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May 12, 2009 07:44 PM UTC

Short of the really insane, is there way for Lamborn to risk his CD5 seat?

  • 8 Comments
  • by: MADCO

I would think the semi-automatic and automatic R voters in CD5 would be more than a little concerned that their rancher neighbors are going to hate Congressman Lamborn’s entry into this debate on the “wrong” side.

I don’t know the demographics of CD5 that well, but it seems like a candidate needs both the ranchers and the EPC voters who work in offices to be competitive.

If Lamborn puts Piñon Canyon in play, or is seen to be putting it in play for the Army, I think his seat is at risk.

Just to be clear, I think the Army is probably not exaggerating their need for expanded training space and I would prefer to see that expansion in Colorado.

Comments

8 thoughts on “Short of the really insane, is there way for Lamborn to risk his CD5 seat?

  1. But it would take a LOT more than this to put the seat in play. There are just way too many Republicans in this district who will always vote R, no matter what, and they outnumber Dems by a 2-to-1 margin. The only thing that puts this seat in play is a population shift that changes the dynamic of the area enough to do a significant change in redistricting.

    The same is true of Denver and Diana DeGette, but substitute Democrats for Republicans. Some districts are just too overwhelmingly weighted one way or the other for there to be any real shot at change. Issues matter, but not more than numbers.

    1. And no dog in this fight.

      Though once upon a time I did work with the Army to define the description and required acquisition for an expanded training facility in another place. And their process were really, really thorough.  (The USAF and Army jointly did acquire a bunch of acreage- and the vocal locals were opposed.)

  2. is also opposing Ritter on Pinon Canyon, due to his ties to the military and his belief in the expansion. And I highly doubt it will put his seat at risk for a Dem pickup anymore than it will Lamborn.  

  3. The three CD’s in which this matters are CD-4, CD-5, and CD-3.

    Salazar and Markey are against it, because the expansion directly impacts their district, and will essentially gut the local agricultural economies that are still there.

    It makes sense for Lamborn to favor it, because he has a constituency that is going to buy the “national security” argument for it, not to mention the economic benefits to El Paso County.  

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