Behold: The Big Line 2022!

The 2020 election is over (yes, even for you, President Trump), which means it’s time to gaze into our crystal ball and take a first look at 2022.

Go check out The Big Line 2022, then come back here and air your grievances. Keep in mind that early editions of The Big Line are more speculative than scientific; we will adjust names and odds throughout the next two years as things change and more information becomes available. Note that we had a harder time than normal coming up with Republican challengers in several key 2022 races because the Republican bench in Colorado is basically a phone booth.

Percentages listed on The Big Line are intended to reflect our estimation of the outcome of the biggest election battles in Colorado in 2022. Love it or hate it, The Big Line is usually pretty accurate; the only race we got wrong in 2020 was in CO-03, where nobody really knew anything heading into Election Day.


14 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. RepealAndReplace says:

    I love your new Big Line…..

    As for Emily Sirota, the old rumor was that she was waiting for DeGette to retire. But given that DeGette is only in her early 60’s and given the longevity of members of Congress, I’m guessing Sirota doesn’t want to wait until 2034.

    Besides, the lefties have been griping about M. Bennet for a long time. They may finally be trying to replace him. Best of luck!

    I have been predicting Both Ways Bob runs in ’22 because of his eight-year cycle. Priola is too liberal for that party. Better to run Brauchler or Neville or Tancredo.

    The Race of Two Jen(n)as would be a hoot to watch.

    • 2Jung2Die says:

      Pure guesswork here, but I'd bet small amounts Sirota would be more competitive in a 1st district primary than a Senate primary, though she'd probably lose either one. For the Senate, I've got doubts she would play that well outside of Denver/Boulder, or with unaffiliated voters, and her resume's sort of average. For the 1st, there's a solid percentage of progressives if she can mobilize, and she'd be campaigning closer to home with better name recognition. Of course DeGette would be tough to uproot, but Bennet's pretty entrenched by now too.

  2. davebarnes says:

    Don't Diana and Doug deserve [insert opposite party] person opponents?

  3. gertie97 says:

    Soper isn't near crazy enough to beat Calamity Jane but he would be an improvement.

  4. NOV GOP meltdown says:

    Pols you have a 110 % total for CD-4.  Sounds about right in a district where logic is fairly elastic.

  5. MADCO says:

    I know, I know  rounding and stats and it's not intended to be taken as a factually true

    It doesn't add up.

    CD1 is going to be the big surprise.  You read it here first.

    • JohnInDenver says:

      I'll bite … what general sort of "surprise" do you expect for CD1 ???  A primary challenger to displace DeGette?  a resurrection of a Republican party and a successful representative?  An "independent" candidate making enough of an impact to make the Republicans wind up 3rd in the vote count? successful demonstrations or hijack of votes to block a popular election or its count?  a small asteroid or a large tornado triggering widespread death & destruction, followed by out-migration? 


      • RepealAndReplace says:

        "a small asteroid or a large tornado triggering widespread death & destruction, followed by out-migration?"

        Of your various possibilities, that last one is probably the most plausible.

  6. itlduso says:

    Write in Donald Trump for US Senate.

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