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August 15, 2022 08:30 AM UTC

Conservative Pollster Shows Bennet Up By 8 Over O'Dea

  • 8 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Conservative polling outfit McLaughlin and Associates is not normally where Democrats look for good news, but this weekend’s poll of Colorado voters is undeniably positive for Democrats and crushing bad news for local Republicans:

Topline and crosstabs here.

Incumbent Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet’s eight-point lead in this poll doesn’t fully capture the dilemma for opponent Joe O’Dea, who is hampered by a huge number of voters who have no idea who he is while Bennet benefits from vastly higher name ID and a strongly positive favorability rating. President Joe Biden, whose favorability is underwater in this poll like every poll in the last year, still enjoys a solid lead over Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup–a reminder that even as voters express their dissatisfaction with Biden they remain mindful of the even worse alternative.

The most important takeaway is that McLaughlin and Associates is a go-to pollster for Fox News and Republicans in general hoping to validate their pre-existing notions. If there was any pollster out there who could manufacture good news for Colorado Republicans, this would be the one, and that makes their bleak assessment of GOP prospects in this state more credible. When national Republican strategists are confronted with numbers like these, they realize there are other races where their resources will be better spent.

Sometimes it’s better to hear it from a friend.

Comments

8 thoughts on “Conservative Pollster Shows Bennet Up By 8 Over O’Dea

    1. Generally speaking, people who tell a pollster they are undecided are lying. They simply choose not to answer the question, for what ever reason. "Undecided" should really be labeled "No Response"

  1. I like Bennet's most recent TV ad that has the angler in the stream and highlights the work Bennet has done for public lands. And, Bennet says he caught the fish, which is a nice humorous touch.

  2. And this is a poll "among 500 likely general election voters."

    Those "likely voters," are described as "These units were structured to statistically correlate with actual statewide general election voter turnout."  If you believe this year is going to match previous general election voter turnout, the poll may be helpful. 

    If turnout in Kansas had been structure "to statistically correlate with actual statewide primary election voter turnout," opportunistic Republicans might not have egg on their faces. 

    With a variety of "unique" elements since the previous general election, such as an assault on the Capitol, a Supreme Court overturning a 50-year-old precedent, a former President with numerous civil trials, a President who needed a subpoena and a warrant to turn over documents, and an epidemic that impacted our population worse than any other in the past 100 years — I expect Colorado's voter turnout will be different than previous elections.  I'm not sure about HOW (for the most part – COVID impacts are fairly clear).

  3. A lead of 8% in an off-year election in which the president's party is expected to take a drubbing is pretty significant especially compared to Bennet's performances in 2010 and 2016.

    Then again, Horse Sushi Joe is polling better than this clown:  Dr. Oz Mocked Over 'Wegners' Groceries, Shopping Habits (msn.com)

    Mehmet Oz went to "Wegners" to buy some "crudite." You can't make this stuff up.

    I'm old enough to recall Michael Dukakis being ridiculed for talking about Belgian endive while his general election opponent was talking about eating pork rinds.

     

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