CO-04 (Special Election)
See Full Big Line
(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
March 07, 2012 12:28 AM UTC
43 Comments
Loading ...
Mathematically he’s way overdue. I don’t know what to predict anymore.
Paul appeals to the independent minded voters. They tend to be pretty middle-of-the-road people. However, these folks are not the ones who go to caucuses or primaries because that would require them to declare a party.
Ron Paul could potentially be a strong independent candidate, but his supporters are too moderate for the GOP nomination process where they have to strive to be the most conservative.
But who knows? Maybe not.
This is funny, though:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worl…
Reality bites.
Santorum may come from behind and shoot over the top, but it will never be as heavy a load as Romney will let loose as he fills his bucket of delegates.
I agree completely.
So please, remember to call it toilet humor.
I, for one, never imagined that Santorum could last this long. However, by keeping it close, or even winning in Ohio, besides trading wins among a few other states with Romney, I see no reason for him to drop out after tonight.
With proportional delegate allocations, he’s maintaining a solid second place en route to the convention. At this point, he just needs to keep the money and organization pointing in the right direction to make it to the convention.
Who knows, if it will prevent a brokered convention, you might actually see a Romney/Santorum ticket. Last I heard, Reagan is still resting peacefully, so no more talk of him running this year, despite the GOP’s fondest wishes.
never underestimate religious shepherds, nor the sheepy-nish of the flock?
Conversely never overestimate the inability of the average GOP voter for rational, independent thinking.
#3. Reagan ain’t ever coming back — thank god. (There’s never going to be a better year ever for a dead centenarian to have a chance of winning the GOP nomination . . . I hope.)
I’m hoping against hope for a brokered convention in Tampa, just to make it more interesting. The dearth of winner take all primaries makes it just barely a possibility.
It is also worth noting that Santorum and Gingrich didn’t make it onto the ballot in Virginia. So, there kind of is something to see there, although the limitation of ballot access is something that has already happened.
and that is a mathematical possibility, I’ll even watch
Changes things or maybe it doesn’t.
in Virginia, Georgia, and Vermont.
But why in sam hill aren’t they able to call Vermont or Virginia for Romney off the bat? Sort of curious.
in exit polls. Maybe they are waiting until the polls are closed for more than 10 minutes to call it?
Then again, that logic makes no sense because they’ve already called Georgia, like you said.
Has been called for Romney.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…
Mitt’s enthusiasm problem with Republicans is alive and well.
Paul gets 41% in Virgnia??? There’s definitely an enthusiasm gap here for Romney. VA is not a state where Ron Paul would traditionally do this well, yet he beat the best poll estimates by 10% and will come away with a decent delegate slate as a result.
Romney hasn’t put this away yet by any stretch. Fight continues.
From CNN:
So if the votes follow the sentiments, does this mean Ohio believes Santorum is the most “electible”?
of the Republicans who care enough to vote in a primary don’t think Romney is the best candidate and that he doesn’t understand the country’s problems.
I love it
Romney can’t make anybody happy.
Republicans, as dumb as they are, aren’t stupid enough to believe that RMoney has any concept of what there life is like.
It also means that come November when thy vote for this putz, it will be knowing that as bad as RMoney is that, in their view, another four years of a black Muslim socialist apologist-to-the-terrorists and persecutor-of-Christians would be worse.
In Mass, Tennessee, Oklahoma. Mass is called for Romney
Santorum takes Oklahoma. Early returns filtering in from Tennessee and Ohio. CNN has Romney up 4% in exit polling in Ohio. I estimate that 10% of those voters just feel palpable shame after voting for Santorum and then lying to a pollster
For your consideration:
“Given that Mr. Santorum’s chief domestic policy prescription is ‘Make Moar Babiez’ and his entire foreign policy is best described as ‘Kill Brown People’, the termination of his campaign is probably A Good Thing.”
http://dailydickpunch.com/2012…
that Santorum wins Tennessee. And probably not by a hair.
Kicking ass in North Dakota
And that keeps his campaign very alive.
And holds a tenuous 2-3 point lead in Ohio with over 50% reporting.
Santorum and Romney are basically tied in Ohio.
The delegates will be split evenly between the two.
Why the fuck does anyone care who gets 34.3% and who gets 34.2% when they get the same number of delegates?
mathematically illiterate?
“None of the above”
Tampa is going to be a real barn-burner. Even Half-Guv Sarah Palin can tell. Now we get to hear her tease the GOP for the next couple of months about possibly entering as the savior candidate.
The pressure on Mitch Daniels and Chris Christie will be virtually irresistible.
that should increase the Tampa fun
Dennis Kucinich has apparently lost his bid for re-election. Kucinich was redistricted into the same district as fellow Dem. Rep. Marcy Kaptur, who won tonight’s primary.
Also, Rep. Jean Schmidt (“Mean Jean”) lost to political newcomer Dr. Brad Wenstrup, who if anything might be further to the right of Schmidt. (Who knew that was possible?)
….sumbitch
Thats all, folks.
Ron Paul proved in Virginia last night that, absent competition, Republicans consider him a serious candidate worthy of their vote. Problem: this is a contested primary, and in a competitive field his more Libertarian views are less preferable than pro-business views or religious conservative views.
Newt Gingrich didn’t prove anything last night, except that in a multi-contestant race he can manage a plurality win in his home state. Problem: he didn’t even make it to 50% in Georgia, and he was only so-so in most of the other states; if he really thinks Romney is too moderate for the job, he should drop out and let Santorum take all of the not-Romney votes.
Santorum proved last night that he is the official not-Romney in most competitive races. He almost eked out a win in Ohio and did manage to rack up three state victories last night. Problem: he would have won Ohio and very possibly Virginia (his current state of residence) if his campaign wasn’t completely incompetent. He wasn’t even on the ballot in Virginia, and failed to qualify for the ballot in three Ohio Congressional districts as well; analysis of those three Ohio districts show other candidates picking up enough over their statewide averages to have put Santorum over the top, maybe by 3%! If Santorum was running a more on-the-ball, well-funded campaign, he’d be the front-runner right now.
Romney proved last night that he’s still and probably will remain the front-runner. Problem: His campaign is all but admitting that they won’t have the delegates at the convention to win on the first ballot, and Ron Paul’s strong showing in VA coupled with Santorum’s would-have-been-a-win in OH are re-enforcing the fact that Romney just isn’t sealing the deal with Republican voters.
In short, the Republican field remains as-is.
Joe the Plumber won his primary for Congress.
He’s running in Marcy Kaptur’s district, which was set up as a Democratic sink containing she and Kucinich.
what this says, but about 5,700,000 voters cast ballots in Ohio during the 2008 election.
About 2,680,000 people voted republican.
The President won by about 4.6% A little over 51.5% of the vote.
Last night, Romney got about half a million republican votes, out of about 1.2 million primary votes cast.
It’s odd, because of all the candidates, it seems Romney would be the most likely to be the furthest from Kasich’s original position, that Ohioans don’t need FEMA in this awful time.
I cannot figure these people out.