May 23, 2010 07:15 AM UTC

Hawaii Special Election results

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• by: DavidThi808

This is weird – the election ends at 6:00pm and they have numbers out from 5:12pm. But here it is (and the Hanabusa numbers are a giant surprise):

(R) DJOU, Charles 67,274 39.5%

(D) HANABUSA, Colleen 52,445 30.8%

(D) CASE, Ed 47,012 27.6%

My predictions:

1) There will be a Democratic primary in August.

2) That primary will be very close. Hanabusa is more liberal but she is the machine candidate and that hurts as much as helps.

3) Djou could win in November – with two big ifs. First, that he charts an independent course in D.C. Second, his odds are better against Hanabusa.