Last week ended with bad news for Republican Rep. Mike Coffman (R-Aurora), who learned that House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Super PAC (Congressional Leadership Fund) had decided to pull out of CO-6 amid growing concern that the Crowmentum might be too much to overcome by November. In mid-September, we finally moved Democrat Jason Crow ahead of Coffman on The Big Line despite reservations about Coffman’s track record of consistently winning tough races.
New poll numbers released today mark the third public poll of 2018 showing Crow leading Coffman — which also marks the third public poll we’ve ever seen showing Coffman trailing in CO-6. As The Hill reports:
Rep. Mike Coffman (R-Colo.), who’s in a tough reelection race, is trailing Democratic opponent Jason Crow by 11 points, according to a new poll from a Democratic outside group.
A poll conducted by Normington Petts for the group End Citizens United, which was shared first with The Hill, found Crow leading Coffman 49 to 38 points. Thirteen percent of voters remain undecided.
While there’s been limited polling in Colorado’s 6th District, a recent public poll from The New York Times/Siena College found Crow, a former Army Ranger, similarly up by 11 points, 51 to 40 percent.
You can argue that the poll was paid for by a Democratic-aligned group, but an 11-point lead for Crow is consistent with that New York Times poll mentioned above.
Coffman has been in elected office for 30 consecutive years. That streak looks to be coming to an end in November.