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October 26, 2016 10:22 AM UTC

Carroll Campaign Surging in Final Weeks

  • 8 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols
State Sen. Morgan Carroll
State Sen. Morgan Carroll

As the Denver Post reports today, Democrat Morgan Carroll is not lacking in momentum in the final weeks of the 2016 election:

In less than three weeks, Democrat Morgan Carroll has raised nearly $424,000 for her race against Republican Mike Coffman — a major October windfall that ups the ante in one of Colorado’s most expensive races.

Coffman, the incumbent in Colorado’s 6th Congressional District, has not released the amount of campaign cash he’s collected in the pre-election period that ran from Oct. 1 to Oct. 19. But the $423,600 that Carroll said she raised is much more than what Coffman or Democrat Andrew Romanoff netted two years ago in the homestretch of their 2014 fight for the seat, one of the nation’s most expensive that year. [Pols emphasis]

In fact, Carroll’s two-week haul is more than double what Coffman raised in the same period in 2014, when his campaign reported $185,095 in donations during a similar time frame. Lest you might be tempted to write this off as a late infusion of cash from a major donor or two, a press release from the Carroll campaign has some incredible numbers to consider:

The nearly $424k came from a mind-boggling 33,956 individual donors – with an average donation of $11.54.

Look, we’re long past the point where the outcome of this race will be decided by fundraising, but if you’re tracking momentum, there’s no question that Carroll has the upper hand with less than two weeks until Election Day.

Comments

8 thoughts on “Carroll Campaign Surging in Final Weeks

    1. How I hope to be forced to offer it! smiley And I will say right now that the latest Carroll ads have been much better and the apparent size of the Dem advantage so far is encouraging.

      Things do change, often quite suddenly and I do see positive change in the landscape and hope it's enough.  BTW, My guy and I have, of course, already voted for Carroll, dropped our ballots off Monday as we didn't get ours until Saturday afternoon and I never mail in, and I know our ballots have been accepted via the Arapahoe County election site.

  1. Fundraising does not equal votes, but everyone likes a winner. People donate because they believe that the race is close and their donation will make a difference, and/or because they want to jump on the bandwagon. Either way, good news for Carroll.

    That said, it is going to be close.  Coffman won 52%-43% in 2014, with party affiliation turnout of 37% rep, 34% dem, and 29% ind.  Right now, in Arap., Adams, and DougCo (best approximation I can find for his district) the turn ins are 37% rep, 39% dem, 25% ind. In Arapahoe, where most of his district is, it is 34%, 41%, and 25%.  My prediction- the winner will be by 1 -2 %.

  2. Fundraising does not equal votes, at least not directly. Fundraising, pays for phone banks, maillings, canvassing. It pays for ads. It pays for GOTV efforts. Campaigns cost money. Without money you lose an election.

    1. Quite true. But fundraising alone doesn't guarantee the ouster of a long entrenched incumbent. Heathy fundraising is good, of course. And some superior ads have recently followed the early completely lame ones. Even so, Carroll's chances still depend on how much of a wave election this turns out to be for Dems IMHO.

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