CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 14, 2010 08:22 PM UTC
27 Comments
which, unfortunately, doesn’t fit with the facts, either.
Democrats have won the last 10 special Congressional elections. Now how’d that happen, and why is it a secret?
The Dems are a veritable juggernaut this year.
Emphasis mine. All mine. Mwah ah ah ah….
But you’d think the Scott Brown and two governors’ elections were the only ones that have happened. They’re not.
Ted Kennedy’s seat going R is a fart in the wind.
Man am I going to have fun the last six weeks of 2010 on this blog.
Who do you think will control the Senate in January? Care to place a bet on it?
And I don’t think anyone thinks Scott Brown’s victory is trivial, but this election isn’t trivial either, and Bill Owens’ victory in New York wasn’t trivial either. All elections matter. Every politician is special in their own way.
It would be like betting on the Superbowl before the season begins.
The House is toast, but the Senate’s a little closer.
I’ll bet you in August.
Democrats won 9 seats in one election last time around (counting the Specter switch). Republicans won 10 seats in 1994 (counting the Shelby and Campbell switches).
Get Joe Lieberman and Ben Nelson to switch parties, and it shouldn’t be too hard to flip the Senate, if you really think Democrats are that unpopular.
is going to be working at freaking McDonald’s next December. Good riddance.
He won re-election in 2006. His term is up in 2012. Not sure where you think he’s going this November.
…are disgusted (justifiably so) with him. Didn’t he lose something like 30 points in popularity after ‘the bribe that killed the US economy’?
🙂
But that NE bribe part of the healthcare bill should be repealed. Oh, waitaminute
Who says Brown is a “fart in the wind”? It’s a big deal. My point is, that isn’t the only thing that’s going on at the polls.
Everyone talks about this Democratic bloodbath, but I just don’t see it happening. We’re going to have close races here for Senate & CD-4, and possibly Gov. But I think all of them will go Dem. And while it’s not as goes Colo, so goes the country. But if we are looking at running the board in mountain west purple Colorado, I don’t see a Republican resurgence across the rest of the country.
I also think HCR will turn out to be advantage Dems come November. If they can get real reform on Wall St too, then they go into November with two giant successes – and the Repubs having to sell why they favored the banks over the people.
History many times has similarities, but it does not repeat. And a giant difference over ’92 is HCR passed this time.
will be much closer than the Guv race IMO.
Where I think they will fall:
Hick will win by 8 – 15 points.
Markey will win by 5 – 7 points.
Buescher will win by 8 – 12 points.
Kennedy will win by 7 – 10 points.
Garnett will win by 6 – 12 points.
But Bennet could be a nail biter. On the flip side don’t discount the Colorado GOP statewide curse – they run terrible campaigns. We have our secret weapon – Dick Wadhams.
Is more often than not the Republican candidate decides to destroy their own campaign. So I have the large spread in case any of them self-immolate. The biggest for McInnis because he’s already starting to self-destruct.
I think Bennet will be close, but the rest I’m pretty comfortable with. The race that really worries me is if it’s Bennet/Buck – that will be a toss-up at best.
Because I’m thinking back to the 2008 electoral map I made for you where every state was blue.
But I don’t know enough about the other races to hazard a guess. And while that map you did for me was funny, I was not quite that optimistic (close though).
And part of it is who we have. Ritter vs McInnis would have been closer – but we have Hick now. CD-4 should be competitive, but Markey does a perfect job. AG was a gimme for the Republicans and Suthers hosed himself.
You’re overestimating the difference it makes that Markey “does a perfect job.” We haven’t seen Gardner campaign with the general public yet, and he could prove to be a buffoon, but it’s far too early to call this race.
After all, I’m as big of a Democrat as they come.
However, this is one of Florida’s most liberal districts, and was previously represented by the firebrand Robert Wexler. It would be a huge upset if a Republican won this seat, and thankfully, if expectedly, the Democrat won.
The long and short of it? This win means almost nothing with regards to November’s elections. A democrat won in a democratic stronghold.
You mean all this Republican/Tea Party hype about a bloodbath or a R landslide in the Fall is not true?
Why would they say it if it is not true?
I mean didn’t the R’s win governor elections in NJ & VA? And then a Senate seat in MA? Doesn’t that demonstrate that they are right and all the 2010 D candidates are in big trouble?
but I join you–this district has twice as many registered Democrats as it does Republicans.
Winning an election is not a trivial thing anymore.
but District 19 in Florida is slightly smaller and just a tad easier to win than the entire state of Massachusetts.
And I don’t recall saying that winning an election is a trivial thing.