President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
70%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 09, 2020 06:53 AM UTC
45 Comments
He’s not “getting better”. $rump makes unhinged call in to Hannity, raves about tiny windows and tiny fish, pauses to ccough several times.
I switched onto Fox last night and was confronted by the Mark Levin screed. OMG. Anyone choosing to watch this network for more than 15 minutes will be brain washed and radicalized. I'm afraid the MI plot is just the start of violent attacks encouraged by both Trump and Pence who refuse to say they will accept the results of the election.
Perhaps it is time to ask him to draw the clock again.
WOTD from Rachel Bitecofer: New Website; Her Congressional Predictions.
Rachel Bitecofer made great predictions for the 2018 Congressional elections, based in large part because she recognized that "negative partisanship" had come to dominate voters' decision making.
She has just gone independent from the Niskanen center and created her own website. Today she releases her 2020 Congressional predictions, proclaiming high expectations for Democratic success. Her analysis is pretty wordy, and would have benefited by splitting up into several articles. However, there is a lot to chew on for political junkies like us.
Biticofer looks at is willing to out on a limb more than other estimators. She moves races to lean or likely sooner, and her "toss-up" category is more of a "reach" category, or a "competitive race that could surprise". She is bullish on a number of races in Texas that aren't on the radar for others.
There is a chart where she rates the few dozen races she considers interesting.
She also remarks on how absolutely stable the polling between Biden and Trump has been, going back all the way to 2017. Basically, the cake is baked for the 90% of Democratic-aligned and Republican-aligned tribes and even independent-leaners, meaning there are very few persuadables, and there is virtually no third-party sympathy to cause uncertainty. In other words 2020 is not 2016.
Bitecofer still rates CO-3 as leans R … which shows her method isn't reflecting news or polling, but registrations and previous voting.
I agree. In this case she should take into account the fact that the Republicans selected a truly inappropriate candidate. But, I guess that isn't in her methodology.
At least he's not our Senator. Even Cory knows that the "third rail" is deadly.
From The American Independent:
Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) said Tuesday that U.S. spending on Social Security, Medicare, and other entitlement programs are "not under control" and could lead to "a runaway debt crisis."
In an interview with a local radio network, Perdue seemed to suggest that cutting funding to the popular entitlement programs — which provide health insurance and benefits to American seniors— would help reduce the national debt.
You know what else leads to runaway debt crises?
Multi-trillion dollar tax cuts for rich people.
And a 3.1 Trillion FY 19-20 federal deficit just posted on the books.
So much winning!
Speaking of rich people, our junior senator's sugar daddies are hard at work with their tax windfalls:
Heard yesterday on NPR
After spending an enormous amount of money to defeat Barack, Chuck and Dave somehow managed to double their net worth under his economy-killing Administration.
There is a club. We're not in it.
But from their perspective, in a free country they were entitled to quadruple their net worth.
Politico's write-up on Trump's proposed $7.9 billion bribe to keep the old fucks from voting for Biden is available here. It's a pretty good read. It'll be interesting to see whether CMMS can get the cards properly platinumed, festooned with Trump's name and likeness, and into the hands of old fucks by election day.
Medicare recipients needn't worry, though. Surely this $7.9 billion boondoggle will in no way affect the solvency of the program.
Us "old fucks" vote early and often. The bribe will come too late.
I bleeve that’s “we” old fucks, dave.😉
And on the subject of voting by age, that mess on our November ballot, A76 will keep 17-year-olds from voting in the primaries:https://coloradosun.com/2020/09/04/amendment-76-colorado-noncitizens-voting/
Us old fucks also appear to be breaking for Biden in a big way. I may be an old fuck, but I'm not senile enough to believe that $200 is anything other than an offensively low bribe attempt.
Hey, it's enough to buy a bottle of aspirin every week down at City Market, with enough left over for a day-old donut from the bake shop.
Surely that will sway minds.
Today is National Day (observed) in Taiwan.
Also John Lennon's 80th bday.
You may say I'm a dreamer
But I'm not the only one
I hope someday you'll join us
And the world will be as one
and in 2 months, we can imagine what could have happened if Lennon lived another 40 years. RIP, 8 December 1980
and SMH that we still don’t treat the mentally ill better or limit their access to weapons much better.
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Vote NO on the HOT MESS of Amendment B
Ballotpedia discusses the Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level score for level of education needed to read and comprehend the ballot measure. Amendment B has a Title Grade of 43, requiring post-college graduate level of education. As presented, Amendment B is confusing and complex.
This repeal of the Gallagher Amendment should go back to the drawing board.
Searched Colorado Republican Party website. Appears silent.
Then Colorado Democratic Party website > Voter's Guide > Vote YES to repeal.
Finally Douglas County GOP. “Amendment B” on your ballot – DCGOP takes no position.
Grade Level 43 is about college sophomore/junior level.
Evaluating an issue on the complexity of blue book language avoids the issues it addresses.
There are already plenty of opinion pieces about Amendment B available with even more to come. Gather more information from other, less opaque sources.
Then call your legislators and ask them to revise the bluebook process.
As a debate judge, I tend to decide on things NOT based on their complexity, but by comparing policy outcomes.
I know what a mess the current Gordian Knot of constitutional entanglements has meant. Several seemingly reasonable people have written about the benefits of Amendment B. So what do you think would be worse if Amendment B passed?
It’s what you’d expect if #SchoolHouseRock went to one of Betsy Devos’ humdinger private schools and then got an advanced degree in civics from Ttump University: (warning:mixing dexamethasone with desperation is a very bad combination)
When I saw that he used the words "beat off," my mind initially went somewhere else….
I have to admit, I thought a hand-job for every Repug might have been a bridge too far for even the most ardent Ttumpican! Can you imagine the dreams he must be having on these steroids derived from fetal tissue????
His little arms must get sooo tired.
If they all share the endurance level of David Dennison it won’t take long…
Can Moderatus loan them some Kleenexes? Preferably unused.
That's only going to happen if he can 'borrow' them from the janitor's closet in the federal facility where he works. He's staring at the likely prospect of a 50% reduction in his household income come January.
They call me Bill.
..and for the finish: Mayor Pete handled this beautifully…
Indeed, he did. I sure hope Joe gives him a job.
Mayor Pete could give our Cory some pointers on how to talk fast, be eloquent, speak about substance and not lie your ass off.
Joe Neville's nasty ad blew up in his face. Pa Neville's kids aren't doing very well this cycle: https://www.denverpost.com/2020/10/09/colorado-brianna-titone-attack-ad-legislature-transgender/
And, the REAL Neville Brothers:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Neville_Brothers
It's for sure, no one else sounds like Aaron.
Assholes….. Glad I sent Brianna some money this summer!
I hear Rep. Titone brought in some major fundraising because of this. My wife donated $27 from our account to her last night.
She deserves it. Her office does great constituent service, wrote an effective letter on a matter affecting inmates in the Jeffco jail, which is in her district.