Money will pour in. Keep in mind all the big money has gone to Jane, so they can all donate the max to Buck if he wins. I don’t think money will be a problem for him in the general.
he has to at least raise $5 million on his own and right now he isn’t any where close to raising that amount. I don’t think he can raise that much between August 10th and election day in November.
wouldn’t the same be true for Romanoff? If he wins the primary all the big money that’s going to Bennet will go to him?
Just wondering about your logic here.
First- Romanoff won’t take PAC money, though less than 18% of Bennet’s donations that part goes to zero.
Second – individual D donors may come over. They may not. R’s rend to be more organized that way.
Third- just like Buck, and what David is forgetting or ignoring in his excitement about being right about Buck’s popularity, is that neither have shown big fundraising chops.
I’ve never said it wouldn’t.
guess i was mistaken — thought you had. No snark…just interesting to see what you’re thinking.
Assuming a senate candidate needs to raise $5 million before election day this November, exclusive of 527 or other kinds of independent expenditures, Mr. Buck or any other candidate must raise around $23,810 per day from April 1st through election day. At the moment, Mr. Buck is raising around $883 each day or $23,000 less than he should. Each day he doesn’t raise the required amount increases what he must raise the following day. Logically and immediately, unless his fund raising increases by leaps and bounds, it will be impossible for him to raise the amounts of money he will need to run a credible general election campaign.
If he wins the primary with a couple of hundred thousand, I wouldn’t be the farm that he would need 5M to win the general. It’s a weird year and the impact of the web keeps growing. I will be very nervous if Buck wins the primary.
While some money will obviously come in, there’s NO WAY he brings in enough.
Since our primary is in August that doesn’t leave enough time to raise the money necessary to fight Bennet and win.
Regardless of outside help with airtime, this race is going to be a record. Obama needs to save some Democrats for the Senate. We want this seat back.
Its gonna get ugly and expensive. If our candidate can’t raise money, he needs to step aside.
Or is it about Buck’s ego and not us?
AR’s gonna do something similar and it won’t b pathetic then
Perhaps I need re-attach the ColoPols training wheels.
During the 2008 campaign anytime anything happened that was a downer for Republicans the spin was that it was good news for McCain because it was going to somehow be turned into a Republican advantage. Obama beating Clinton was good news because it meant McCain was going to face a weaker opponent. The economy going down the tubes was good news because it showed that the fundamentals of our economy were so strong that we could take a downturn. yadda yadda yadda. It was a joke on how everything is good news to Republicans somehow.
Previously, before the “post-Norton decides to petition” position where are now in, I gave Buck a bar at 400k, and he delivers with 120k in actual fundraising. Underwhelming. I think this knocks out the euphoria his camp has had, given the DeMint momentum and party support through following the conventional process. But God, if he can only muster that much, he would get trounced in the general.
I don’t think Buck gives a … (well it rhymes!)
His head is SO in the clouds, he things he can win with no money.
Maybe he can if the “mystery donor” keeps plowing $500K into a new group every other week for commercials. I just wonder what the “mystery” will demand in return.
Its not that hard to guess who it is. The Post pointed out that nearly all of Buck’s donations came from one company and their families. Hensel…
Hmmm…. I wonder what company is buying the airtime…
The Average Joe being assaulted with attack ads doesn’t care if they’re funded by Buck himself or the 501(c)(6)s or whatever.
Just like the Average Joe doesn’t give a rat’s ass that Sarah Palin is dumb as a post and screeches like nails on a chalkboard. She’s purty.
Norton keeps pulling cash and it has only made it possible for her to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. David Thi is right: It’s a weird year and especially on the right in Colorado.
Buck’s cash will increase on the ground through the web and the tea parties and he’ll keep getting money from his special mystery friends. The combination, even at this stage, is proving deadly to Norton.
That special friends money has narrowed the cash gap. Norton’s only got 200K more cash on hand than Buck after raising funds like gangbusters. She’s spent a lot on ads and she’s losing!
“Raising money like gangbusters”??? 118K??? That’s pathetic.
Buck’s got no abilty to raise money. Considering his “loan”, its the only way folks aren’t laughing in his face right now. The only thing keeping him “in the race” is the 527 money someone keeps throwing to any DC group that’s willing to take a check for a month or two of work.
But your outrage is palpable.