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August 04, 2016 09:31 AM UTC

Colorado Senate Race Now "Safe Democratic" Seat

  • by: Colorado Pols

Nationally-known political pundit Larry Sabato, Jr. has updated his regular “Crystal Ball” rankings for the U.S. Senate races, and look at what has happened to Colorado:

Today we add one further alteration: We are moving Colorado from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic. This also does not affect the Electoral College total, though it does push a competitive state further toward Clinton. Public and private polling, plus our own survey of key Democrats, Republicans, and independent journalists suggests that the GOP is not very competitive in Colorado this year. That includes the Senate race too, which we are moving from Likely Democratic to Safe Democratic. [Pols emphasis] Sen. Michael Bennet (D), a very close winner in 2010, should be able to run ahead of Clinton against an underfunded Republican opponent, El Paso County Commissioner Darryl Glenn, who national Republicans appear to have written off.

This isn’t a huge surprise, of course, but it is noteworthy to see that there is a consensus opinion forming that Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Denver), once the top incumbent target of Senate Republicans, is no longer even considered vulnerable in 2016.


18 thoughts on “Colorado Senate Race Now “Safe Democratic” Seat

  1. The Washington Post also took Colorado out of the running, removing it from their Top Ten Most Competitive Senate Races. Darryl Glenn isn't going to get a whole lot of love being 11th or even 12th in priority for the parties.

        1. Contributors always want to get the most bang for the buck and a landslide gives you the best bang. Besides, after all the craziness of the past year a half, contributors, along with anyone else with a few functioning brain cells, aren't taking anything for granted. Trump may be a mess but you never know what's going to pop up next with a Clinton and voters can turn on a dime.

          Besides, the smell of blood in the water is so stimulating and the smell is getting more intoxicating every day.

          I do not predict complacency. 

      1. yesyes

        The legendary Samuri, Miyamoto Musashi admonishes in his classic A Book of Five Rings that in a large-scale strategy, when the the enemy starts to collapse you must pursue them without letting the chance go.  If you fail to take advantage of your enemies' collapse, they may recover.

        Now is not the time to be timid.  Strike hard while they are in disarray.

        1. As a young, beautiful and psychotically wild eyed Peter O'Toole so memorably screamed while crossing over to the dark side leading the charge as TE Lawrence in Lawrence of Arabia……"No prisoners!!!!!"

          Metaphorically speaking, of course.

            1. I'm not going to let that image replace the one I have in my head of drop dead gorgeous young Peter O'Toole in his first Oscar nominated role but…. OK. smiley  

    1. McCellen at Antietam is a classic example of overestimating the enemy with terrible consequences.

      "General McClellan’s most grievous error was hugely overestimating Confederate numbers. This delusion dominated his military character. In August 1861, taking command of the Army of the Potomac, he began entirely on his own to over-count the enemy’s forces. Later he was abetted by Allan Pinkerton, his inept intelligence chief, but even Pinkerton could not keep pace with McClellan’s imagination. On the eve of Antietam, McClellan would tell Washington he faced a gigantic Rebel army “amounting to not less than 120,000 men,” outnumbering his own army “by at least twenty-five per cent.” So it was that George McClellan imagined three Rebel soldiers for every one he faced on the Antietam battlefield. Every decision he made that September 17 was dominated by his fear of counterattack by phantom Confederate battalions."



      1. FYI: Lincoln dismissed McClellan and replaced him with Grant as general of the Army of the Potomac.  Guess who wasn't afraid to attack with numerical superiority?  Lincoln called it the 'bloody math'.

  2. Must have been that $75 check I sent to Bennet about ten days ago. Yes, a Republican can support Bennet. Despite the meanderings of Zappatero, Bennet is good on many of my issues as a centrist Dem. 

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