CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 03, 2021 02:23 PM UTC
21 Comments
What do Colorado and Virginia have in common?
Biden won each by about 10%. Hillary Clinton won both by about 5%. Obama won both in '08 and '12. Prior to '08, both states had a history of voting GOP.
But we saw a 12% swing from Biden 10% lead last year to McAuliffe's 2% loss yesterday. Apply that to Colorado and Youngkin-type Republican may pull off a win.
Here is Polis' secret weapon:
HiediHeidi Ganahl. She is not a serious candidate.BUT….. if the CO GOP wanted to give this race a run for the $$$, they would be talking to someone like John Suthers or one of the Coffmans (Taller would be preferable but Shorter would still be a more credible candidate than
HiediHeidi).Hell, they might even consider recycling a retread: Con Man Cory won one statewide race (during a good election year for the GOP) and lost the other (in a bad election year for his party).
The one fundamental difference between Colorado and Virginia: The Republican Party in CO is a hot mess. There is one, maybe two truly formidable Repugs in this state. The ones you mentioned would have a steep climb, even in a bad year.
Suthers is probably the only one who could actually pull off a win. The others might make it a respectable loss – like Both Ways Bob did in 2014.
I'd have to agree. I think Kevin Priola would be formidable down the line. But that's about it right now. They don't have a 2014-era Cory Gardner right now.
One big difference is that Polis is the incumbent and eligible for another term. He is a savvy veteran with deep pockets and will have coattails. Another difference is that Colorado Republicans have a walking talking disaster in Boebert who will undoubtedly turn off or offend just about everyone at some point in the lead up to the election. Colorado Republicans are going to have to have some serious mojo to pull off a string of upsets next year.
The big difference is that it is super easy to vote in Colorado, and the Governor's race is not in an off-year election. It is really hard to win an election using disinformation to whip up your base, when turnout is at 70-80%.
I'm actually surprised that the Right Wing didn't win more this year given the lower turnout rates.
On behalf of the hundreds of volunteers, candidates, and campaign staff who knocked thousands of doors and made hundreds of thousands of calls to Get Out the Vote…..you’re welcome.
Trae Crowder on the Virginia results: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_EideffKCM
Solid analysis.
How do you patent Boulder?
Asking for Louisville
Easy there Voy ! Louisvillian here, and not the Kentucky persuasion either…
I have kin in Loo-iss-ville Colorado, but we’re still in mourning over the loss of the Blue Parrot, a favorite of our family for 70 years.
. Loo-eee=ville Kentucky can’t begin to compare. No offense intended, I assume the reason someone would patent Boulder would be to ensure that nobody can replicate it in Louisville.
Just kidding about that ! Losing the Blue Parrot was indeed a bummer, but there are a ton of wonderful restaurants on Main, including Moxie, Waterloo, Huckleberry and Empire. I dearly hope we don't turn into Boulder…such a nice town to live in.
There aren't too many half-or-more billionaires who decide they want to run for office and DON'T have a toxic background or a seriously inflammatory set of positions (or friends). Colorado Democrats are fortunate that one of them wound up being Jerod Polis, who wanted a chance to be a public servant.
I don't hang out in those circles, but thus far, I've not heard of a Colorado Republican equivalent to Glenn Youngkin in the offing. Neither Stapleton or Ganahl are quite that rich, and neither had a blank enough slate to be able to say with a straight face that "teachers should be paid more." Youngkin could promise "better-paying jobs, the best schools, the safest communities" and nothing in his background contradicted the glittering generalities.
33-40% oppose vaccines.
sad
sad, pathetic, and deadly.
That's why I say, the next spike is all theirs. Oh well…🙄
Stupidity kills, but not fast enough.
Interesting. Ann Coulter is quoted via today's Yahoo News as saying Trump is "abjectedly stupid."
Trump would need years of study to work up to abjectly stupid.
"Democrats make particularly large gains with unaffiliated and white women, as well as suburban voters." There you have the key difference. Colorado's white women haven't lost their minds as they have in other parts of the country.