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March 30, 2007 12:01 AM UTC

Musgrave Only Colorado Target

  • 24 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols


According to MyDD (via  Square State), no Colorado Democratic congressional members are currently top targets for Republicans in 2008, and only Republican Marilyn Musgrave makes the top list for congressional members deemed to be vulnerable.

This is no real surprise, as we’ve said plenty of times before. Congressional districts one (Diana DeGette) and five (Doug Lamborn) aren’t changing party hands unless they are significantly changed in redistricting. Districts two (Mark Udall, for now) and six (Tom Tancredo, for now) also aren’t likely to change party hands even though the names may be different in 2008.

That leaves districts three (John Salazar), four (Musgrave) and seven (Ed Perlmutter) as the only real competitive seats in Colorado, but blowout victories by Salazar and Perlmutter in 2006 should keep the GOP from targeting them until at least 2010.

Comments

24 thoughts on “Musgrave Only Colorado Target

  1. It’s a sad statement about the republican party that they don’t have any one lined up to challenge Perlmutter.  I know 06 was the dems year, but the right repub could be a real challenge.  I know trickey dick has his hands full but you’d think that would be a top priority for him.

    1. I agree. Maybe its being a newbie, but his office is totally unresponsive.  I live (and vote) in his district, and have heard others say he isnt dealing with constiuents.  (Besides his ‘meet me at the grocery store” PR stunts.)  The district is missing the service it got from BB.

  2. Marilyn Musgrave that she can’t assure a win in a Red District as a three term incumbent.  This women is hurting her District and her party.  Is it too much to ask for a moderate??

    1.   They need someone in that district who can go on autopilot, raise his or her own money, and hold that seat without sucking up resources that could better be spent on C.D. 7 or 3.
        The ideal candidate would be a moderate/conservative like Hank Brown.  However, if the Republicans are doomed to run only wing nuts in C.D. 4, then they should try to run Bob Schaffer again.  At least he could hold his own in that district and didn’t need the national party to bail him out.

      1. Apparently, rove (or possibly W) asked her to push the anti-gay stuff. It really was not her doing. The R’s assumed that she was in a safe district. In return, they promised her any needed support. On the first time, she really did not need much. On the 2’nd, she was in trouble, because she really did nothing for the district (she still is not). It appears to be that the R’s are now aware that they have used her up more than they realized. They are quietly trying to get her to leave on her own BEFORE the next election. Then they can get somebody in there who is well liked prior to the election.

          1. If you really need to know, just look at some of my past posts and it will make sense why I have none. If you look closely, you will see that other than W and the top admin and well documented situations, I really only talk about two Rs.

            Could have talked about a couple of ex high colorado dems, but they have been out of office for more than a decade. One was interesting, the other was totally boring (really not fair).  From what I can tell, that is normal for dems; After all, the top 3 republicans have something like 8 exs and wifes, while the top 5 or more dems are with their first spouse.

      1. Ken Buck is not the man to do that nor will he do that.  However, if a Mark Hillman stepped up he could run and beat her with little effort,alas, he will not do that either.  It’s her race to lose.

  3. As a regular receipient of her e-newsletters, the Congresswoman now has a communication that is entitled “Bipartisan Actions of the Week”.  It either tells me she can not hold true to her conservative principles (on which she ran), risking a record that will put her on par with our good Senator Brophy in the state legislature, or this is an early move to define herself to voters as something she said she wasnt’ during the campaign — maybe she really doesn’t personnally support a gay marriage ban — she simply had to toe the line for those entities supporting her financially.  This is going to be an interesting spectators sport between now and ’08.  I’m predicting a primary for CD-4 like we had in CD-5 last year.  Look for at least 3-4 candidates to take a run for this seat.

    1. in Congressional District 4 then Marilyn wouldn’t be in the race.  No ranking 4th Congressional District R is going to challenge her.  If there were a challenge by an R it would be a “nobody” with no chance.

    2. Werent you the one who also that Musgrave’s COS was courting Brophy to run?  Who are these 3-4 candidates that would try to primary Musgrave? 

      1. Any Republican “name” trying to run against Musgrave would not only have to contend with her control of the county parties, but she also has the whacko groups like Gun Owners of America, Club For Growth, Christian Coalition, and of course SpongeDob, Tony Perkins, and Lou Sheldon. With the DC nutjobbers in decline, they will go to bat for Musgrave and smear any decent Republican that runs against her.

        You need another Jeff Beddingfield — who is mainstream, principled, can self-fund to a certain extent, and isn’t scared of the crazies and the machiners. In the end, the party as a whole would benefit. It’s just a question of someone having the courage. If Beddingfield had won in 2002, the NRCC wouldn’t have to spend $3-4 million every cycle to protect this seat.

  4. CD 5 is. And yet, you claim it is safe.
    Is my socialist congresswoman not worthy of being listed?
    This is discrimination. Pure and simple.

    What is next?
    No listing for the 2010 Governor’s race because Bill has it locked up?
    No listing for the 2007 Denver Mayor’s race?

    ,dave

    P.S. Why is the Big Line an image instead of text? Do you need HTML help?

    1. Sarcasm is a difficult thing to detect on a blog, but I hope you’re joking!

      Lamborn is safe when it comes to a Democrat, he’s vulnerable when it comes to a challange within his own party.  There’s more of a possibility that Lamborn won’t return to congress in 2009 than your liberal congresswoman.

    2.   My guess is that C.D. 5 is on the list because Lamborn is EXTREMELY vulnerable in a primary.  If he gets past the primary, he probably will be re-elected.  However, that’s a very big “if.”  Remember, 73% of Republicans in C.D. 5 wanted someone other than Lamborn as their candidate.
        DeGette, on the other hand, faces no major party opponent in the general elections, and since ’02, she hasn’t faced a primary opponent either. 

    3. To get DeGette out of CD1, it would take a major, major scandal.  She’s high up in the Majority hierarchy; no-one will challenge her, and the voters have very little incentive to replace her given her position.

      As to the Big Line question, I can take two guesses: (1) it’s easier to format, and (2) the Big Line is the one thing that ColoradoPols has tried to protect; making it an image means you can’t just screen-scrape it.

      1. IIRC, Degette is the one who screamed for help, but then turned on the cop who came to her rescue. In any other district in this state, that would have gotten her booted. But not in hers.

        1. I have to say, that was all kind of mean, but pretty damn funny. Now, that is an image that will be stored in my brain forever. Along with other useless junk; where in nature do you find equal length fatty acids chains (only in the armadillo toe pads).

          Now, I would be impressed if anybody knew what that was about and where I got it from 🙂

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