President (To Win Colorado) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Biden*

(R) Donald Trump

80%

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

90%

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

90%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(D) Adam Frisch

(R) Jeff Hurd

(R) Ron Hanks

40%

30%

20%

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert

(R) J. Sonnenberg

(R) Ted Harvey

20%↑

15%↑

10%

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Dave Williams

(R) Jeff Crank

(R) Doug Bruce

20%

20%

20%

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

90%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) Brittany Pettersen

85%↑

 

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(D) Yadira Caraveo

(R) Gabe Evans

(R) Janak Joshi

60%↑

40%↑

20%↑

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
January 17, 2010 12:58 AM UTC

Romanoff Fundraising 4Q09

  • 39 Comments
  • by: MADCO

Since some of us were speculating about Romanoff’s 4Q fundraising due out any minute now, but as of 2:45 pm  Sat Jan 16, nothing has been posted at FEC , DenverPost, or on the Romanoff site (or apparently leaked elsewhere)   a betting poll.

How much?

When will we know (comments)?

For comparison, Bennet has raised more at this point than either Salazar 04 or Udall 08, and in approximately the same proportion of in-state, out of state and individual and corp/PAC as both campaigns.

Udall 08  spent approx $13 million, in a year when he had very long D coat tails and was the unopposed D nominee, which resulted in early and effective DSCC in-state support.

Yesterday I predicted $434,000.   I’ll stick with that and suggest he’ll report upon one or more of the following conditions:

– as soon as the campaign knows for sure, it’s hard counting all that yang.

– when everyone is asking and he’s captured some big earned media.

– when the checks clear.

– whenever the campaign damn well feels like it.

– when the campaign can figure out a credible message that money just doesn’t matter.

– when the campaign is certain whether or not the cash can be transferred to a campaign for any other office.

– when the campaign has booked the best venue for the end of campaign party.

Romanoff Fundraising 4Q09

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Comments

39 thoughts on “Romanoff Fundraising 4Q09

  1. for 4th Quarter federal races is Jan. 31, not Jan. 15, because it’s also a year-end reporting deadline. Subsequent quarterly deadlines are April 15, July 15, Oct. 15, and then more frequent pre- and post-General Election deadlines kick in.  

      1. But since the report deadline isn’t until the 31st, it’s not right to say his totals are “due out any minute now.” State filings were due on the 15th, and every other FEC quarter has a deadline on the 15th, but the January one doesn’t.

        1. “expected out any minute” because that’s what I meant.

          We know most everyone else’s.  I expect we’ll know his soon too. Though I didn’t know the deadline was Jan 31, so I got lax.

          1. …suggests that he’s deciding whether to stay in the race before reporting his numbers.  To release bad numbers would be to re-start the doubts before he’s ready to formally withdraw.

            So it is written

      1. Andrew is not an untested fundraiser.  He should be raising more money then he is IMO. I assume all of the dem donors are saying not your time or they’ve donated to MB.

        I’ve fundraised in tough races around this state, you can find money you just have to really hunt to find it. We will see if AR’s team is doing it or if they think these small house parties and 10 – 25 dollar donations is going to get him there.

  2. these diaries just make me sad. I want to see Andrew Romanoff drop out, admit he jumped in the wrong race at the wrong time, jump in another race at the right time, and WIN IT by a huge margin. He has not lost any supporters — they are just divided between him and Michael Bennet right now.

    Andrew Romanoff will always have a huge  following in CO and can find a great job  while studying for the bar. Then, when it really is his race and he is ready at the word “Go”, we’ll all be united on his behalf.

    1. Because Bennet doesn’t stand a chance againt Jane Norton.

      And…if Scott Brown wins against Martha Coakley in one of the most liberal if not the most liberal state in the country we will all have to concede the Democrats are in trouble, big trouble.  

        1. The cozy relationship with Wall Street, the no vote on the cram-down legislation and the chest pounding Bennet saying he will stand with the Republicans against banking reform. Yes as a progressive I cannot stand the thought of voting for Bennet.

          And Norton knows she will have a better chance of winning against Bennet. The Republicans are keeping a low profile while naГЇve Democrats line up behind a loser like Bennet whose many weaknesses include never running for public office, never before being elected and having the taint of Bill Ritter the despised governor who just quit the highest office in State politics as the one who anointed you.

          Dig hole in sand, stick head in there and don’t come out until Jane Norton is our Senator because no matter what you say and do on this website Bennet is not going to get elected. Your ten to twenty votes don’t matter and you are out of touch with reality if you think Colorado Pols represents progressives in this State.

          1. you and JO and some others are the only progressives.

            Wade used to be, but he gave in when he gave up and allowed AGW to be characterized as  a “fad” that may just go away on it’s own, and until then we can implement a regressive consumption or production (same thing) tax while cutting the progressive income tax.

            We haven’t really gone back for it, but I suspect we’d find out that Romanoff also supported Senator Clinton’s vote for the Iraq invasion.   I don’t hold it against him – at the time, I thought if Iraq did have WMD we should disarm them. But that wasn’tt he progressive position – see Obam, B. and Wellstone, P.

            1. You can twist and spin everything that Andrew Romanoff has or hasn’t stood for and you can check your list twice – hell check it a hundred times for all I care but it doesn’t change the fact that Bennet cannot get elected in this state in the 2010 senatorial election.  You’re deceiving yourself if you think he can.  He’s damaged goods and the voters are not going to forget what he has done.  

              1. If Bennet wins the nomination – he wins.

                And you donate to the charity of my choosing.

                Bennet doesn’t win the nomination or doesn’t win the general: I donate the same to charity of your choice.

                You choose the amount.

          2. in the state is A. Romanoff.

            Clearly.   He is the progressive choice. He is the progressive voice.  As it ever was, as it ever will be.

            I know, let’s find another more progressive candidate for every office in Colorado. Hardly any of them will win, but it will be great having them as candidates. Overreach is awesome.

            And a the R’s we elect in the place of any unacceptably moderate D”s, well, moderate D’s and R’s are basically the same thing, so what’s the difference.

            The only way Colorado Pols represents CO progressives is by JO and you posting here. And one or two others- willowwip, southdem, and triguardian.

      1. We don’t need another Bennet v. Romanoff discussion.

        Unless you have new facts or can differentiate the candaites on policy position.

        how much and when?

  3. four votes 300k to 500K

    1 vote each in several lower categories

    1 vote for a monster number over $1.5mm.  If that happens I’d reevaluate my “viability” analysis.  If AR puts up $1.5mm, and can ramp up from there, maybe h can raise the $13mm required to win.

    1 vote for between 1/2 and 1mm.

    This is the “what now” number.  He’s falling further behind in dollars, and hasn’t really proved viability yet. But it is a much better result than the prior quarter.

    I’ve raised money for start up businesses, sometimes mine, sometimes for others. It’s the rare investor who will invest when the plan appears not viable.  

    When was the last time a Senate candidate won in Colorado raising less than $1mm prior to caucus?

    1. And if he had come anywhere near the figure such a figure, he would have released the numbers to show he’s in the same league as Bennet.

      And if Andrew Romanoff had beat Jane Norton (at a measly $550k), he would definitely be crowing about his numbers to at least show he has what it takes to play in the General Election sandbox.

      But he hasn’t….

      1. Political contributions of $10M from Bennet’s few thousand donors will not be enough to win an election against Jane Norton.  

        The stakes are different today as many are unemployed and unable to make political contributions but it doesn’t mean that people don’t support AR.

        The only ones who have money today are the ones who obtained their riches by impoverishing the middle class through loan shark tactics and astronomical fees and by denying legitimate medical claims and refusing to insure all but the healthiest among us and by convincing the American people that shipping jobs overseas somehow benefited us through high unemployment. These are the faces of Bennet’s donors.  How do you think that is going to play out in the general election? Bennet is a liability for the Democrats and if you don’t see it now I’m not surprised as Bennet.com takes great pains to promote anti Romanoff propaganda but spin alone nor millions from special interests will get Bennet elected.  

        1. i.e., how should MA D’s have won the seat in MA?

          Forget CO cause we only have two D candidates for the Senate  – and on policy they do not appear to be measurably different.  At least no one has effectively made the case. The big difference that the Romanoff campaign has pointed out is one candidate rejects PAC donors.

        2. then he is a liability to the party and to the state.

          A viable campaign takes fundraising ability, organization, leadership, message and the will to win. All those things are necessary.

          Yet Andrew Romanoff’s campaign has none.

          And we can see that sloganeering and gibberish like yours isn’t enough to fill the vacuum left by Andrew Romanoff. Don’t blame Bennet. Blame your guy for that.  

          1. Pick apart every word I write but it is a foregone conclusion that Bennet will not prevail in a race against Norton. And here on Bennet.com the majority is delusional if you think he is going to win.  

        3. I didn’t obtain my money “by impoverishing the middle class through loan shark tactics…” blah, blah, blah.

          I guess you must be the radical left-wing of the Democratic Party that the radical right-wing of the Repugs point to justify their blather.  You really should get a grip.  You’re not helping anyone, least of all AR.

  4. Post Poll — Romanoff Campaign

    Given that Sen. Michael Bennet’s campaign had nearly $3 million cash on hand at the end of Sept., how much did his primary challenger, former House Speaker Andrew Romanoff, need to raise in the fourth quarter to be considered viable?

    Total Votes = 80

    $1 million or more

     22 Votes, or 27.50 %

    At least $500,000

     10 Votes, or 12.5 %

    Fundraising shouldn’t be a measure of campaign strength

     17 Votes, or 21.25 %

    Romanoff’s campaign is dead

     31 Votes, or 38.75 %

    http://www.denverpost.com/poli

    I would agree that fundraising shouldn’t always be the only measure of viability. But it says something about viability, esp this far in.

    $351,000, reporting on big other news day in he next two weeks

  5. They’ll wait until the last minute to announce their Q4 fundraising, but they’ll include the money that they raised in the beginning of the year to inflate whatever it was–sort of like not announcing until the end of the quarter and then announcing a paltry amount and going “we only had a month”.

    My guess: Q4 fund raising will be anywhere from $350,000-$600,000. Total cash on hand will be around $500,000.

  6. No facts on hand: 32 comments (& counting), some passionate.

    Facts on hand: well, we don’t know, since this thread might better be labeled: “Dream Works.”

    There is this, however. Obama didn’t win the nomination, and the election, because he had more money than anyone else. There are those who are turned off by candidates who appear, I say again: appear, to be in the pay of big donors, aka corporate funds. There are those, not numerous on this site, who are turned off by appearances, I say again: appearances, that the Obama administration has fallen prey to the traditional Clintonian wing of the “Democratic” party in league with old timey Chicago Pol machine types, aka Republican Lite Tough Guys. O Give Me a Home, Where the Emanuel Rahm, and the Dear Loaded Antelope Pay…

    IF…and appearances could be deceiving…the One and Only Recommendation MB has over AR is the contributions he’s received from corporate lobbyists, well, he’ll have a problem getting some voters out of their houses on certain Tuesdays I could name.

    The more money for Bennet the better! Better for whom remains TBD.

    Fer sale! Git yer influence here! Siniter fer sale! Stop by K Street after work this evenin! Fer sale! Git yer junior Siniter here!

    1. Obama didn’t win the election because he had more money?! Are you serious?

      I haven’t seen any analysis that proves definitively that his money was the causal reason he one, but it was undoutedly a huuuggeee portion. It allowed him to counter every attack he wanted, run his own attacks, run his own positives, and pay for his massive field operation. How was this not one of his largest assets in the race?

Leave a Comment

Recent Comments


Posts about

Donald Trump
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Lauren Boebert
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Yadira Caraveo
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado House
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado Senate
SEE MORE

175 readers online now

Newsletter

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!