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Last Ballot Return Numbers Before Voting Ends

by: Colorado Pols

Tue Aug 10, 2010 at 15:19:34 PM MDT


We thought we'd again start a new thread with this information (click for the earlier post), now that we've got the latest (and last) update from the Secretary of State's office on ballot returns. Here are the ballot return numbers as of 3:00 p.m. today:

*Party/ Ballots Returned Thus Far/ Total Active Voters/ Percent Returned
Democrats: 310,671/ 817,458/ 38%
Republicans: 358,953/ 855,667/ 42%

As we wrote earlier, these numbers have already smashed previous turnout figures for a Primary Election in Colorado, and they don't include turnout for El Paso and Weld Counties (which were not all-mail ballot counties). This could very well mean that Michael Bennet and Jane Norton will be the winners of their respective primaries because of their name ID advantage. We'd say the same thing for Scott McInnis in the Governor's race, but we have a feeling the undervote in that one will be huge.  

Colorado Pols :: Last Ballot Return Numbers Before Voting Ends
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Assuming that only counts returned mail-in ballots,
not votes cast today at polling places, looks as though we're headed to  mid-to upper 40% (Rep) and low to mid-40% (Dem) turnout rates.

Those are amazing primary participation rates! Congratulations to Colorado.

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


Well, the people are pissed
Dems want the change they were promised and members of both Parties have been activated by the long running, tired and sad results of Democrat control.

In general, members of both groups are worse off then they were a year ago. When you are not happy you go to the poll.

This PPP poll showing Bennet comfortable in the lead and my inside contacts still claim Bennet's the guy. I still don't believe it in my heart. Romanoff's people have been pounding the house with calls every night. It sure will be interesting to see tonights results and the analysis.


[ Parent ]
That's "DemocratIC" to you
"Tired and sad"? Not compared to the Lost Bush Decade.

"Why not do the right thing for the American people, even though it's not exactly what we want." - Speaker Boehner

[ Parent ]
Well you've never steered us wrong in the past Libertad...
always trust those inside contacts of yours. Are those the same ones that told you global warming could be measured in nomian time ?


" The webinar is free, however, there are only 250 spaces available "

Some douche


[ Parent ]
Thanks
Hey, if you have to double down on batshit crazy there's your ticket !

" The webinar is free, however, there are only 250 spaces available "

Some douche


[ Parent ]
That's their problem Libster
They kept calling Republicans but that's to be expected.  They ran a Republican campaign and got confused about who they were trying to appeal to.

[ Parent ]
Also in general
both groups are worse off because Republicans chose to sit on their hands and not help lift our country up.  Their obstruction was a contributing factor to the unemployed being hurt and losses in almost every sector.

Fortunately our president stayed the course and helped get financial reform passed and is in the process of reforming the MMS.  The country didn't go bankrupt overnight and it won't recover overnight.

Anyone who thinks the president can wave a magic wand and undo the damage from a decade of Republican misrule is probably an unrepentant Republican.

The critical thing is that the president is steady and day by day is working to end the occupation of Iraq and help those in need.  Compare that to the "I got mine screw the rest" mentality of the opposition and you know that the president is one who is really working for the average citizen.  Nothing says Republican greed like trying to extend the tax cuts for the rich.

The president is doing a superb job given the mess he inherited.  Day by day dude things are getting better.


[ Parent ]
Do these numbers reflect U's who affiliated to vote?
In mail only counties, do these numbers reflect  voters who showed up at a service center and voted?


If you look at the leftmost number
"Ballots sent out" or "Registered," note that it keeps getting bigger.  Compare with an earlier report.

So yes, the numbers seem to reflect U voters who affiliate at a service center.

When you switch, the info goes right into the SoS database.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno


[ Parent ]
they don't include turnout for El Paso and Weld Counties
The numbers do include requested mail ballots and early voting in those counties, and the turnout is already high there before polls opened today. As of the 3 pm report:

Weld
Democrats - 8,065
Republicans - 15,317

El Paso
Democrats - 15,941
Republicans - 41,012


I don't know about El Paso and Weld
But as of June last year, 72 percent of Mesa County voters were on the "Permanent mail-in" list.  That means they would have voted by mail no matter how the election was held.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
El Paso is a strange thing
23.68% Dem and 29% GOP and not a big push at the polls today.

I think the energy was in Denver Metro where there were local personalities at the top of the ticket.  


[ Parent ]
I've been by three of the vote centers in Denver
and all said the same thing--they have been receiving LOTS of ballots.  One had already gone through four ballot boxes--and that was at noon.  

So I think the turnout will indeed be sky high for a primary.

Discipline without purpose is tyranny.


It sounds like you're a poll watcher or otherwise engaged in managing activity at the polling stations


[ Parent ]
Are there any websites out there on voter fraud with mail-in ballots
Hell its easier to vote then activate a credit card and that just seems to be an invitation.

That's such a stupid comment
That I deleted my factual reply and substituted this one.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
You're a fucking moran Ralphie
I'm asking a real question here you dbag.

[ Parent ]
DIg your nose into the Colorado Revised Statutes then
Teach a man to fish...

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
Do they have them printed in Spanish yet?


[ Parent ]
How quickly you forget
The !VIVA TANCREDO! yard signs that Tom Tancredo used to print up. The hypocrite.

"Why not do the right thing for the American people, even though it's not exactly what we want." - Speaker Boehner

[ Parent ]
Don't take it personally, Lib....
.....Ralphie can't help himself when the vapors are on him.

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
You're right, I shouldn't have lashed out


[ Parent ]
You were provoked.


"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
I've been on citizen's task forces with Mesa County Elections
for the last five years.  Libby has no fucking clue how many safeguards are in place.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
How would he have know that? Just man-up when your
negativity blows back at 'cha.

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
State Line
You have been registered here for less than a month.  You have NO IDEA how much stupid shit Libby posts just to get attention.

So in your own words, "just man up" and admit how little you know.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno


[ Parent ]
Just sayin' my friend, that what goes around comes around,
and given the chronic negative vibe you put out into the ether you shouldn't be so shocked when some of it comes back to you.

Your perennial go-to option is rude negativity. One can only wonder why that is.

Also, I didn't realize blogs ran on seniority like the Senate.

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
State Line
There are only four people on this site for whom I have no respect.  You're well on your way to becoming the fifth.

My respect is conferred not on the basis of politics or ideology, not on the basis of seniority, but for simply taking the time to read before you post.

You seem to be rather full of yourself.  I eat guys like you for breakfast.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno


[ Parent ]
Hey, I don't necessarily aspire to your respect, Ralphie -
but in any event, I hope you have a great evening!

Take care,
SL

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
I voted and activated a credit card at the same time
My ballot was a little weird, more than one reference to some too free number for a mortgage company... But It worked for me

[ Parent ]
now the ones my yard signs voted on, well those were
only weird cause I didn't recognize the names of my neighbors printed on them.

But there was more than enough trash to get a decent signature for two of them. For the third, I grabbed my all purpose clipboard and signed petition pages and aske her to sign for the special license plate for the Human Society.


[ Parent ]
Did they offer you 21.5% interest on your vote too?


"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
No, No! It's a good rate, you should take it!


"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
I know this is naïve, but I have faith
in the entire Colorado voting system.
I have lived here for 30+ years and never once read about significant voter fraud.

I have never worried about my vote, whether is was:
1. mechanical lever (I miss those clunky machines)
2. electronic button
3. mail-in paper ballot


[ Parent ]
We had one in Mesa County several years ago
I don't remember who he was, but he was some important rich white guy.  He voted here and somewhere in the midwest, Illinois I think.

He was caught.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno


[ Parent ]
No offense, Ralphie, but
I would not call that significant.

I was thinking more along the lines of: "I see dead people".


[ Parent ]
I was actually supporting your thesis, Dave
I've been watching elections here for 22 years and have only heard of one case of fraud.

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
The one that got caught...
owned one of the major TV stations in the area plus radio stations in the midwest (I believe).

If you're not upset, you haven't been paying attention.  Mike Littwin

[ Parent ]
owned one of the major TV stations
If he owned TV and radio stations in both states, shouldn't he have been allowed to vote both places? I mean, what's a plutocrat to do?

[ Parent ]
All the illegal aliens are voting for Dan Maes
 

"Why not do the right thing for the American people, even though it's not exactly what we want." - Speaker Boehner

[ Parent ]
Results
Best link for tonight's results?

COPOLS ... brofus
That or one of the news stations. I suspect the SOS has a website too.

[ Parent ]
what bets are outstanding?


No one took me up on it, nor does it matter
My heart still says Norton-Romanoff in the US Senate general. Obliviously the PPP predicts otherwise ... I guess this is a test of their polling skills as they called Buck-Norton at a 1point swing, but the Dem primary they claimed to be generally over.

[ Parent ]
Romanoff bet his house.


[ Parent ]
It's going to be hard for him to run for mayor then
when he lists his address as the 23rd Street Viaduct.

[ Parent ]
It is in fact beginning to look that way now, isn't it GG?
OUCH for AR!

"The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
- Charles deGaulle

"It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151


[ Parent ]
my Marc Holtzman collectible plate set
man I hope I don't have to part ways with that. Republican primary complete losers edition. Mint condition too.

" The webinar is free, however, there are only 250 spaces available "

Some douche


[ Parent ]
I'm just betting the over/under on the Dem margin
I say <4

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
See my mea culpa
In the "Predictions" thread

Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

[ Parent ]
Today's ballot totals
My blog gets a lot of traffic when ballots are out. It spiked when the ballots first landed, dropped back a bit over the last 3 weeks, spiked again yesterday, and then doubled again today. So my guess is votes today will be roughly twice what they were yesterday. That makes today the biggest day, but a small part of the total.

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