Updates to The Big Line

17 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

1. davebarnes says:

   August 5, 2016 at 10:03 AM MDT

   1. Please add Lib and Green contenders.

   2. Hills is only at 70% in Colorado?

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   • BlueCat says:

     August 5, 2016 at 11:29 AM MDT

     Why add Lib and Green. Polls don't don't show them changing leads or deficits to any significant degree.

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2. Duke Cox says:

   August 5, 2016 at 10:21 AM MDT

    

   1. Please add Lib and Green contenders. 

   I agree with this. Even though they don't have a snowballs' chance in hell,…they stick their necks out and take the plunge and it would be right, I think, to at least honor their effort by including their names….besides, it makes it easier for us to make fun of them…

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   • mamajama55 says:

     August 5, 2016 at 10:36 AM MDT

     Johnson is doing a great job of trolling Trump, and will earn maybe 10% of disgruntled Republicans and most Libertarians.  Stein is going to get 5-10% of disgruntled Sanders supporters no matter what HRC does.  RCP polls reflect this. So should Pols.

      

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     • BlueCat says:

       August 5, 2016 at 3:28 PM MDT

       RCP polls also show not much difference in HRC's lead whether it's a head to head, three way with Johnson or four way including Stein. She and Trump both lose similar amounts and the lead stays pretty much the same, though the numbers change. Today , for instance , HRC’s average lead with all four is +6.3 and with just Trump…. +6.8. Many days it’s not even that far apart. I check every day.

       I don't know where you'd fit either of them into the big line which doesn't show percentage of vote but chance of winning. Neither of them have any chance. You want ColPols to run them with zeros?

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       • mamajama55 says:

         August 5, 2016 at 5:20 PM MDT

         Sure, run them as zeros. At least, they're acknowledged. Ignoring the outliers worked so well for the major parties this election, didn't it?

         I'm not voting Green this election, but I'd like to see minor parties built up to be real choices to the Big Two.

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         • BlueCat says:

           August 6, 2016 at 12:14 AM MDT

           If Trump and Bernie are the outliers you have in mind, neither ran as third party and there's no comparison  between their polling numbers and Johnson or Stein's but…. whatever.

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   • Colorado Pols says:

     August 5, 2016 at 11:40 AM MDT

     Stick their neck out? Most third party candidates in Colorado don't do squat; it would be a disservice to the many candidates who work 40+ hours a week to list third party candidates just because somebody filled out some paperwork. 

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     • Canines says:

       August 5, 2016 at 11:52 AM MDT

       You mean the major party candidates don't have real jobs?

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       • Colorado Pols says:

         August 5, 2016 at 12:43 PM MDT

         In addition to their real jobs. 

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         • Colorado Pols says:

           August 5, 2016 at 12:46 PM MDT

           For example, Arn Menconi is the Green Party "candidate" for U.S. Senate in Colorado. He has yet to file a campaign finance report because he hasn't even met the $5,000 minimum threshold. He's not a candidate — he's a Facebook page and a Twitter account. 

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           • Voyageur says:

             August 5, 2016 at 12:57 PM MDT

             

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           • Duke Cox says:

             August 5, 2016 at 1:05 PM MDT

             Well…since you feel that way about it….never mind.

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           • FrankUnderwood says:

             August 5, 2016 at 5:10 PM MDT

             I guess he can truthfully say he is not being bought.

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             • PERA hopeful says:

               August 6, 2016 at 8:43 AM MDT

               Hell, he's not even being rented.

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               • FrankUnderwood says:

                 August 6, 2016 at 9:01 AM MDT

                 Certainly not at the rental rates the market is commanding in downtown Denver.

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         • Canines says:

           August 6, 2016 at 11:07 AM MDT

           Sounds like Ritalin, Adderall, and Provigil are doing their jobs!

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