CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 05, 2011 11:05 PM UTC
39 Comments
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It’s like an embarrassment of riches, if the riches were themselves rich.
As in me? As in Americans? As in Dems? Repubs? As in who? Who in hell loses if any one of these idiots is selected, in their Freedom Foundation dictated “wisdom”, by Repubs? Dems should run Jimmy Carter again, maybe even Dukakis. My 18lb. manx could whip any one of this crowd. Nobody is going to lose escept contributors to Crossroads, Inc., because not a one of them will make it to the floor of the Lincoln Bedroom. (Won’t even try to parse your second clause.)
It’s not “like” an embarrassment, it is one.
I’d love to re-post it at some point.
Have to consult my copywrite lawyers Hunt, Peck, Chug and Associates. 🙂
viable in the general election and as push starts coming to shove in the 2011 primary/caucus process, the big donors and establishment types are going to start taking that to heart.
Bachmann, Newt, Johnson, Huntsman, Paul, and Cain, for example, just don’t sound like viable general election candidates to me. (I voted for Romney.)
As a Democrat I would like to see Jon Huntsman as the nominee.
I’m aware he would have the best chance to beat President Obama; however, a Huntsman-Obama race would present the best chance to have an intelligent conversation about how to move the country forward.
The current fear-mongering and childishness is really getting old.
I think perhaps Bachmann will cinch the nomination. The Republican party seems really keen to let the Tea Party dictate the direction of the party but according to a ny times poll released today….
Additionally,
Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08…
So whilst the Republicans encourage the Tea Party mentality they are ostracizing moderate voters and simultaneously pushing independents, and maybe even some R’s, into the arms of the Democratic Party.
This should be interesting.
… I’d say Romney b/c he meets the 2 traditional “how to get the R nomination” criteria: (1) the Wall Street establishment gives him a thumb’s up, unlike Huckabee; (2) it’s his “turn” after a solid enough 2d/3d place in a prior R primary (like Reagan ’76 to 80, Dole ’88 to 96, McCain ’00 to 08).
But when the R party has lost its “acceptable to establishment plus wait your turn” criteria to the point that idiotic Christine O’Donnell beats respected 42-term Congressman Mike Castle in a primary, etc…. well, this game just got a lot more interesting, because the Tea Party held a bonfire with the old Republican rulebook.
When a game has no rules, nothing says a batter can’t decide that instead of swinging at a pitch, he’ll just run from the on-deck circle to third base and declare he hit a triple, while worshipful masses stone the umpire saying “you can’t do that.”
119,000 Repubs voted in the 2008 Iowa caucuses; could a tea party effort send 50,000 lunatics to write in “Jim DeMint”? Maybe. So I used to make confident predictions of primary winners, and I wasn’t half-bad at it… but this time, not a chance.
The smart Republican money will be pouring by the boatload into the Senate and Congressional races to solidify their positions there. (Let the Dems give a billion to Obama, that’s a billion that won’t be going to retake the House or rebuild the Senate.) Romney will make a great sacrificial lamb, but Obama’s the President that’s proven he can keep the Republicans on track.
Obama’s fiscal conservative credentials are impeccable. He passed the Dole/Romney healtcare plan, he extended their Bush tax cuts (and he’ll soon sign off on making those permanent), he’s totally bought off on all this job creator/tax cut/tax reform messaging nonsense, and he’s certainly not going to do anything to rock the campaign finance boat . . . he’s a great Republican president when it comes to the economy and monetary policy, and even if he strays off message from time to time he’s shown he can always be
compromisedmade to see the light.The big, big money arm of the Republican party (and that’s the only part that really counts, right?) totally loves what he’s done. So he’s squishy on a few social issues (gays, equality, race, education, . . .) and isn’t a big flag waver? Who cares, that’s actually great — those things were all fairly inevitable anyway — helps keep the rabble fired up and thinking they’re accomplishing something by voting conservatives into office who claim to hate, and will oppose, any progressive changes.
Grab the Senate, solidiy that hold on the House, and keep those money men happy. Obama or no, it’s win-win in 2012. (And, while I thinking, why even take the Senate — let Harry Reid continue to undermine things there. Hell, SXP’s Republicans can get off cheap this cycle — partay time!)
Right on the mark. Repugs don’t even have to run anyone in the presidential or the senatorials. They’be got exactly what they want.
big $$s will go behind GOTP Sen & House candidates and the State house races.
Something like 10 gubernatorial offices up in 2012 but none are gonna be big upsets or carry the weight of CA or FL from last cycle.
GOTP will try hard to get hold of Sen so Dems need to keep VA, WI, PA, MO, and others while converting MA & Conn back to solid D. Best thing will be the bruising & costly races between the R’s — pitting R-mods vs. TeaBaggers. I love to see all that money:acrimony dynamic play out.
We need to get the poll about the Obama/? ’12 ticket and cabinet shakes … new Veep, SoS, … ?
That’s the short answer comrades.
to glorious leader affirmation for strong Party future!
I doubt that, but if you’re sure that the next president will be their nominee, then that’s inevitable;-)
Somebody Else could whip this bunch in a NY minute.
And if they have the smarts to choose None Of The Above as their running mate, I see big trouble for Obama in the general election.
… with someone that gives a Tinker’s Dam which one of these GOP bobble-head dolls wins the nomination.
My point was that the disappointment with Obama’s inability to rise to the overinflated expectations set by his supporters is his biggest challenge to re-election.
That there remains even more pond scum in the GOP pool that has decided this is not their year to run is not a surprise to me.
Do you get that now?
Rick Perry’s winning the poll and no-one is trumpeting his praises.
Mittens is too squishy on abortion and teh gayz and not a real Christian (to people who care about such things) so his billions will be squandered. Bachman’s crazy enough for the teabaggers, but doesn’t quite seem to have the gravitas necesary, and her popularity will make her a big target for easy to write negative ads.
Perry’s got just as much TP cred with the nutters, but has actual accomplishments to tout. No national fundraising apparatus to speak of yet is his major negative, but it doesn’t feel like that’s so important.
An important factor to consider is the number of open primaries the Rs have, as well as the ratio of winner take all states. I’m not sure how those factors skew to which candidate’s favor.
When an exciting newcomer joins a field late, his best day often is the day before he announeces. Remember the Fred Thompson buzz in 2008? The Wes Clark buzz in 2004? Perry has somewhat more going for him than those two, but he’s got some real weaknesses too, some of which we know: he’s a stupid man, which won’t bother the tea party but could hurt his news coverage and make establishment types (Wall Street, D.C., etc.) rally to Mitt; Perry supported STD innoculation of schoolgirls, which may freak the Bachman/Palin crowd. And there surely are other Perry weaknesses we don’t yet know that will be exposed in a national campaign.
So I might agree with him as the most likely nominee, but I think there’s an all-hail-our-savior bandwagon on the right that won’t last, but that for now is making Perry’s news coverage exaggeratedly positive.
. . .because I grew up in Texas. Molly Ivins’ nickname, “Governor Goodhair” (which I think started back when Perry was Bush’s Lt. Gov) made Texans on the right as well as left chuckle; Perry was widely viewed as a lightweight, and not a ‘serious’ fiscal or social conservative (the days of praying for rain are the New Perry, as well as the Ineffective Perry). My Texas Republican relatives (non-trivial in number) were actively hoping he’d be primaried last time he ran for reelection.
By reasonable Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison. He mopped the floor with her.
C’mon, Texans love their secession talk — she was seen as a total DC insider. So yes, compared to her, he looked conservative, but I think he’s still not really embraced by conservative Texans.
For the same reasons he said.
Low name recognition, but leads in every poll when included, impossible to disparage, and teflon for scandal and big negatives.
Now we Republicans of course have no problem with the Chinese, as long as they give good happy endings.
But think of all the money he’s gonna save on yard signs.
But dems have more free yard signs: Yield.
I look at this list and cannot imagine a single one of them getting the nomination. Not even Somebody Else. Dear God.
It seems too late for somebody else, hard to believe the T in GOTP will let Romney pass and harder to believe in any of the others. Obviously they’ll nominate “somebody” but only “somebody else” was on the list. I think Dio is on to something. The emphasis will be on spending to elect even more Rs to House and Senate, with Obama remaining in place to take the blame for all the damage their policies will continue to do. They’d then have a much easier time electing an R in 2016.
If Dems don’t convince the public to throw the GOTP bums out the way Dems were thrown out in 2010, hanging on to the White House will be pretty poor compensation. The only possible plus will be that if Bader Ginsberg retires with Obama in place, the Supreme Court won’t get worse for a while longer.
“Fuck, I have no clue” wasn’t an option. Predicting what the GOP is going to do is like trying to predict where your remote control will land when the tornado hits.
For those of us old enough to recall the roadside billboards preaching “Impeach Earl Warren”, the Tea Party and the John Birch Society seem one and the same.
Some examples:
Tea Parties: 2nd Coming of John Birch Society?
John Birch Society welcomes newcomer tea party
Bloomberg poll on Tea Party reveals their inner John Birch Society beliefs.
Tea Party Reminiscent of John Birch Society
Newt’s the consummate Repug. Money grubber. Family Values manipulator. Opportunito-Chistian. So-called intellectual. Arrogant. Self-absorbed. Know-it-all. Knows-what-you-should-do and be-it-all. Financial wizard. Crass class warrior. Demonstrated racist. Oh, whatever: Just et cetera ad nauseum.
If the Repugs truly want someone who reflects their values, they’ll nominate good old Mr. Republican, Newt.
That’s Herman Cain, baby.
Now we’re baking with a gas fire.