President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
70%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
December 25, 2008 03:24 AM UTC
41 Comments
Loading ...
A carpetbagging campaign (ala Both Ways Bob) by Romanoff would give a lot of Dems who they want in Washington.
Should skip the french and stick with the latin, “e.g. Both Ways Bob.”
Would there really be a primary or will candidates be selected by party officials or vacancy committees. It would seem to me that the cost of a primary in addition to the election would be excessive.
All 53 of em.
IIRC, the six or seven vacancies around the country last year all resulted in primaries, with one resulting in a runoff after the primary as well (in Georgia, now represented by Rep. Paul Broun).
Unless Colorado has very strange non-uniform standards, I think there will be a primary here. Vacancy committees only rear their heads for Senate/House vacancies on the state level.
that will designate a candidate to the ballot from both parties, though others even of the same party can petition on to the ballot, though that is not likely.
Danielle Radovich is a woman. “He” doesn’t have anything to run for.
Aside from that, not a bad list, A-bob, except that you left out a number of other Aurora lawmakers who stand at least as much chance as Middleton.
But Morgan Carroll has a high profile and many fans.
If you’re that unfamiliar with the eastern half of the district, I have to wonder at your assessment of some of the other candidates.
You seriously think Dave Thomas has better chances than Kerr or Boyd?
Morgan Carroll is the best and brightest person I have seen come along in state government in a long time. Far from some “knee jerk” liberal, Carroll has sponsored and gotten passed legislation by engaging all interested parties and working for a consenus. Her record as a legislator has been all about accountability and transparency in both the public and private sector, and would run well to a public outraged by the total implosion of our economy, brought on in large part due to the lack of accountability and the failure of government to properly regulate the marketplace.
After serving two terms in the House, Carroll ran for the SD29 seat (encompassing a large part of the eastern CD7) and won with 69% of the vote.
She’s bright, hard working, spot on with the issues, and she knows how to win elections. She has my vote for sure (I’m in CD7)
That’s more experience than Obama had when he ran for the U.S. Senate.
You need to add Morgan Carroll to the list.
Assistant Majority Leader Andy Kerr and Senator Morgan Carroll are the ones to beat. I’ll explain why if/when Perlmutter gets the nod.
Some thoughts on your comments on the others:
Feeley – Would have no trouble bringing Ed on board. He has before, and he did his bit while Ed was running. But Beauprez beat him, and that won’t help his bid this time.
Fagan – I don’t think money would be an issue at all. Between Romer and Salazar, they will turn out the donors.
Baca – Good pick.
Thomas – For what it’s worth, he told me last year that he was done with partisan campaigns. People’s minds change, though.
Radovich-Piper – I hadn’t considered her before. She would shine in the office, but walking precincts and parades never struck me as her thing. I wouldn’t underestimate the power she will wield as Chief of Staff to the Senator. I think she is great where she is now, but if at some point she decides to run for something, I don’t envy anyone standing in her way.
Azari – Really? During the Bank Bailouts?
Benefield – Tends to go it alone in her campaigns and shun the County Party structures. That often works to her advantage in her district, but might impede a larger run.
Middleton – Another god pick, but Congress would be rushing it. Give her a minute to try on her new job first.
Windells – She didn’t win the County against a corrupt Republican during a strong Obama year. She won’t be able to win CD7 without getting big numbers in Jeffco. If you are going to consider Windells, consider Kathy Hartman first.
Andy Kerr has very young children so a D.C. life would be very hard on the family life.
The same with Karen Middleton, baby came on board September.
All the others have some hold back, mostly out of elected office a long time.
I think Andy and Tammy, Karen and Larry have it all handled pretty well. It is not like they aren’t used to busy careers as it is.
Not that it is ever easy to live in that situation, but I think that all of them would find ways to make the adjustment. For the Middletons, their family has a lot of built in baby sitters amongst the older siblings, so the discussion might actually be more about Larry’s non-portable job.
Danielle R-P has a toddler too. She actually ran Eds campaign while quite pregnant.
Now, if Bristol Palin wants to run…
Azari may be a Banker – but old syle and one of a handful of clearly responsible ones. His Bank declined the governmments bailout – with a “no thanks – not needed”. Respected, non-partisan, articulate and connected, with deep roots in the community – he is a political asset to the Dem’s in Jeffco.
to a run for Congress if Perlmutter is choosen for the Senate.
can anyone think of good democrat choices from Lakewood?
Andy lives in Lakewood and represents it in the House.
I am not sure if Betty Boyd lives in Lakewood or not, but it makes up much of her Senate district.
Deanna Hanna lives there, but all things considered, (well one thing considered, actually) she would be a long shot. Karen Kellen is awesome, but not very well known. And if Arthur Brock would get into politics, he would run the world, but that’s not going to happen.
So seems like ID is the big problem. Since the state senators and reps would have to resign to raise funds it would be best to have someone who isn’t part of the state assembly.
That being said money is the most important way to raise ID (so is working your ass off but that only goes so far). I would say either Fagan or Feeley have not only a good shot at the nomination, but would be excellent in the race itself. Because the race would occur so quickly the Dems would need someone with a large network who can hit the ground running (like Ed’s own case for the Senate). I think under this criteria, Fagan or Feely would excel.
I do not agree that legislators are by default eliminated. A couple of scenarios are possible: If Gov. Ritter delays the election long enough, or a legislator leaves the legislature.
We, the Democratic Party, have a great bench and can fill in any cascade created by a legislator going to D.C.
This will be a key race to win since it will be seen as a referendum on the Dems fall blowout and 2010 prospects. With the loss of the Senate Seat in GA, the pundits want to say the R’s are roaring back.
In the general, you will see the DCCC in force, Perlmutter campaigning hard and probably even a spot or two from Obama. The candidate will have access to the Obama machine which might get fired back up again to keep Obama’s agenda moving.
As a result, the money will come, the staff and field will come and the Dems will keep the seat. It’s just a matter of who prevails in the vacancy committee.
is that it’s a gigantic general election ballot. That’s what they had in Hawaii with over 50 candidates.
A giant problem in this case for an evenly divided seat like CD-7 is if the Republicans run one strong candidate and we Dems run 2 or 3 – the Republican wins.
There will be a single candidate appointed by the vacancy committee so unless somebody finagles their way on the ballot without a party affiliation, that would be the show.
Sad that Pols decided not to include Joan on the list. She may live 1 mile from the 7th, but she’s well known in JeffCo and would make an excellent candidate for the party. She’s tested, has the connections to raise a ton of cash in a pinch. She would be the best candidate to gear up and run. Plus her name ID is through the roof in the metro area.
not Pols’ — but you’re right, there are more than a few failed congressional candidates within a stone’s throw of the 7th District. This is Hank Eng’s chance!
Considering the Republican prospects, John Larew ought to be at the head of the line. None of the others had the gumption to step up this year. None of the others have a Segway.
not Larew
…”how quickly a whiff becomes a stench”
Although I greatly respect Fit-Gerald’s resume and accomplishments, why would you select someone who (1) Doesn’t even live in CD7 and (2)Just lost in a bid for the adjacent congressional district.
Carroll lives in CD7 and just won SD29 in the eastern part of CD7 with 69% of the vote.
Elections have consequences. The winner takes the office, the loser goes home.
Mike Melanson for Perlmutter’s seat.
I didn’t think he would poll this well. and yes, I know this is not offical polls or anything, but I expected more to vote for the top 3.
Jacob Smith is another rising Dem star. Very active in the environmental movement and has already risen from Golden City Council to take a very hard fought Mayor’s race in 2007.
I don’t think the Mayor’s spot in Golden will be the last we hear from this young activist.
Maybe Congress?
probably not, unless he has A LOT of support
Golden Mayor Jacob Smith should be on your list. He’s got a strong environmental background, beat the incumbent mayor, and gave a great introduction to Barack Obama in Jeffco this fall (“As a mayor of a small town, I’m a little disappointed that I wasn’t selected to be Barack Obama’s running mate”). Maybe he’s not ready to be vice president but he’s someone to watch.