CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 02, 2010 04:31 PM UTC
42 Comments
will get on the phone after the primary and find high paying, no work jobs for Tancredo and the GOP winner and get them to bow out and get the GOP to appoint a new nominee. Owens redux? Coffman? Chlouber? Loser of Buck/Norton? Suthers? Ali? Heather Lemon?
n/t
now the big question is – will Norton or Buck drop out of the Senate race to run for the Governor’s race?
I believe Norton will try to deal with Tancredo to drop out with the provision that she’ll get McInnis and Maes to quit.
… could be offered the Chairmanship of a new “Colorado Commission on Illegal Immigration” created by the Atty General (the sole Republican officeholder the party could hit up to create such a commission, however unofficial). That’s what I’d do if I were the R party now. You’re welcome for the free advice, D-Wad.
would not be a stronger candidate? Only Heather and Ali.
You don’t think those high pay/no work jobs are available to any of those 3? Now that is possible, that none of the usual suspects would want them on their letterhead.
putting “unnamed Republican” on the Governor Line, and I agree: That candidate would have a better chance that any of the three stooges currently lined up against Hick. Worst case scenario for Dems is that McInnis wins the primary, agrees to step aside (in exchange for a cushy job), and the ‘Pubs pick a strong candidate to replace him. Hick still has the advantage, but that scenario could leave the ‘Pubs better off than they would have been in the absence of McInnis’s meltdown.
It was suggested by someone (David I think) yesterday that primaries make you tough for a general election. It that’s the case and after all the attacks Scott still wins the primary, then I don’t think your golden boy Hick is going to get off quite as easy as you hope.
In a direct match up with Hick, according to this poll, McInnis does better than Maes. With the Tanc in, however, that changes substantially.
I also think that if McInnis gets the nod, many of the Maes voters will seriously consider a vote for Tanc.
Is the(in this poll) 5-point spread between Hick/McInnis (with Looney Tunes Tancredo NOT in the race) impossible for Scooter to make up? No, but I think you overstate the case in saying that the attacks have been fierce against McInnis–it’s nothing yet, one 527/c4 ad, some bad press (including from his hometown paper) and editorializing that he should drop out, and the Denver Past, and other papers across the state…
But if McInnis gets the nod, then you’ll see the real attacks. My prediction: McInnis is toast.
But time will tell.
When your sig line says what you think of my opinion.
And it nowhere implies that all who support Scooter have ‘half a brain’ only that McInnis appeals to those who do. If you want to take a sig line personally (I thought the quote was hilarious, myself) then feel free.
and I think you might be surprised how often we agree on an issue if you weren’t such a “Twit” about those that support a different candidate.
Is it personal? Of course it is if you take your politics seriously.
But I don’t take offense at people’s silly sig lines.
I am baffled as to why you suppport McInnis after what he did. I just don’t get it – how can you support a person like that ?
to your Pollyanna portrayal of Colorado’s own Blagojevich.
McInnis is another retread Republican from the Tom Delay era along with Beauprez and Schaffer.
The fact that Tancredo offers an alternative to McInnis for Maes supporters can’t be discounted particularly when people see McInnis as an untrustworthy liar.
You can heap sarcasm on Hickenlooper but he looks a hell of a lot more trustworthy than “Get the old guy to cop a plea” McInnis.
Hick leading McInnis by 5 in a head-to-head shows (a) McInnis’s bleeding has a limit, and (b) Hick is in for a close one if Tanc’s support tanks.
will keep sinking.
… has been pretty intense, will only decrease; if he wins the primary, the story could be “he survived” like Bill Clinton ’92 after the Gennifer flowers scandal. But I hope you’re right!
and not spend any money campaigning.
What happens if Hickenlooper has say a million dollars and decides to spend a bunch of it in the coming months? The fact that he is up without any visible campaigning says that he has a big upside when he turns on the commercials.
those commercials are already paid for
5 points is an easy margin to make up especially since nothing has come out on Hick. It will in the General and that will make 5 points easy to make up.
People will get tired of the plagiarism, maybe not on Pols but the average person who is not politically savvy will tire of it and move on.
Tanc is the one problem, with him in the race it is over for the Republicans because of the votes he will take away. If his support falls off though it could still be doable for a Republican candidate but still tough.
Should he survive a take down by the underfunded grafter, my guess is there is more to come…
I think that at this point in the race it would have already come out. Dems knew from the start that McInnis was the only candidate that could beat Hickenlooper so why take the chance of letting his stay around. I think we have seen what they have of McInnis and with the polls out it seems that he has stopped the bleeding so to speak.
http://www.denverpost.com/ci_1…
whom ever republicans put up…
it becomes
Governor Hickenlooper.
and you would do well to drop him as a friend.
is akin to the way the Republican Caucus likes to do legislation.
be strong for Guv – since she was a Lt. Guv?
if she is truly down by 10 compared to Buck – maybe she will switch.
The primary ballots are set. But if she loses to Buck and McInnis wins his primary and then steps down (which he is denying will happen), she’d be a good substitute candidate for the reason you said.
But as a Dem I’m all in favor of her being the replacement.
Jane Norton would be awful for the same reason she lost her primary, she’s viewed as a tool of the top Republicans and lobbyists in D.C. And that’s toxic this year in an election.
I know most of the politically active people like here personally and that speaks well of her as a human being. But it doesn’t translate into votes.
For someone fighting for political survival, McInnis’ campaign has been surprisingly low-key during this Republican primary. One would think Scooter would use this time to rebuild his image, but his TV ad buys and campaign mailers are not in scale with the seriousness of his lagging poll numbers.
Either McDrill’s campaign is over-confident of his success in the primary; or, they never planned for a contentious primary until it too late to gear up the campaign for the fight. Or…they have written the race off.
No doubt, his campaign never planned for this plagiarism scandal. If this small “skeleton in the closet” caused such a large uproar, imagine what the bigger bones — still waiting to be exhumed — will do to Scooter’s gubernatorial campaign. (Something caused him to drop out of the US Senate race two years ago.)
If McInnis loses the primary, in a way, he still retains some viability as a king-maker in the Republican Party because of his war chest and association with oil-and-gas fueled PACs and 527s. That was his role in the 2008 elections, both in local and state races, and it may be all he’s useful for in the future.
For example, we haven’t heard the last word yet about his donation of elk meat to a poor family. Mr. McInnis said he took an elk a few years ago, had the meat cured, and donated it to a poor family. This raises a few quesitons:
1. Who cured the meat for him;
2. Who did he donate the meat to; and
3. Most importantly, do the records at the Division of Wildlife show he had an elk license and did he tag an elk?
If he didn’t have a license then he is a poacher and if he did, then it will show whether he actually took an elk. This may be a relatively unimportant matter but Mr. McInnis has shown a proclivity to say things to enhance his image that later turn out not to be true.
Also, he needs to turn over copies of his income taxes to establish his claim he has donated a lot of money to charity. I’m betting when we finally see his returns he has donated virtually nothing to charity.
It is time for Mr. McInnis to come clean.
The three way race between Hick, Tanc, and McMaes shows what we all expect, 50-25-25 respectively. Some time late in the game, maybe early October, Tanc drops out and throws all of his support and money behind McMaes, unifying the party again and creating an upset situation. Hick may have to split his money to fend off both candidates. A late game-changer like Tanc dropping out could be the best strategy the Pubs have now.
and that Tancredo will defer to never run for elected office ever Maes, the guy who lives down by the river in his van eating government cheese.
If Tancredo drops out then he alienates his Tea Party supporters and if he does that then he might have to go get a real job instead of banking all that money so he can perpetually run for office. He didn’t do much except run for office as a Congressman so why would he change his stripes now? Tanks in it for the money and it sets him up for his next campaign. No way Tancredo drops out.
But Tanc has said repeatedly that he will drop out if and when the primary winner drops out. This tells me that he’s not serious and he is just making a point. I’m worried that he just put himself in a very powerful king-maker position.
Gov.Tancredo/ Lt. Gov. Penry?
Eeeewwww. Creepy.
“Life Insurance”
With all the fiscal problems the State will be facing the next 3 fiscal years, the last thing we need is a Governor elected by a plurality.
We need the perception of strength and leadership and notwithstanding Hickenlooper’s skills and personal ability, a plurality win will make him look weak.