U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Janak Joshi
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) Jena Griswold
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) David Seligman
50%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(D) Milat Kiros
90%
10%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(R) H. Scheppelman
(D) Alex Kelloff
70%
30%
10%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Trisha Calvarese
(D) Eileen Laubacher
90%
20%
20%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Jessica Killin
70%
30%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Shannon Bird
45%↓
30%
30%
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 08, 2009 08:08 PM UTC
34 Comments
It’s easy to come up with the results you want when you oversample by 16 points Dems to Republicans…
Particularly in election season – people love to attack the way polls are conducted in order to make their results look less harmful.
But even if the numbers are off by a few percentage points, the message is the same. Whether 31 percent or 35 percent of people have a positive perception of Republicans doesn’t change the point of the results: the public isn’t happy with the Republican strategy of opposing everything without offering their own solutions. That’s what matters here – whether the poll is off by a few points here or there isn’t important. It’s not like changing the sampling would have shifted the results from 31 percent to 45 percent.
that same poll, eh Libzees?
Sxp already showed that the graphic you’re posting is taken from a poll wherein Obama has an overall approval rating of 58%.
n/t
New Pew polling has Obama at 61% as well, with only 26% disapproving. A +35 has to feel good.
You’re just sad that you poll ratings would be much lower were we to ask everyone on this site (MoE +/- 3).
I don’t think you’d crack a net -20.
They have Obama at +6 when only “STRONG” approval and disapproval is considered. Not in overall approval ratings.
Learn to read.
The only way to have a realistic and accurate snapshot of the views held by the population is to insure the sample closely reflects the actual political make-up of the people. Its never a perfect sample and I suspect the Republicans are still not where they want to be but this particular poll is not accurate.
Is that what you mean by oversampling in favor of Dems? Not our fault if there are less of you.
by your same measure they oversampled conservatives by 8 points….
http://documents.nytimes.com/n…
Neither has the intellectual integrity to run an honest poll.
Having said that, who votes for a party?
About 2/3 of voters vote the party line.
The other third think for themselves and decide elections.
Independents, I think, are moving and will move toward the GOP because they don’t like what the Dems are doing in DC.
Only time will tell, but the backlash against Obama and the Dems can only grow. It won’t shrink.
from previous posts I can’t say as I believe you.
The number of self-identified GOP members are shrinking quickly–with all their tea-bagging and such and loony-tune Glenn Beck out playing Buffy I cannot imagine that many independents are being attracted. Certainly few polls suggest they are, but then again I know that your type think that facts have a liberal bias.
As I noted in my other post, a couple of months ago you were pinning every negative move of the Dow on Obama, and yet you have been strangely silent on that score as the Dow has climbed. Why the inconsistency wise one? Is the market a direct indicator of Obama’s actions or not? If so, please explain how that leads to your conclusion that independents are moving away from Obama; if not, please man up and admit you were oh so very, very wrong in your previous analysis. No, I’m not holding my breath, just ROFLMAO.
I watched The Daily Show last night, and the clips of the Fox News people and the Republican politicians were half funny and half scary. Negative, fear mongering, unrelated to reality, unremittingly hostile to everything the new administration says or does.
Opposite aisle folks, this is not attractive. It just makes it look like there is no reason to even try to work with the other side.
I had the displeasure of catching a bit of the Manatee’s TV clown show yesterday, wherein Mr. Hannity not only misrepresented reality, as TDS clip showed, but flat out lied. Blubbering that Obama said he would enact unilateral nuclear disarmament…
Obama, of course, said nothing of the sort. Nada. Zilch. Bupkiss. Nonetheless, Sean H, apparently either crazily delusional, a flat-out liar, or both said it, on the air, a couple of times.
And I believe that should be bupkas.
members.tripod.com/~rechumorjewish/glossary_of_hebrew.htm
and knew I botched it. Thanks.
Voters have plenty of reason to be fed up with the Republicans at the federal level. But what you don’t cite, and which has been evidenced in several polls, is that the generic ballot has moved into a tie — the best for Republicans in years. I’m not relying on statistical anomalies (outlying polls). The closeness or at least tightening of the generic ballot is verified in just about every poll. RealClearPolitics shows the trends: http://www.realclearpolitics.c… Voters seem to be coming to the conclusion that either (a) Obama and the Dems are over-reaching and electing Republicans makes sense to rein them in and/or (b) the Republicans are the lesser of two evils. More people, particularly independents, are getting fed up with the massive spending, debt, bailouts, nationalization. Is that a ringing endorsement of Republicans? No. But good Republican candidates in 2010 who enunciate a vision and attract independent voters, e.g., a Penry or Gardner or Frazier, could be very well positioned.
so the general electorate won’t forget how shitty they are at governing.
And the Democrats are far worse!
more tax cuts and less regulation for corporate criminals ! Yeah !
1 1/2 years out from an election (in which non-generic Dems will be facing off against the non-generic Party of No) demonstrate much substantially. For instance, what did ‘generic’ polls show in early 2003?
That said, your answer is more a) than b), in a ‘generic’ way, as people tend to like checks and balances.
But since b) is demonstrably NOT the case (with Congressional Repubs polling below Congressional Dems in every poll I have seen since November, and Dems leading on such issues as foreign policy, economy, energy, environment–notably among independents), means I am not yet worried. But keep hoping Kid, keep hoping.
Penry, Gardner and Frazier are no different than the generic clueless nation wide Republican. They have no plan or vision. And I’ll say it again, “Just Say No” is not a plan. Democrats have shown America that they are the party of ideas and innovation.
If the Boy does not like one particular poll, why not post averages of all polls showing that President Obama has a better than 2-1 job approval rating.
Karate Kinder’s phoney link shows nothing. After Republicans nearly destroyed our economy, their culture of corruption, deregulation and lies which have cost many lives, Americans will be in the Chicks camp for a long time to come as we say,
And until Republicans show a willingness, if not to rid their party of, at least to marginalize the extremist wingnuts like Dick Cheney, Douglas Bruce, Josh Penry, Dave Schultheis and Janet “Bestiality” Rowland, expect R’s to be the minority party for a long time to come.
The generic ballot matters because it is a leading indicator of reaction to the Obama / Democrat policies. Obama is very popular. His approval is pretty good, but in line with other Presidents 3 months in. But people are lukewarm at best about the porkulus. His budget is unpopular. And the bailouts are very unpopular. People are beginning to question the guy’s competence. His m.o. seems to be, spend now, ask questions later. Over time, that will drag down his approval and perhaps eventually his popularity.
emphasis on ‘rank.’
March 6, 2003 Political Wire
Sadly for our nation, Bush won.
A year and a half out, a poll between mythical (i.e. ‘generic’ candidates) is not a leading indicator. It might mean your fantasies will come true, but it just as likely means they won’t–which is to say, it doesn’t mean…bupkas. It’s a snapshot in time, demonstrating that Americans are a skeptical bunch and generally fed up with politicians. But, again, Dems won’t run against generic Republicans, they’ll run against those who survive their primaries–which are likely to be wacky wingnuts and other nutjobs, aghast over the secular humanists in Iowa furthering the homosexual agenda, ‘teabagging’ the White House, addressing any and every economic situation by proposing tax cuts for the wealthy, and every meltdown of public safety, financial markets, or poisoned water wells with calls for less regulation, spinning Galtesque escapist fantasies that they imagine are threats, and generally portraying themselves to independent-minded Americans and growing demographics as reactionary, xenophobic, bumbling, bitter, incompetent childlike scardy-cats. Good luck winning on that.
The day of reckoning for Democrats may be sooner than you think. I truly believe Americans value freedom, liberty and limited government. What is going on now is really an exacerbation of what started under Republicans, particularly in Bush’s second term. People didn’t like it then. And they won’t like it any better under a guy with a (D) next to his name who is doubling down on this junk policy that infringes on our freedoms.
How does freedom, liberty and limited government play out in policy. For some of us freedom includes improved national security through reduced reliance on foreign oil (through alternative and renewable energy sources). For some of us liberty is improved with the end of the Bush Administration’s attack on the Constitution. For some of us, limited government is not at risk when a safety net for the least among us is strengthened. I don’t yet see how Obama is infringing on our freedoms by working to improve the strength of our economy, and to achieve a more sustainable society.
Gardner is an ideologue. Penry is ambition. I don’t know enough about Frazier to lump in with the other two losers, but losers they are.
Vision from Penry or Gardner? You’ve got to be kidding.
Is I want to see a competitive landscape. I want to see Republicans at the table. I vote a straight Republican ticket for Boulder County races to encourage the Republican party.
But when I go vote in ’10, I may vote for Suthers but aside from him, I don’t see any way I vote anything other then Democratic outside of Boulder County races – because I highly respect the specific individuals we have in office and my guess is the GOP will serve up a bunch of “reduce taxes is the answer to everything” incompetents.
your freedoms being infringed upon between 1/20/2009 and 4/8/2009.
Otherwise, I have no f’ing clue of which you speak. Ted Stevens is now a freer man because if the Obama administration.
Or the Obama budget, or the bailouts. Think! We are saddling future generations with massive debt. We are creating government dependency. Government is using bailouts to dictate how private companies do business. Now, with health care “reform,” we’re looking at rationing. And cap and trade? These are all examples of massive growth in government. As government grows, liberty yields.
You go from frothing personal offense (he’s taking away my FREEDOMS) to something a bit more abstract upon first challenge. The mark of a truly deluded, but dedicated, shill.
I ask for specifics and you imagine that the government might ration health care and point to ‘cap and trade.’
Are you a power plant executive?
Burp. (That’s what you sound like to me, belching up another Hannity/Beck talking point devoid of fact or meaningful basis, like a little babe spitting up her milk). Let me get a wet nap for you Kiddie.