Post-Mortem Poll: Trump Led Colorado GOP To Slaughter

The Denver Post’s Jon Murray reports on a post-election poll from GOP-aligned pollster Magellan Strategies out today, documenting how backlash over President Donald Trump’s election and controversial term in office since 2016 directly translated to historic defeat for Republicans at every level in Colorado in 2018:

The phone poll, conducted by a Republican firm Nov. 7-9, confirmed that unaffiliated voters — whose participation surged to historic levels for a midterm election — broke with tradition by favoring Democrats by huge margins on Nov. 6. Unaffiliated voters who turn out in midterms in Colorado tend to break for Republicans, while leaning left in presidential elections.

And unlike previous Democratic electoral routs, the poll suggests, it’s less likely Republicans will be in a position to bounce back in two years, when Trump is up for re-election.

“What is still the most important voting bloc is all of the unaffiliated voters,” said David Flaherty, the founder and CEO of Louisville-based Magellan Strategies. “And the bottom line is that boy oh boy, they did not like what Republicans were offering up. And boy oh boy, they do not like this president. … It could not have been a darker day.”

Midterm losses for the party holding the White House are almost always certain, but there’s a reason why the “blue wave” of 2018 crested higher in our state than most. Despite the fact that Trump lost Colorado in the 2016 presidential election, Colorado Republicans deliberately embraced Trump on the campaign trail. This began in earnest during the Republican gubernatorial primary, in which eventual nominee Walker Stapleton made “supporting President Trump” his principal message to the party faithful. Whether motivated by sheer hubris or a misguided calculation that holding the Republican base together was more important than alienating swing voters hostile to Trump, the result was disaster.

Colorado Republicans willfully, consciously, happily followed President Trump into the abyss. Responsibility for this mistake is both broad and deep. From Stapleton to the state party brass to every Republican candidate who made the choice either to stand with the President or remain silent–they earned this outcome. They chose it.

And the unaffiliated voters of Colorado who decide elections will not soon forget.

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  1. unnamed says:

    This just brings me back to the sheer stupidity of local Right-wing talking heads thinking the problem was Colorado Republicans not being Trumpy enough and floating candidates who would get eviscerated in a statewide race to primary Cory Gardner. 

    Especially when Gardner was one of these Republicans:

    Colorado Republicans willfully, consciously, happily followed President Trump into the abyss.

  2. davebarnesdavebarnes says:

    "President Trump’s job approval among all unaffiliated voters is toxic, with only 31% approving of the job he is doing, 62% disapproving, and 48% strongly disapproving of the job he is doing.

    Overwhelmingly, the top two issues that were important to unaffiliated voters and influenced their vote for Governor and the state legislature were education and healthcare."

    https://magellanstrategies.com/magellan-strategies-colorado-survey-2018-unaffiliated-voters/

  3. Arvadonian1Arvadonian1 says:

    Gardner, are you listening?

    • unnamed says:

      Does he ever listen?

      • VoyageurVoyageur says:

        I know Cory very well and, yes he's a very good listener.  But to whom should he listen — the rabid right – wing base like Brophy and Buck that nominated him last time and can primary him if he lets his Hitler Youth membership lapse, or moderate unafiliated voters who will dump on him if he plays kissee kissee Trump butt?

        It's not a simple problem.

        • unnamed says:

          No it's not.   I have a hard time being sympathetic though.  Partly due to the policies they have tried to ram down our throats and partly due to the Faustian Bargain he, and his party, have made with Trump (in part to push those policies).  Many Republicans not in Trumpy areas have paid the price for their fealty.  Others that have not paid the price yet, will. 

          As far as Cory listening, I am going based on things like the Tax Scam and Heath Care repeal.  He was full bore for those over the objections of the majority of his constituents.  Likewise on Kavanaugh.  So, it feels that he does not listen to anybody who is not the Kochs or does not have the power or influence to cause him to lose a primary.

      • Diogenesdemar says:

        Depends.  How much were you thinking of donating?

      • Duke CoxDuke Cox says:

        He LI$TEN$…YE$, he DOE$….

  4. notaskinnycooknotaskinnycook says:

    He may have led them, but as the Eagles sang "Ah, but (s)he can't take you anywhere you don't already know how to go." 

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