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October 27, 2011 08:03 PM UTC

It's All About The Chase

  • 6 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Ballot return figures released by the Secretary of State’s office yesterday show that Republican have an edge of about 50,000 ballots returned over Democrats so far this year–206,120 to 157,408 returned from the respective parties, and just under 118,000 from unaffiliated voters.

Republican voters are traditionally quicker to return their mail ballots, while Democrats tend to wait until closer to Election Day to cast their vote. Turnout, as usual, is going to be key in deciding how the only significant statewide measure, Proposition 103, will fare at the polls.

As is often the case in statewide elections, Denver will again play a key role here. With the ridiculous sums of money being spent in the Denver School Board races, there should be fairly strong turnout among a section of voters who are probably more inclined than not to support Prop. 103.

Comments

6 thoughts on “It’s All About The Chase

  1. even considering the slight Repblican registration advantage in this state, these numbers seem about quite as perilous as they might sound, for whatever good reason . . .

    Republican voters, for whatever reason, might simply be quicker to return their mail ballots.

    “for whatever reason, might simply be quicker”? . . . I’ll bite, pray tell.

    (And, if you please, I prefer a little lemon-garlic butter along with a sprinkling of red pepper flakes on my spinish [spinach].)

    Seems to me, the much better hope is that you can explain why the unaffiliateds are breaking significantly to the left this year.

  2. If it gets above 85,000 total votes citywide, that would be very high.

    A lot more Democrats have voted than Republicans, but there is actually about a three percentage point advantage for Republicans as far as turnout.

    What these statistics are showing is that conservatives are more excited to vote against 103 than Democrats are excited to vote for it. If these numbers continue to trend towards a significant Republican advantage, you can almost guarantee 103 will go down–and by a significant amount.

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