We told you two days ago that the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) would shortly exit the Colorado Senate race, citing dwindling cash reserves, candidate Bob Schaffer’s plummeting poll numbers, and unexpectedly strong threats to incumbent GOP Senators around the country. The late-game pullout of national party support is a bellwether recognition that a race is considered unwinnable, and scarce resources are better used elsewhere.
Confirmed this morning by Atlantic Online:
Republican sources in Colorado and Washington say that the National Republican Senatorial Committee plans to pull out of the state by next week, an acknowledgment that its independent expenditure resources would be better spent on defense elsewhere.
Earlier this week, the NRSC withdrew its advertising from the Louisiana Senate race.
The NRSC is still helping Roger Wicker in Mississippi and incumbents Norm Coleman in Minnesota, John Sununu in New Hampshire.
AN NRSC spokesperson said that advertising decisions are made on a week-to-week basis and declined to comment further…
Per usual you heard it here first, it’s a done deal–and by the GOP’s own reckoning, so is the Colorado Senate race.
UPDATE: The Atlantic’s Marc Ambinder says the NRSC is disputing his report:
“We have seen the race in Louisiana close dramatically over the past week so the strategy for this race is being re-evaluated,” NRSC communications director Rebecca Fisher said. “According to publicly available information we have placed a buy for next week.”
Fisher also disputes my report this morning that the NRSC plans to drawn down its advertising in Colorado, although other GOP officials insist that Republican Bob Schaffer’s campaign is planning to make do without NRSC help. [Pols emphasis]
Bottom line: Like we said earlier this week, the NRSC understands the stigma associated with its decisions, and won’t confirm any moves of this kind until they are no longer able to conceal them. Barring some change of circumstances on the ground we have yet to see evidence of, the NRSC will pull out of Colorado as previously reported.
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so Bob’s a
whinerwinner 🙂Just a hunch.
Did you see also how he denied that KMGH 7News told him about the “no notes” rule? Hmmm, what are the odds 7News has a signed letter from him the same way they do from Udall?
didn’t sign it or send it back, then claimed he never saw it. I’d put money on it.
another one bites the dust. The candidates that the NRSC are abandoning are starting to add up.
This is fantastic news. After their horribly negative and lying ads against Udall, they should pull out. But don’t be complacent – VOTE UDALL!
I hope they’re happy having wasted $14,000,000 of their donors’ money.
We all know who to blame for this though, don’t we? Schaffer and Wadhams. Way to let your people down by running one of the shoddiest campaigns in Colorado history.
But Schaffer isn’t a very likable candidate, either. Churlish, childish, bullying behavior doesn’t win many fans. And that goes for both Schaffer and Wadhams.
….in the worst-run political race in Colorado history. Conservative Carpetbagger Bob Schaffer can take the trophy if he gets his ass sufficiently kicked.
NRSC pullout = likely Udall win.
Hard to imagine too many people splitting the ticket between Udall (excuse me, I meant Boulderliberaludall) and McCain.
People voted a split ticket for Salazar and Bush.
Salazar was considered very moderate, if not conservative , for a Dem and was very popular among many Republicans as well as centrist indies. He wasn’t seen as being liberal.
Udall is a very different candidate. Hard to imagine someone voting for Udall, clearly perceived as a liberal Dem, and also supporting McCain over Obama.
In other words, the distance between potential Udall and McCain voters in 2008 is much greater than the distance between potential Salazar and Bush voters was in 2004.
Some people splitting the other way. Voting for Obama and Schaffer due to not wanting one party to have all the marbles. I think it silly given that his issue is health care and I’m sure Schaffer is against any fix so far proposed. He’s probably against McCain’s plan too.
Sometimes I think that we’re deluding ourselves if we think that elections are in any way about a reasoned choice. It’s all just… random and popularity.
I’ve talked with a few people who say they’re voting for McCain and Udall, because both embody the spirit of the independent West. I bet that’s a more likely split than Obama/Schaffer.
And when it comes to a very narrow set of issues and selective reading of the candidates’ character (but then, aren’t all such readings somewhat selective?), makes a certain kind of sense.
I’d still say that Beauprez’s Gubernatoral race would take the prize as worst run campaign in state history.
Schaffer’s campaign to date would be a close second…
…for now. Final numbers might tip the title towards Schaffer/Wadhams.
The Beauprez campaign was probably the worst campaign since those of Ethelred the Unready.
Bob still has 20 days to beat Bob for the basement. As we have seen anything can happen although Bob the Schaffer would have to go pretty darn low to beat out Bob the Beauprez. Maybe have frogs come out of his mouth or something.
Beauprez picked a real loser in Rowland for lieutenant governor who also appealed to the fundie base but turned off moderates so McCain might be in the running if you include national campaigns in Colorado. Probably the defining losing move to pick Palin.
I’m sorry, but even Schaffer has run a better campaign than good ol’ Bob. At least Schaffer still polls within single digits sometimes…
for all the wrong reasons.
I’d forgotten that icon image of incompetence.
It gets harder and harder to believe that Republicans are the smartest guys in the room.
During the local news I saw a brand new ad taking the “I’m just kidding” part from Udall’s Hide commercial and using it over and over. The overall tone is laughable. I’d post, but it’s not on their website yet.
Or a 527? Maybe U.S. Chamber?
I was expecting someone else, so I was paying extra attention (usually have to see an ad twice, once to be introduced, once to remember to pay attention to the maker).
…I saw that one this morning while brushing my teeth. At first I thought it was a (Boulderliberal) Udall one until I watched a liitle closer.
Guess that is the NRSC’s parting shot.
because it must mean that the decision to pull out was made sometime between after that ad was made and before yesterday when the rumor was published here.
They must have some seriously bad polling to waste the money on making a brand new ad 10-14 days before completely pulling all of their ads out of Colorado.
I thought I read in a different thread that Schaffer has something like a million COH. Maybe the NRSC reasoned that Schaffer can afford to pay for his own ads? I mean, if you’re in triage mode, it makes sense to leave those states where the candidate is sitting on a pile of dough, right?
Schaffer reported $2,733,942.79 cash on hand as of Sept. 30. Pols speculated he’s hoarding it for a run at the 4th in 2010, but he could have been leaning on outside groups to carry his advertising since August and planned to spend his own if they pulled out.
But the NRSC and the RNC would never pull ads (and therefore money) from a race if they thought they couldn’t help.
The pull-out has to do with them being in triage, for sure, but it also has to do with the state of the campaign. If it was close, they would not be doing this.
“Maybe the NRSC reasoned that Schaffer can afford to pay for his own ads? ”
Future Republicans take note: Make sure you don’t raise too much money or the NRSC might pull the plug.
Just in case the NRSC goes into triage mode, you better make sure to take it easy on the fund raising, guys. You don’t want to look too viable.
But will there be new buys? We wonder if all the chatter about their intentions won’t keep them on the air out of spite.
Of course, that’s some expensive spite.
Maybe instead of buying airtime they could form a coalition of especially angry Republicans. They could come to Denver and Boulder, just to glare at joggers and people going in and out of health food stores.
Same effect, much cheaper.
the NRSC pulled out of Louisiana too, just to jump back in several days later.
http://rothenbergpoliticalrepo…
granted that was because the race is closer there than they had thought, but just one poll showing the race tightening here could bring the screaming money hoards back.
could bring the screaming money whores back
Correct me if I’m wrong
but ColoradoPols used to
run lines related to the
State House & Senate Races…
Where did they go?
Is the Democrats’ control over State Congress
so firm that coverage is no longer necessary?
Do grassroots politics even matter anymore or
are we all just plugged into the “big show”?
Whatever the answer, I’m disappointed not to
see more diaries related to these important races (in Colorado).
There are 19 state senate races up and 65 House seats, so it would be quite a task to assemble such a line. The Denver Post’s endorsements in the House races alone take up an entire page of the Sunday paper.
I’ve been hearing the screaming coming from State Republican HQ for the last two days. It has to be turd blossom junior. He can’t believe that his friends and supporters in Washington have abandoned him. On no, Oh no. What will he do? Perhaps he’ll get a real job for once in his life and figure out why so many of us Republicans who started our with him aren’t voting for Schaefer or McCain this time. WAAAAAAAAA!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!!!!!!
we got into it the other day, Craig, you are awesome.
Turns out our hopes may be too high.
Ambinder updates:
Politicker also reports:
Hooray?
They don’t want their dropping out to hit the news as that hurts them.