CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 14, 2010 09:19 PM UTC
57 Comments
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on Michael Bennet. duh.
I respect an independent press, so I wonder if AR isn’t covered in the “local media” whichever local that is, perhaps the media isn’t as independent, or neutral as most of us expect it to be. That’s a problem in a democracy. We expect fair reporting. Policy statements and press conferences for AR don’t seem to covered.
It’s not news unless a candidate proposes something really radical.
will be the candidate, I’m quite sure Dems should be happy about that as he will be a much stronger statewide candidate than Romanoff. And it sure has been awhile since we’ve heard a peep out of AR in the local media or even from his fans here on the blog.
For AR to get media after the assemblies. Colorado Pols and Facebook are the only venues that he is able to get media coverage on a semi-consistent basis.
I HAVE heard a peep out of his supporters here. They coordinate attack diaries and recommend them since none of the news coming out of the Romanoff campaign is worthy of local, state or national news. Just take a look at the recommended diaries to see what I mean.
maybe you don’t read the news. It took me about 10 seconds to find this from yesterday
I’ve seen this new talking point pop up a few times on different diaries now, and honestly it doesn’t make any sense. Romanoff will most likely continue to get coverage from campaign stops over the summer, policy releases, etc, the same way he has been.
Is the state assembly a big one? Sure — it will be more good news when Romanoff beats Bennet by a wide margin. It won’t be the end though…
You say that like it’s been exemplary to date.
I think something else, but whatever floats your boat.
While Bennet was in AP, Wall St. Journal (twice), Durango Herald, Pueblo Chieftain, Denver Business Journal, Denver Daily News (twice), Business Weekly, Real Clear Politics, Information Week and The Hill, according to my research.
He is being eclipsed in media coverage and has no way to get his (ineffective) message out without money for TV ads.
Lets hope all of your attack diaries can reach 4 million people.
Of course the majors cover him as they do nearly every sitting Senator. Hardly indicative of much there.
And when a major outlet covers what is a downside for Michael, we get nothing but spin from the Bennetistas on CP…
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/…
It won’t mean a thing. Bennet will have no problem staying well above 30%. Romanoff can feel good about himself for a day. The percentage of primary voters reading these blogs or going to events is a drop in the bucket.
He got coverage at Statesman (see other thread).
Exposure is something you die of.
Nt
I’d say Bennet.
Based on who the activist base would want, I’d say Romanoff, but like Mike Miles, an activist base doesn’t translate on its own into votes on primary day. Romanoff has better name recognition than Miles, but IMHO the Miles campaign organization was less prone to shoot itself in the foot.
But for those (as of now) 13 people that would be willing to bet their house that he’ll be the nominee, you’re being ridiculous.
Didn’t have to worry about the deed. Banks got it, foreclosed. j/k
Do you even need a poll here? AR is toast.
that sentiment has been said many times
“AR is toast”
if he is toast, then why is Michael Bennet spending a million dollars for tv ads?
Why is Michael Bennet losing the caucuses?
Why is Michael Bennet petitioning in case he doesn’t reach 30% at assembly.
Sounds like at least Michael Bennet is taking AR seriously.
and he should.
…even if he didn’t have a primary?
wasting millions of hard earned cash during primary season is something he’d do without a formidable opponent? And why would that be exactly?
Most running unopposed or with weak opposition conserve cash for the general, but maybe you know something I don’t.
Even if Romanoff were not in the race, Bennet would not be running “unopposed.” His opposition would be the Republican candidate. I am under the impression that those people with no primary opponent (but who expect a tough general election) will spend money early on get-to-know-me ads. Especially when it’s reasonable to assume that the general public may not know much about the candidate. Of course, Bennet might not be spending as much money as he is now if AR were not running — a point I have never disputed.
Unlike your candidate, Bennet has a general to win.
Any spending he does now will help with his name recognition in the general.
bla bla bla. You’ll be voting for Bennet in November.
You’ll be voting Republican or staying home in a snit? You just couldn’t possibly support a centrist Dem candidate instead of …another centrist Dem candidate? I can understand liking Romanoff but the whole Bennet is a horrible person thing your guy is running with is beyond belief. It would be comical if it wasn’t such a giant pain in the ass.
I think he’s just predicting that AR will be the nominee. And if he is, this is one Bennet delegate to the state assembly who will cheerfully vote for AR. I think we can get this party back together in time to hold that seat.
I was just rubbing it in. And I’m another Bennet delegate who would be willing to vote for Romanoff. Maybe not so cheerfully because I’m afraid he’d go on to lose.
If AR wins the August primary (remember Wade, the State Assembly is just for top line bragging rights), I hope he resets his campaign to focus on his 8 years of legislative experience, and we forget all about the campaign messaging missteps of the past few months.
BTW, V’ger, have you gotten your official call letter? Should I be worried that I haven’t yet?
If you still want to carpool, it might have to be ugly early… I have to swing over to Aurora to pick up my friend who can’t drive.
If yours don’t come in a day or two, I’d worry. But even without them, you should be on the list. The Bennet folks could doubtless get you in.
I’ve misplaced your card. Could you send contact info to Voyageur2b@aol.com and we’ll check on the ride situation. I certainly can drive but prefer the greener and more social route. Alternatively, how is RTD service to there?
It turns out the park and ride is just outside the events center in Broomfield. That’s probably easier than trying to coordinate with two passengers. Registration is between 7 and 9, so we want to get there reasonably early to avoid the kind of jam we had in Denver.
Really, that was the most stupid response I’ve seen from an AR supporter.
Rather than respond, I’ll treat you like I treat people who listen to Fox Spews: If you’re so sure of your opinion, let’s bet on it; $100 minimum. Straight up: I say Bennet wins the Dem nomination.
If you don’t accept this wager, then we’re free to call AR toast, although I prefer the “put a fork in him, he’s done” metaphor.
as an individual who has claimed to have donated nearly what Westwood College donated to the Bennet campaign, I think the $100 hit will be less to your budget than to many others. I’m lucky to scrape the occasional $25-50 donation to Andrew without raising the ire of my wife for my profligate ways.
Make it $25 and you’re on!
Yahoo!
I’ll write this down and we can square up in August.
Maybe I should have told you I won $1,000 on the U of Iowa site betting on Obama to win the primary back in December, 2007.
August it is.
🙂
He probably would have upped the bet to the original $100.
Iowa doesn’t have a presidential primary. It has caucuses.
You’re right, I meant Iowa caucus.
So, why don’t you take the Bennet primary bet if you’re so smart? Or, did I just answer that.
I’m unaffiliated. I haven’t even decided whether to affiliate and vote in one of the primaries, let alone which party. I figure I can do some mischief either way, or let the parties eat their own young.
In November, however, I do plan on voting for whoever wins the Dem primary. They’re both fine candidates and head and shoulders above the opposition.
I have asked for it before but who can talk him down before he destroys any political hopes he ever had?
why doesn’t someone talk to Michael, tell him he’s really not a politician after all. He can collect his generous pension from the US Senate and go back to the private sector and make more millions there. It is more suited to his natural gifts I believe.
Bennet wins this by far. Romanoff is the better man though.
Bennet wins it and while both are personally good, decent men, Romanoff’s behavior during this campaign has not been to his credit and makes Bennet look that much better.
according to this poll, Bennet wins by a 3 to 1 margin, despite real ‘fact’ that he is losing 58-42 in reality.
AR will lose in the primary even with the top line so much for your reality. With all of his connections and support that you keep mentioning, why doesn’t AR poll better against the R candidates? He has the statewide name recognition afterall.
You do realize the assembly vote just determines ballot position, right? So the real “fact” in reality is that the day after next Saturday, both will be on the ballot. Neither will have lost, or at least not enough to matter to anyone who isn’t already at the assembly.
and 58 to 42 for what against whom? Bennet vs Romanoff in primary? Bennet vs Norton or Buck in general? Because I’m not googling those kind of numbers for any of the above scenarios. Or do you mean he’ll “lose” 58 to 42 at state? If so, so what?
of assembly delegates, based on preferences at county assemblies. It’s not what primary polls show.
fantastic. That’s a very far cry from needing to petition on and as good as anyone could have expected. This is what Wade bases his primary victory for Romanoff on? Poor Wade.
Hopes mean more than facts to him.
Don’t begrudge him. This country needs people with hopes as much as needs people with facts.
That said, I think that Wade sometimes ignores the facts.
topline at assembly automtically means victory in the primary.
The other is just an opinion.
Just because I hear about him more than Romanoff.
mood could hurt Bennet in the primary. Keep and eye on Arkansas and Pennsylvania next week as an indicator of Bennet’s fortunes in the primary….
Spector in Pennsylvania switched parties and many Dems don’t consider him a true Democrat.
Lincoln fought health care and has since campaigned against it and labor unions.
Their opponents are probably better candidates for the general election.
AR is most certainly not the better candidate for Dems in Colorado.
Bennet raised money for Obama during the 2008 election and fought hard and supported health care reform. A bill, by the way that Romanoff has said he would not have voted for.
remember how Spector fucked Anita Hill. Figuratively, of course, not literally. Literally was what Clarence Thomas wanted to do.
My wife’s mother has Alzheimer’s, yet she still remembers that Spector is a son-of-a-bitch that can’t be trusted. Just ask her.
Bennet has nothing to do with Spector. And vice-versa. Spector was an untrustworthy scumbag long before there even WAS a Bennet.
is campaigning actively for
Specter, Lincoln, and Bennet.
Not such good company.
And if Romanoff manages to get his campaign together enough to win the primary, Obama will campaign for him too. Does that make Romanoff like Spector?