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October 27, 2011 08:11 PM UTC

Poll: Will Proposition 103 Pass?

  • by: Colorado Pols

Proposition 103 is a statewide ballot initiative in Colorado that would revert the state’s sales and income taxes to 1999 levels for five years: increasing from 4.63% to 5% for income tax, and from 2.9% to 3% for sales taxes. This would raise an estimated $500 million per year, required by statute to fund public education. Proposition 103’s higher rates will sunset in 2016.

Will Proposition 103 pass next Tuesday? As with all of our pre-election polls, we are not looking for you to indicate your personal preference. We want to know what you realistically believe the outcome of the election will be.

Will Proposition 103 pass?

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30 thoughts on “Poll: Will Proposition 103 Pass?

        1. I think Ralphie’s range is right. But what really matters is how much it loses by. The bigger the loss the bigger the deterrent to run another tax increase again soon.

          1. the biggest downside argument against this, yet another, band-aid initiative.

            I voted for 103, and I’m pretty sure it will get hammered . . . like Droll, most things I vote for do.

            But, right now, today I’m more than a little bit pissed at yet another proposal that was trotted forth with so much fanfare, and received so little organized proponent support to actually sell this to the electorate when it came time to . . . well, you know . . . or get off the pot.

            1. They raised enough money to get on TV, they have a decent grassroots field operation, and and they’ve generated a fair amount of attention in an off-year election. And in off-year elections the only people who vote are seniors who could give two shits about education, and especially don’t like being asked to pay more money for it.

              The real culprit was when establishment Dems and the business community followed Hick’s lead and stayed out of it. With no leadership at the top, something like this was doomed to fail.

              The better thing to do than find out who to shove in front of the firing squad would be to learn a valuable lesson: Dems don’t turn out for issues, they turn out when there are people–especially Presidents–with a D after their name. No Democrats to vote for on the ballot, no reason for them to vote.

              1. . . . and my point is not really that someone should to be shot; Hell, how many Democratic politicians would be have if we shot every one that was weak-willed, half-hearted, or sold us down the river?

                . . . Still, for whatever reasons the way that this seems to be turning out will not make it any easier — in fact quite the opposite, will make it more difficult — to get the needed fix passed, or likely even brought to ballot, in 2012.

                Everybody now, . . . a one, and a two, and a . . .

                The sun’ll come out

                next cycle,

                Bet your bottom dollar

                That next cycle

                There’ll be sun!

                The sun’ll come out

                next cycle,

                So ya gotta hang on

                ‘Til next cycle

                come what may.

                Next cycle! Next cycle!

                I love ya next cycle!

                You’re always

                four years away!

              2. Polis was a no show.

                Bennet was a no show.

                The Colorado Democratic Party was a no show.

                 It was a terrible showing by Palacio.

                Nobody stepped up.  Polis & Bennet were in the education field and you didn’t hear a peep from them.  DeGette was invisible.

                It wasn’t that bad a proposition and had a sunset feature.  It could have been supported a hell of a lot more than it was.

                A terrible waste of a good issue.  Now tax increases will be tarred with the same sense of quixotic hopelessness as the eggmendments and all compounded by horrible issue/campaign leadership by the leading state Democrats.

  1. While I’m not optimistic that a majority of voters will agree with me, as BC notes, this little proposition that could has surprised many of us.

    Perhaps Obama’s visit this week will help get out enough young voters to make the difference.

  2. and let us be the model for the rest of ya.  How about a little refresher on where CO stands vs. nation from a article in CO Ed News pulling from Center for Budget Policy and Priorities regarding K12 summary:

    Between 1992 and 2001, Colorado declined precipitously from 35th to 49th in the nation in K-12 spending as a percentage of personal income. As of 2006, the state maintained its low ranking among the states at 48th.

    Colorado’s average per-pupil funding fell by more than $600 relative to the national average between 1992 and 2006.

    Colorado’s average teacher salary compared to average pay in other occupations declined from 30th in the nation in 1992 to a low of 50th in 2001, and edging up only slightly to 49th in the nation as of 2007.

    Here is the CBPP summary for higher education in Colorado:

    Under TABOR, higher education funding per resident student dropped by 31 percent after adjusting for inflation.

    College and university funding as a share of personal income declined from 35th in the nation in 1992 to 48th in 2004; Colorado maintains that ranking in 2008.

    Report cites data a few years old but the sad truth is that things sure haven’t improved.  103 needs to pass!  

  3. I haven’t seen any advertising in favor of the proposition, but have seen some (not a lot) of ads and yard signs against it.  You have to sell ballot initiatives; the default will always be “no.”  So, I voted yes, but I’m betting no.

  4. I’m not hopeful. This is the same state that didn’t pass a one penny tax to help developmentally disabled children and adults – arguably the most vulnerable population in society.  

  5. I checked with my county Clerk & Recorder and it is permissible to drop off a batch of ballots by a 3rd party.  There are no questions asked if you drop off less than 10.  If you drop off more than 10, they have you sign a form.

    If you can obtain a list of outstanding ballots of registered Dems. in your area, you can call them and offer to pick up and drop off their ballot if they can’t do it in person between 8 and 5 on Monday or Tuesday.  Arranging for volunteers to go out and pick up and drop off ballots is like picking someone and driving them to the polling center.  One more surge could change the outcome.

    It’s Tebow time Dems.

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