March 28, 2024 03:00 PM UTC

Who Will Win the Republican Vacancy Appointment in CO-04?

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• by: Colorado Pols

All aboard to [checks map] Hugo, Colorado!

Hugo and its 786 residents will see quite the crowd tonight when a Republican vacancy committee meets to determine who gets to be on the ballot for the June 25 Special Election to fill the remainder of former Rep. Ken Buck’s term in Congress. If you’re not familiar with Hugo — and nobody is — it’s a town located about 100 miles southeast of Denver. Tonight’s GOP meeting is probably the most exciting thing to happen in Hugo since residents thought their drinking water was contaminated with THC in 2016 (it turns out that the water was fine; people were just high on life in Hugo).

Whoever wins tonight’s vacancy will likely appear on the June 25th ballot twice, since that same ballot will open with the Republican Primary race for the right to serve a full two-year term in CO-04. Democrats will hold a virtual vacancy committee on April 1 to nominate a candidate for CO-04, but the demographics of the district mean that Republicans could select a broomstick and it would probably win the Special Election.

Whoever wins the nomination for Republicans tonight should have somewhat of an advantage leading up to the June 25 election; since that person will almost certainly serve in Congress for the last six months of 2024, they should be able to shake loose more money from lobbyists at the very least.

We want to know what readers of Colorado Pols THINK is going to happen tonight. As always with our totally non-scientific polls, we want to know what you believe will happen — think of it like sports betting — and not who you might support or prefer to win.

Neither Lauren Boebert nor Deborah Flora are listed below because they have opted out of the Special Election. There will be more names hoping for a bid tonight than those listed in our poll, but if we can’t name any of them, then chances are pretty good that a vacancy committee won’t know who they are, either. The process is a little more complicated than this, but in a nutshell: The vacancy committee will hold several rounds of voting, with the lowest-performing candidates getting knocked out each round.

Anyway, to the Pols polls!

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