CO-04 (Special Election) See Full Big Line

(R) Greg Lopez

(R) Trisha Calvarese

90%

10%

President (To Win Colorado) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Biden*

(R) Donald Trump

80%

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

90%

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

90%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(D) Adam Frisch

(R) Jeff Hurd

(R) Ron Hanks

40%

30%

20%

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert

(R) Deborah Flora

(R) J. Sonnenberg

30%↑

15%↑

10%↓

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Dave Williams

(R) Jeff Crank

50%↓

50%↑

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

90%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) Brittany Pettersen

85%↑

 

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(D) Yadira Caraveo

(R) Gabe Evans

(R) Janak Joshi

60%↑

35%↓

30%↑

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
November 30, 2020 12:26 PM UTC

Behold: The Big Line 2022!

  • 14 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

The 2020 election is over (yes, even for you, President Trump), which means it’s time to gaze into our crystal ball and take a first look at 2022.

Go check out The Big Line 2022, then come back here and air your grievances. Keep in mind that early editions of The Big Line are more speculative than scientific; we will adjust names and odds throughout the next two years as things change and more information becomes available. Note that we had a harder time than normal coming up with Republican challengers in several key 2022 races because the Republican bench in Colorado is basically a phone booth.

Percentages listed on The Big Line are intended to reflect our estimation of the outcome of the biggest election battles in Colorado in 2022. Love it or hate it, The Big Line is usually pretty accurate; the only race we got wrong in 2020 was in CO-03, where nobody really knew anything heading into Election Day.

Comments

14 thoughts on “Behold: The Big Line 2022!

  1. I love your new Big Line…..

    As for Emily Sirota, the old rumor was that she was waiting for DeGette to retire. But given that DeGette is only in her early 60’s and given the longevity of members of Congress, I’m guessing Sirota doesn’t want to wait until 2034.

    Besides, the lefties have been griping about M. Bennet for a long time. They may finally be trying to replace him. Best of luck!

    I have been predicting Both Ways Bob runs in ’22 because of his eight-year cycle. Priola is too liberal for that party. Better to run Brauchler or Neville or Tancredo.

    The Race of Two Jen(n)as would be a hoot to watch.

    1. Pure guesswork here, but I'd bet small amounts Sirota would be more competitive in a 1st district primary than a Senate primary, though she'd probably lose either one. For the Senate, I've got doubts she would play that well outside of Denver/Boulder, or with unaffiliated voters, and her resume's sort of average. For the 1st, there's a solid percentage of progressives if she can mobilize, and she'd be campaigning closer to home with better name recognition. Of course DeGette would be tough to uproot, but Bennet's pretty entrenched by now too.

    1. I wonder what it is going to take to get our AG interested in Qbert's campaign irregularities…saying "I forgot" once is forgivable, but this money from Ted Cruz is not forgettable….five bucks, one can forget…but over 100k seems a little like fraud to me…

      1. Agreed. Kellyanne was kind of like a national reality whisperer. She alone could divine what it was, and then she was kind enough to share it with us. I’m going to miss her.

  2. I know, I know  rounding and stats and it's not intended to be taken as a factually true

    It doesn't add up.
     

    CD1 is going to be the big surprise.  You read it here first.

    1. I'll bite … what general sort of "surprise" do you expect for CD1 ???  A primary challenger to displace DeGette?  a resurrection of a Republican party and a successful representative?  An "independent" candidate making enough of an impact to make the Republicans wind up 3rd in the vote count? successful demonstrations or hijack of votes to block a popular election or its count?  a small asteroid or a large tornado triggering widespread death & destruction, followed by out-migration? 

       

      1. "a small asteroid or a large tornado triggering widespread death & destruction, followed by out-migration?"

        Of your various possibilities, that last one is probably the most plausible.

Leave a Comment

Recent Comments


Posts about

Donald Trump
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Lauren Boebert
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Yadira Caraveo
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado House
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado Senate
SEE MORE

260 readers online now

Newsletter

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!