Jason Crow’s Big Lead Kicks Off The Week’s News

We wrote last week about a poll underway in Colorado’s red-hot CD-6 race by the New York Times and Siena College, which showed Democratic candidate Jason Crow opening a double-digit lead over incumbent Rep. Mike Coffman. This poll was especially interesting because the results were released in real time–and after the early results excited Democrats, we’ve all been waiting to see if the results would change before the end.

As the Denver Post’s Anna Staver reports, those results held steady:

Colorado Democrats are starting to believe this could be the year they finally flip Colorado’s most competitive congressional seat.

A New York Times poll of the 6th Congressional District completed Friday put Democratic challenger Jason Crow 11 points ahead of U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, R-Aurora.

Crow’s 51-40 lead was outside the poll’s margin of error, but it also showed 9 percent of the people who responded haven’t made up their minds or wouldn’t say how they plan to vote.

Years of disappointment in this district have left Democrats extremely wary of signs that Coffman might actually be about to lose his seat. Coffman defeated highly qualified and base-beloved challengers in 2014 and 2016, and the 2018 nominee Jason Crow has worked very hard to convince the party faithful that he has a viable shot.

Given that Coffman was never once caught behind his Democratic opponent in a publicly-released poll before this year, these results are nothing short of electrifying for longsuffering Democrats. The mounting backlash against President Donald Trump is set to be felt first by Trump’s enablers in the Republican Party, and Coffman has been less successful triangulating off the party brand since Trump’s election than ever before. The delicate political balance that Coffman has managed since redistricting has been unbalanced by Trump, and the split tickets that kept Coffman in office while Democrats won the district in every race above CD-6 may finally be set to, as they say, “come home.”

For Democrats in 2018, hope springs eternal.

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13 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. itlduso says:

    Tagging Coffman with his 96% support of Trump is smart. 

    Now, I just wish Jason Crow would come out with an ad that gives voters a reason to vote for him.  Reasonable gun control, pre-existing conditions, coming cuts to Social Security and Medicare.  Take your pick.  I don't want to rely (again) on anti-Trump voters.

  2. RepealAndReplace says:

    By this point, Moldy is probably able to tie cherry stems into knots using his tight little sphincter.

  3. notaskinnycooknotaskinnycook says:

    I've thought for a while that the way to take Coffman out is to pit a veteran against him. Miklosi, Romanoff, Carroll; all competent people, but they were just politicians. Crow knocks the legs out from under Coffman's chief selling point: noun, verb, Marine. Repeat ad nauseum. He’ll have to do better than that if he wants to win.

    • RepealAndReplace says:

      Agreed. I think their problem was that they were all politicians. Yes, all three were well qualified and would have been a good U.S. Rep but in the Age of Trump, people want the un-politician.

  4. ModeratusModeratus says:

    I don't think its' true Coffman has never been behind in a poll. What I KNOW is true is Democrats have predicted Coffman's downfall over and over and you've been wrong every time. I predict you'll be wrong again, and history is on my side.

    • unnamed says:

       Coffman was never once caught behind his Democratic opponent in a publicly-released poll before this year

      Publicly-released as in not released by a campaign.  And he was certainly never THIS FAR behind. 

      But history when you double-down on a candidate has not been kind to you at all: e.g. Gessler, Rubio, Cruz, Never-Trump, Taller Coffman.  But, just say this poll is fake news.  Tell your right wing friends that it's fake news. 

  5. Arvadonian1Arvadonian1 says:

    I hope it is true.  I'm skeptical.  Crow needs to run like he's down by 15 because we've thought we had Coffman on the ropes before but he's like Glenn Close in Fatal Attraction….he keeps popping up out of the tub!

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