April 18, 2011 01:39 AM UTC

New Mayoral Poll: Romer/Mejia 22%, Hancock 18%

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• by: John Tzekara

( – promoted by Denver Pols)

Two public polls have been done on the Mayors race, and the most recent shows that a clear line is being drawn between the candidates who have a shot at the runoff and those who don’t.  A few weeks ago, RBI strategies and Colorado Pols released their poll showing Romer 22%, Mejia 10%, Hancock 9%.  

Today, a new public poll was released showing Mejia and Hancock both jumping dramatically, while Romer stayed the same (Linkhart, Boigon, and Spahn were all at 10% or less, well below competitive given the margin of error of 4%).

commentary after the jump

The newest poll on it’s own shows that this has become a 3 way race for Mayor, with two of the three making the runoff (no one is leading by enough to realistically get 50%+1 to win outright on May 3rd)

When viewed in relation to the poll just a few weeks ago, it paints a larger picture.  Undecided voters went from 40% to 11%, and James Mejia is picking up the largest share of them.  Michael Hancock is picking up a large share too.  

Chris Romer, after running the most expensive campaign I can remember for Denver Mayor, did not move a single point from where he was a few weeks ago.  It looks like 22% of Denver likes Chris Romer…and that’s about it.  His TV ads run nonstop, and yet according to the newest data he didn’t pick up a single percent of undecided voters.

Also telling is that Boigon and Linkhart, both of which were considered serious candidates, cannot gain traction.  Linkhart has 10%, and Boigon 8%.  They would have to somehow gain the support of every undecided voter left to be in the running — all 11% — which isn’t really a possibility.

Looks like Linkhart and Boigon shouldn’t have been so quick to give up their at-large city council seats.  Time will tell about Hancock’s decision as well, as he has to edge out either Romer or Mejia to make run-off.