It’s time again to cast your votes as we ask you who you think will be the Republican nominee for President. A lot has changed since our last poll in August, and after this round we’ll present a graphical breakdown of the wisdom of the Polsters.
As always, we want to know your opinion on who will ultimately win the nomination, and not your personal preference. In other words, if you had to bet the deed to your house, who would you choose?
Click below to vote.
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roulette, most in the media have ignored the bigger picture: The Republicans are in bad shape. Because they can’t get their own extremist-plagued house in order, they just haven’t been able to coalesce around anyone. And, because the weeks and months of indecision drag on, many of those who WERE believed to be frontrunners have flamed out to one degree or another. The best thing for Democrats would be for this pattern to continue well into 2012 — it’s not only entertaining for us, but destructive for them.
these political circus freaks on their endless debate roadshow sure make great fodder for the Daily Show, Colbert, Mother Jones and everyone else with a critical eye. The only problem I see is we’re approaching batshit crazy WTF? fatigue with all these nuts scrumming for limelight.
It’s true – his wife is Kuwaiti.
Yes, Grover Norquist wants America to fall under Sharia Law, according to none other than Joseph Farah of the WorldNet Daily. http://www.wnd.com/index.php?f…
I am not making this up.
Thus it goes for the once proud GOP. It is now the home of way too many batshit crazy extremists.
He presents the best chance for an Obama defeat, and the Republicans will wise up by the time the first few contests roll around. The challenge for Romney will be to see if he can actually win one of the first three contests; because I’m not an expert on Republican primaries, but I can’t imagine a candidate getting very far without winning Iowa, NH, or SC.
I’m as surprised as anyone to see Newt Gingrich climbing in the polls. Romney just doesn’t energize the base. Say what you will about the guy, Newt has done well in the debates. He is very good at making generic talking points sound deep and intellectual. And he represents an ABR candidate (anyone but Romney) that the GOP base is so desperate to find.
would make the Obama re-election that much more certain, IMO. Mittens would be the harder one to beat. But I support Newt’s rise and hope he keeps it up, now that Herman ‘Don’t let China get Nukes!’ Cain is slipping.
I think Newt would be an easy win for Obama. But I think many in the GOP base are afraid to nominate another Bob Dole/John McCain style candidate. Newt at least can show some personality without it being obviously forced.
The guy knows how to campaign and has done so on the national stage before. And he would be a strong competitor with Obama in debates and speeches.
But step 1 is he has to decide if he’s really interested. Clearly up till now this was a book tour. If he gets serious and can beat Romney in 1 or 2 of the first primaries and come in a close second in the others, then he’s in really good shape.
So I’m not sure he has that much experience campaigning nationally, to the entire (rather than primary) electorate.
Plus he has so much baggage–the only House leader voted out by his own party, fined some massive amount. I think Newt would be a cake walk for Obama. I agree with conventional wisdom that Mittens will be his most difficult opponent (I mean other than, perhaps, Huntsman who is a little too sensible–although still wrong–for the Goopers).
because he’s only one among this bunch who can claim to have shaped the GOP into what it is today. He’s also the only one I think knows policy enough to actually be able to run the White House from day one.
That said, he’s completely unpalatable to anyone who doesn’t like to cover the back of his truck with a bunch of “NOBAMA” bumper stickers. And he can thank the sheer ineptitude of Rick Perry for giving him this opening. (I have never taken Cain seriously; his popularity was due to his ability to talk the talk, IMO, and he rose because others slipped up. But he can’t handle even the slightest bad press and criticism. He’d be lucky to win a statewide race, never mind a national one.)
The GOP is going to nominate Romney for the same reason the Dems nominated John Kerry – because he’s the one they hope can beat the incumbent. There will be no enthusiasm for his candidacy, and unless something spectacularly bad happens for Obama, he’ll win a second term.
Newt really isn’t in it to win it. Things got tough and he took off for Greece w/ the missus. He’s lost a lot of staff and he was carrying over $1mil in campaign debt just 30 days ago. Yeah, he’s not Mitt but his bigger problem is that he IS Newt.
With holidays coming donations will plummet even as campaigns up the pleas to get dollars on the books before the end of year. The angry smarmy doughboy has little chance to turn it around before the fun starts.
January has 1 caucus & 3 primaries and they’ll prove the death knell for Bachmann, Newt, Santorum & the other chum. By Feb 1st it’ll be down to just 4 of these freaks .
A great headline from Crooks&Liars.com.
I have thought, and continue to think it will be Romney. But, I don’t think he will beat Obama. Switch-Hit Mitt will be exposed as a panderer willing to say anything to be elected.
I would place a 100:1 bet on Jeb Bush. I think he would be extremely difficult to beat, regardless of his last name. The scenario would be: 1) Romney doesn’t win Iowa or SC; 2) the GOP use of proportional delegates, including FL will make it harder for Romney to lockup the nomination; 3) the anti-Romney (today it’s Gingrich, yesterday it was Perry, etc.) will be so pathetic that the GOP establishment will revolt; 4) a brokered convention in Tampa will need to turn to someone, and Jeb rides in on a dolphin to save the day.
Like I said, 100:1.
but he isn’t. I’ve read that it is too late to get on many ballots at this point so the field is set.
My long shot hypothesis is that no one has locked up the delegates necessary for the nomination by the time of the convention. Something like what the Hillary supporters were praying for. Then, it’s up for grabs whereby Jeb comes to the rescue.
This is somewhat more feasible in the GOP race this time because far more delegates will be proportionately awarded, rather than winner take all.
is a real possibility. What fun!
That’s probably why these hopeless cases like Bachmann, Santorum, Perry and Cain are sticking around so much longer: they figure maybe they won’t be that far out of the running even if Romney wins all of the first primaries.
The genius in the GOP who came up with proportional delegates will really end up harming the party.
But if there’s truly a brokered convention to spare the GOP from having a flip-flopping “cult” member (a despicable characterization by one of Perry’s main supporters) as its candidate, I don’t think Jeb Bush will be the go-to guy.
I’ll be sad to see him go…
http://www.politico.com/2012-e…
And from the original…
http://www.jsonline.com/news/s…
Are you sure OFA wanted you to put this poll up? You’re supposed to string along the other candidates hoping they’ll slow down Romney.
But Romney isn’t going to be slowed. He’s the nominee now in all but formality.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n…
Personally, I think Romney is the last one standing, leaving a thoroughly uninspired base.
But, although I hear tell you are paid to provide such, your rosy scenario that its already his (without further damage, etc.) is suspect.
You were slathering all over Ricky Perry when he and Mitt were neck and neck in the polls. have your bosses told you that you’re supposed to afford the same treatment to Newt?
Live in reality and accept reality. I assume my bosses do too, but that’s their fair except when it concerns my job. You and I both know Newt Gingrich will never be president, so feel free to waste time discussing him.
that someone would get into the race this late, even though I’m sure lots of Republicans would jump on board.
He’s tan, rested and ready!
Aren’t going to get this one. I’m LOL. For those of you who don’t get the reference, it was first said about Nixon when he was making his comeback in 1968. It was and is a joke.
spare heart in a pack on his belt. You know…just in case he walks too close to a microwave …or something.
Here’s the sticker…
Darth Cheney/ 2012
Welcome Back to the Dark Side
Next hand please.