U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Michael Bennet
50%
50%
50%
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) Brian Mason
60%↑
30%↑
20%↓
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%↑
30%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
March 01, 2024 11:34 PM UTC
17 Comments
But a poll
one yeareleven monthsten monthsnine monthseight months before an election is meaningless.Voters Doubt Biden’s Leadership and Favor Trump, Times/Siena Poll Finds – The New York Times (nytimes.com)
The problem isn't when the poll was taken. The problem is the trajectory of the polls.
And I get it. The really weird part is that by any objective measure, the economy is not doing badly. Which once again demonstrates that in politics, it’s perception, not necessarily reality that controls.
What else is fascinating? If you go down to the cross tabs and look at the gender breakdown, Trump has a 9% lead over Biden among men, but Trump and Biden are tied (46%-46%) among women. So much for anger over Dobbs.
And if you go further down, when asked whether they think Trump committed serious crimes, 53% said “Yes” while 36% said that he did not. That means that a big chunk of voters believe he committed serious federal crimes but will vote for Trump anyway.
Polls have some ability to show a snapshot of opinion at this time. But they are a pretty hazy crystal ball for decisions that will be made next fall. From what I know, the best study (comprehensive data, clear methodology, and approving comment in the academic chatter that follows) says polls more than about 70 days out have about the same predictive power as a coin flip.
Election polls are 95% confident but only 60% accurate, Berkeley Haas study finds
And in the "What If" Department …..
Opinion | The Democrat Showing Biden How It’s Done – The New York Times (nytimes.com)
Perhaps in 2028.
So much winning…
It's raining
menlawsuits; Trump Fan Boys ringing the bell.Trump Media sued by co-founders ahead of DWAC merger, potential setback for lucrative deal
A classic Trump con. Just how does one purport the "value" of Truth at $8 billion when this is their reality:
"Just how does one purport the "value" of Truth at $8 billion when this is their reality"
The same way his 10,000 square-foot apartment is 30,000 square feet.
Just count the elevator shaft … and any "commons area" really belongs to Trump, 'cause his name is on the building.
And it doesn't make a difference, 'cause nobody really reads or acts on the square footage that is reported.
/s
I've been amused every time I read of the Trump smokescreen known as "Truth Social." It causes me to think of
I'm pretty certain there are investors learning the difference between the value of "Truth Social" and Truth. .
To be fair, this is the story of the tech industry writ large.
Every single jurisdiction in which he has pulled this shit should be going after him.
svg-2-Colorado-Pols-Logo-min.svg is still bit mapped.
When are you going to fix it?
So the con goes on… I have no doubt that when the day comes that Trump meets his maker, the funeral home that handles his burial will have to sue his estate to get paid.
^^^ this
They could sell chances to spit, pee on, or otherwise defile TFFG's final piece of real estate.
There’s going to have to be 24 hour monitoring of that gravesite. I am sure of that. It’s probably going to be somewhere private where nobody can get to it.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! <breath> HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Hobo the “Mean Girl” has some thoughts on the lawsuit filed by Republicans!