Poll: Bernie, Biden, Oprah Would All Beat Trump


President Donald Trump faces an uphill climb to re-election in 2020 against a slate of prominent potential Democratic hopefuls, according to new polling from CNN conducted by SSRS.

In a series of hypothetical 2020 one-on-one contests Trump trails Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders by a 55% to 42% margin among registered voters. He lags further behind former Vice President Joe Biden by a wide 57% to 40% split, and trails television personality Oprah Winfrey by a 51% to 42% divide.

The potential broad margins for the Democratic 2020 matchups are shaped by winning over some core groups that cast ballots for Trump in 2016, including white women and whites with a college degree. Trump leads among whites without a degree, though it’s cut to just one-third of his gaping 2016 margin. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2 percentage points in 2016 but lost in the Electoral College.

Those are not narrow leads for these three highly prospective Democratic matchups against Donald Trump, which underscores the depth of Trump’s unpopularity heading into the 2018 midterm elections. To the extent that Trump’s damaged brand is attached by voters to all members of Trump’s Republican Party up for election this year, these numbers only reinforce the broad consensus that Republicans will face major losses at every level.

As for President Oprah Winfrey, we’ll withhold our opinion on that for the unlikely event it becomes a thing.

14 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Voyageur says:

    Hillary won the popular vote by 2.9 percent.  If you want to round it off, that means3 percrnt , not 2 percent.

  2. Mike W. says:

    I've come from the future to let you all know Moddy will post something about the polls being wrong last time. 

    I've also come from the future to let you all know Trump's approval rating is at 37%, and that it was recently (futurely) revealed that he and his daughter are expecting a baby.

  3. Diogenesdemar says:

    Daffy Duck would outpoll them all . . . 

  4. Early Worm says:

    The bad news, it is just under 3 years before we get to see any of these hypothetical matchups. It is hard to imagine that a poll three years out is very predictive of what will happen.

    Good news. What can conceivably happen in the next 2 1/2 years that will improve Trump's chances? Improved economy? He is living off the fumes of Obama's economic legacy. He has no place to go but down. A war? It worked for W, but he had the ability, in his own stumbling way, to present the appearance of steady leadership. Trump is not capable of leadership or stability. Terrorist attack? Once again, it is hard to image that, in a time of crises, anyone would rally around the buffoon in chief. 

  5. Conserv. Head Banger says:

    Dems need a fresh face as a candidate; someone younger than Bernie and Biden. Trump will be 73 or 74 in 2020 and the contrast with a young & vibrant candidate; whether male or female; could be astounding.

    Oprah is intriguing as a candidate. But don't think she is a good idea at this time. Can't put a finger on it; just a gut feeling. But she could be a black version of Golda Meir.

    • RepealAndReplace says:

      Nothing speaks to the future like a couple of septuagenarians (Biden, Trump) and one octogenarian (Bernie) running for president. Oprah in her 60's represents youth.

    • mamajama55 says:

      Must be gonna rain – I agree with CHB. I love Bernie, but he is too old for another 4-8 years as Pres. And he is effective where he is now. Same applies to Biden. As for Oprah, we've had our fling with a TV star as President – even though Oprah is an order of magnitude better, producing a show is just not the same as governing a country.

    • JohnInDenver says:

      CHB "can't put a finger on" the reason Oprah is not a good idea.

      How about,

       * she backed odd science and odder psychologists and even ODDER spiritualists. "Think yourself rich" isn't the message we will need in 2020.

       * she has no experience with Congress or the federal bureaucracy.  And both are likely to need a steady hand after the current regime.

       * she has no experience with foreign policy. Or economic policy. Or military policy. While she may have a "feeling" about what should be done, but no basis for absorbing policy option papers and emerging with the better choice.

      Need we say more?

  6. flatiron says:

    None of them will be the actual Dem nominee, so whatever – -and who know if Trump will even be on the ballot in 2020. Mueller is coming, and convicted felons aren't allowed to run!



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