(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(D) Julie Gonzales
(R) Janak Joshi
80%
40%
20%
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Hetal Doshi
50%
40%↓
30%
(D) Jeff Bridges
(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
50%↑
40%↓
30%
(D) Diana DeGette*
(D) Wanda James
(D) Milat Kiros
80%
20%
10%↓
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Alex Kelloff
(R) H. Scheppelman
60%↓
40%↓
30%↑
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) E. Laubacher
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
30%↑
20%
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Jessica Killin
55%↓
45%↑
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Shannon Bird
(D) Manny Rutinel
45%↓
30%
30%
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%

The six-way Republican primary for the nomination to fill retired Rep. Ken Buck’s safe Republican CO-04 seat concludes tonight, and the conventional wisdom as of this morning is that carpetbagging scandal-plagued quasi-incumbent Rep. Lauren Boebert is favored to win by a plurality well under 50%–putting the capstone on a political comeback that few imagined possible after Boebert’s fall from grace in a Denver theater last September.
A totally unscientific reader poll follows: what margin do you think Boebert wins by tonight? We’ve included the possibility that Boebert doesn’t win at all, and in that event we’ll join most of the political pundit class eating crow. But in the meantime, as always don’t tell us what you want the result to be, tell us what you genuinely believe to be the most likely outcome.
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